July 28, 2024

Election Shockwaves: Market Impacts & Your Portfolio

Election Shockwaves: Market Impacts & Your Portfolio

In this episode of the Money Matters Show, brought to you by Greenberg Financial Group, we dive into the intricate relationship between the political landscape and market performance. With the upcoming election, the potential policies of the next...

In this episode of the Money Matters Show, brought to you by Greenberg Financial Group, we dive into the intricate relationship between the political landscape and market performance. With the upcoming election, the potential policies of the next president could significantly influence market dynamics. We explore how these political shifts could impact your investments and portfolio.
We also introduce our Risk Tolerance Questionnaire, a crucial tool that helps clients understand their risk score and how different factors within their portfolios could affect account performance. Understanding your risk tolerance is essential for making informed investment decisions.
Lastly, as we are in the midst of earnings season, we analyze various earnings reports and discuss what these results mean for company valuations moving forward. Join us for a comprehensive discussion on managing your finances amidst political and economic changes.
If you would like to contact us to learn more about our firm and our process call us at 520.544.4909 or go to our website at www.Greenbergfinancial.com or email us at Contact@Greenbergfinancial.com

Transcript
WEBVTT

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Good morning everybody. It's that time
again, Sunday morning. Right here,

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K and S T seven ninety,
it's eight o'clock. This is Dean Greenberg

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and this is your Money Matter Show. You know, it's crazy, man.

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These weeks are absolutely crazy. All
the information on the economic side,

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the political side, what's driving everything. Just don't be surprised if it's going

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to continue to do this all the
way through the election. The markets are

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up, markets are down, they're
up big, they're down big, and

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then they start, you know,
trying to work its way through this way.

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This week in the Dow that was
actually up almost one percent, while

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the NASDAC and the SMP were both
down, and in Russell two thousand it

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was up three and a half percent. So that trend has continued through the

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situation that we have trying to figure
out what's going on. Well, the

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market has pulled back, and a
lot of it has been a pullback ever

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since you know, Biden decided that
he isn't going to run, and uh,

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and then uh, obviously Kamala Harris
is going to be in there,

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so it's gonna be closer, there's
no doubt about it. And you're gonna

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have a scenario where you're so different
on economic policies. If Harris gets in,

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it's a total different agenda than if
Trump gets in. And no,

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it's not pro uh economy. They
say it is, but it's not.

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They're going to spend more money.
No one, at least on the on

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the Republican side. Trump's side,
he's talking about the debt and the fact

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that he has to bring it down. They don't talk about it on the

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other side. And that, to
me is the number one factor that scares

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everybody. It's become a it's really
interesting, and you know, I don't

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want to get into too much with
the politics. I mean, you're probably

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sick of it as I am with
it, but it just really drives me

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crazy to listen to the left talk
about all the things they've done in the

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last two and a half three weeks, actually two and a half three months.

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He's running, he's lucid, he's
strong, he can do everything he

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wants. Joe Biden, you know, he's the man, and we're backing

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him. As soon as the truth
came out, and obviously we all saw

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it with our eyes during the debate, they all turned against him. Then

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they have all this other stuff all
about democracy. We all know that story.

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And the people with the money,
the people with the power, and

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which is all they freaking want is
power. They decide to put in Kamala

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Harris and everything they said bad about
it, now everything's good. We never

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get an answer why Biden didn't run. Don't tell me. He stepped down

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and he is the greatest thing in
the world. If you're gonna believe that,

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it's malwaukeey. But they don't tell
us the truth. Have preferred him

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to stand up that night in his
speech that he reads and basically tell America

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the truth. He wanted to be
president. He felt he was the best

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man for to be president. It
was obviously his ages caught up with him.

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It's obvious that the people I've decided
that that kind of turned against him

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and his own his own powers to
be within his own group of people,

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and the Democrats decided they were turning
against them, and so they made him

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realize that, you know what,
I can fight this all day long.

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I'm maybe one years old. Why
do it turn the torch over and go,

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I know the saying that's what he
said, That's not what he said.

