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Dive into the profound discussion on AI expectations and the future with Martin Casado, General Partner at Andreessen Horowitz, as we unpack the complexity of AI systems and their potential impact on the world.
Dive into the profound discussion on AI expectations and the future with Martin Casado, General Partner at Andreessen Horowitz, as we unpack the complexity of AI systems and their potential impact on the world. Explore the differing viewpoints on AI's epistemics, possible regulatory standards, and the art of predicting AI advancements. Gain insights into the actionable outcomes of this dialogue and the significance of understanding AI before shaping policies. Join us for this episode of the Cognitive Revolution to contemplate AI's trajectory and what it might mean for humanity.
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Byrne Hobart, the writer of The Diff, is revered in Silicon Valley. You can get an hour with him each week. See for yourself how his thinking can upgrade yours.
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6rANlV54GCARLgMOtpkzKt
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-riff-with-byrne-hobart-and-erik-torenberg/id1716646486
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(00:00:00) About the Show
(00:03:18) AI progress
(00:05:20) Threshold effects
(00:12:30) Heavy-tailed universe
(00:14:53) LLMs are not very good at unique tasks
(00:26:27) Sponsors: Oracle | Brave
(00:28:36) Understanding meaning
(00:31:44) How do LLMs work? (Part 1)
(00:36:25) Sponsors: Omneky | Squad
(00:38:12) How do LLMs work? (Part 2)
(00:44:01) Post-training
(00:51:09) Simulation
(01:04:06) Regulation
(01:08:53) What makes AI a paradigm shift
(01:11:51) Compute limits
(01:20:07) Sleeper agents
(01:23:16) Surface area of models
(01:25:49) AI regulation
(01:27:35) AI in medicine
(01:29:56) AGI, superintelligence
(01:37:04) Competition in the foundation model space
(01:40:57) The scaling laws
(01:44:31) The AGI convergence
(01:45:35) Bets on the future of AI
(01:48:20) Outro