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He said, He was the greatest
president. And in six months he's

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going to cure cancer, get peace
in the Middle East, go ahead and

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have a kumbai Ka with Russia in
China and fix all that. And I

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ran and he's going to get to
play doubt and everything else in six months

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that he couldn't do in three and
a half years. But tell us the

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damn truth. The party needs to
tell us the truth. Who was running

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the country. The same people that
were running the country the same people are

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going to be running the country now. And we're starting to really know who

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that is. It's Pelosi and it's
Obama. They were the two biggest key

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indicators in the whole thing of why
eventually they got Jill to tell her husband,

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we're no longer in the being in
the White House. That's the truth.

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He wanted to win. He didn't
think he could win. They didn't

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think he could win. He thought
he could win, They didn't think he

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could win. So he decided to
bow out. Okay, I get it.

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First of all, he should never
been in there. Shame on his

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wife, Shaman, his kid.
To just keep the power. It's been

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in it for fifty years. He's
done some good, He's done some bad,

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just like all of them. I'm
tired of listening to one side tell

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us we won't have democracy if Trump
is in. I'm tired of the Trump

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side saying we're not going to have
democracy if the other side of it.

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Let me tell you something, whoever
gets in, we're still going to have

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democracy. We the people are going
to make sure we have democracy. It's

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the rhetoric about it. The thing
that I can't stand about the left is

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real simple. They quit every time
they down. They change the rules when

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it doesn't work in their favor,
and they complain all the time when there's

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a ruling against them, But every
time it's against us, it's the right

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thing. This is how we have
to do it. This is what the

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people want. It's not what the
people want. All the time, you

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got fifty to fifty half the people
on one side, half the people are

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on the other. When is someone
going to stand up and realize that everything

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that they do has to be fifty
to fifty. Then I don't care who's

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being president, but I do care
who's going to protect us. And right

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now I don't think there's any protection
going on. I think the border is

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open now. You wait to see
Kamala Harris. Now they argue that she

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was in bizarre the whole time.
She was bizarre. I'm gonna ask you

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a question. If that border was
shut and it was great, we're all

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happy with the border. What if
she taken the credit for shutting down the

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border? Of course she would.
Again, they lie, they mislead.

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It's not about lying. They all
talk about lying. It's all about misleading.

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They take the facts and turn them
so most people don't understand. This

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is not about for normal, smart
people. It's about the agendas. For

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the people who can't stand Trump.
It's all about the love fest they're gonna

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have for Kamala Harris. And that's
all you're gonna hear about. So we're

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gonna start getting concerned, Oh,
can we win this? Can we win

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that? If we stay on on
on target, on point, the Republicans

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will win. Trump will win.
I can't believe that in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin

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and Michigan, where they're all hurting, they're gonna listen to them. Sit

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up there and tell you about how
inflation is down, how gas prices are

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down, how the border is better, how your wages are up. Because

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at the end of the day lip
service does not help their pocketbooks. I

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don't care what numbers you look at. You can make numbers the best you

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want. It's always the same case. It's what people feel, and right

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now they're not feeling that. Yes, the people that feel that they hate

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Trump are happy they have somebody in
there so they can vote for them.

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They don't care. They would never
vote for bubble Glyn. They don't understand

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what an agenda is other than what
it is on this or they don't know

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what the economics of it, but
they feel the economics most people couldn't even

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balance their own checkbooks. But understand, we're going to have a rally on

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the Democrats side. Their polls are
going to get better as we go in

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and after their Democratic Convention. Then
it's going to get interesting because the reality

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of it is, if the if
the Republicans are small enough to make sure

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that the that the election is going
to be what we need it to be.

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Okay, we don't have the pandemic
now, we don't need pandemic rules

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right, and to make sure we
keep touting what we need to do,

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we just got to win Pennsylvania,
Michigan, or Wisconsin. I think it's

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keep saying I still think Arizona is
going to switch. I don't. I

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don't speak to a lot of people
here that are like, oh great,

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let's go, let's go. A
lot of Democrats. Yeah, they're going

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to shut down the border. I
just don't see. It. Could be

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totally wrong, but I don't think. I am. I think as we

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move forward, the economy is what
is going to matter. You know,

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they just gloss over on Friday the
PCE number, the main inflation number that

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they talk about, was not down
like they expected to. There was actually

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a point one percent or one tenth
of a percent point one tenth of percent,

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which before used to rock the markets. This time they shrugged it off

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and didn't matter and just rallied.
There's money on the sideline. That's one

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to get invested. As we talked
about the markets before, I looked for

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this opportunity, we took some money
off the table. We've been now implementing

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some of it, and we're gonna
start looking again next week because I think

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we're closer to a short term bottom
than we are a top. I do

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think we can still rally into the
middle and beginning of August and the beginning

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of September. I still think we
can go up and make another new high.

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We pulled back here. I don't
know about five almost five percent or

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so. We can then rally back
up. Then we'll see who wins.

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But there's a clear difference on economic
polish between the two. They both spend

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money, and I hope that the
Republicans realize I can't spend as much as

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they did. Okay, you're gonna
hear things. You're gonna hear obviously bad

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things about JD. Vance and Trump
the whole time. You know, it's

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the uh, it's the felon against
the prosecutor and all this other stuff.

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Didn't they ever stop and think,
though, how does Trump have so many

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people? How many people really still
want to vote for him and believe in

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them when all these conventions are against
them? Because we are smarter to understand

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and see what's obvious in front of
us, where most people just hate him

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so much, just wanted an alternative
because there's nobody when you talk to them,

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nobody wants open borders, and they
don't realize She's more about open borders

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than Biden when it comes to crime. She was raising money to leave out

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the people that were protests and burning
down the police stations and all in Seattle

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and everything else. So all the
Black Lives Matter scenario, she was raising

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money to get them bail. San
Francisco became a hell hole. Not to

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mention, it's just disgusting the streets
and everything else. But the violence,

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that's how are you They sit there
and tell us that violence, criminal violence

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is down. They can show me
whatever number they want. There's not a

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person out there that feels that's the
case. I go to New York,

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I don't feel safe that much when
I'm just walking around by myself. Especially,

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I won't do it. I won't
go on the subway. I'm not

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a soft guy. I just won't
go on the subway. It makes no

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sense that people think that crime has
gotten better just because they tell you.

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Look feel with yourself. I love
to tell everybody, take every single person

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that believes that that violent crimes are
down, and put him in the inner

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city of New York, put him
in Chicago, put him in San Francisco,

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put him in any city. Tell
me that it's down. And then

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obviously on outlying areas, you notice
most of those are the them run areas.

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They want less. You can hear
the same thing. If they bring

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up everything on Trump and Jdvans,
you can bring it up on her too.

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And I don't have a problem with
people changing their minds looking what's going

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on and saying I gotta be tough
on this. But she was all about

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defunding the police. She was all
fun about opening the borders. She was

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they will. I mean, it
makes no sense to me, but that's

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where we're at. If she gets
in. I do believe we will have

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a problem with the economy at first. We will have recession that we look

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at. It might be wrong,
but here's why I think it's gonna happen.

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They still want to write off student
loans. The big proponents of it

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they talk about They talk about the
fact that they're going to go ahead,

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and they did this great job of
getting the maximum amount the people have to

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put out for drugs to two thousand
dollars down from eight thousand. Okay,

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on paper, that sounds good,
but do you realize everyone's health care is

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gonna rise. Every premium is gonna
go up to be able to pay for

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that. So while it might help
people that have no money and on subsidies,

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and being taken care of. It's
not gonna help the average person that

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actually works and earns money or has
any investor or has anything. Their premiums

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are going up. Have you looked
at your auto premium. It's the most

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inflationary of them all. They're going
to keep inflation moving higher because in their

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mind they need to take care of
people, which means more people think they

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need to be taken care of rather
than pulling their bootstraps up looking for opportunities

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and going forward. She gets in
and the administration controls what goes on with

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the and when's the House of the
Senate. Guess what's gonna happen. They're

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gonna get They're gonna figure out a
way to get all these illegals are coming

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in. They're gonna pay them.
They're gonna get them jobs. They're going

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to do a whole bunch of things, and it's gonna come from us taxpayers.

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I keep saying this, if we
can keep paying for illegal immigrants,

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we can keep paying for all these
disasters. If we keep paying for everyone

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around the world, and they don't
pay what they're supposed to pay their fair

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share, then we'll pay it too
much. In taxes, and they are

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gonna tell us we need to pay
more and pay our fast share in taxes.

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I'm okay with doing that, and
I pay a lot in taxes.

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I want everyone to pay their fair
share. The problem is is our definition

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of fair share when it comes to
actually paying taxes. Our debt will not

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go down or will go up.
And I'm really hoping that if Trump gets

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in, he sticks to his word
and figures out a way to get our

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deficit down and show people that it
goes down. And you're gonna hear all

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these economic institute, all the people
against Trump telling you what they're gonna tell

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you that it's real simple, that
the the that the the everything he's gonna

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do is inflationary and going to ruin
the economy. But guess what they said

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it before. They said we were
gonna have a decline in the markets like

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we've never seen before, we were
gonna have a horrible recession. We're gonna

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have everything we had nothing. We
had. One of the strongest economy is

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going Blacks, Hispanics. They were
the lowest unemployment they ever had. Sure

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Biden did a good job keeping it
low. Okay, He also touts how

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he's got all this all the you
know, put fifteen million people to work.

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Well, you had nobody working,
you had a pandemic. You better

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put people to work. Stop being
misleading. They talk about all this stuff,

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but you know, at the end
of the day, this is what

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you're going to look at the CPI
Inflation under President Biden, gas prices are

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up forty seven percent, consumer prices
up nineteen percent, groceries up twenty percent.

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Electricity, man, is that going
on twenty eight percent? What are

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we going to do when they want
everyone to have electric costs? Rent twenty

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one percent. We are down one
point nine three percent in real wages.

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So wages went up, but the
amount that you had to pay off went

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down because of inflation. And here's
the best one. Credit card debt is

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up forty four percent. That's scary. Credit card debt is what eventually topples

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everything over when people can't pay and
they all have to go bankrupt. And

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it's a domino effect. You see
it in going out to eat. You

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see it in consumers. They're not
spending what they were spending. Retail sales

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has been down, going out to
restaurants have been down. People cannot afford

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it, and they know they can't
afford it, and they continue down this

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road, it's gonna get worse and
worse. When you go and you see

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what's going on. You got to
understand the markets are going to go through

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different volatility times that they are now, and we're gonna have to stay with

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it, and you're gonna have to
be a little bit more active, and

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you're gonna have to learn how to
mitigate risk, and you're gonna have to

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learn how to take money off the
table and move into the other areas.

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You're gonna have to go ahead and
be more active. If the guy you're

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with, the advisor you're with,
just says, don't worry, just wait

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for it to come back every time
it goes down, then you have to

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sit and think, is that what
you want at your age? I won't

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sit there and do that. I
didn't do it when I was thirty.

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I don't did it when I was
fifty. I don't do it when I'm

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sixty. I don't do it right
now when I'm sixty five. It doesn't

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matter even now. Is more important
that I know how to mitigate risk and

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make sure the portfolio can gain money
when it's going up, and try to

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hedge yourselves, take money off the
table, have cash to be able to

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buy when things go down. It's
going to continue this way, it really

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is. So Lastly, the thing
that probably upset me the most this week

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was the way we act as Americans
for whatever reason, under different circumstances.

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And I know it's everyone's prerogative to
go ahead and protest, but here's the

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thing. I don't think they're all
just protesting. I think they all are

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told what to do. They get
money for protesting, because who the heck

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is off on a Thursday afternoon that
can go to the Capitol and go burn

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the American flag and get away with
it. That burning American a flag upset

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me probably the absolute most. I
don't care what our freedom is, what

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our rights are. These people think
they can go to my capital and burn

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the American flag in front of our
capital. They don't need to be here,

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they can leave. Could you imagine
burning a flag in China or Soviet

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Union, or the Middle East or
Iran or even some of those European countries,

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imagine burning their flag for the country
that they live in. It would

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not be tolerated in some places you'd
be decapitated. But for some reason it's

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looked at as a way that it's
protesting. So what are they protesting?

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The Prime Minister of Israel came to
talk to the United States, no different

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than Zuleiski did and address Congress,
but there was no protest against Russia,

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Ukraine for spending money, whatever is
going on. But it is against Israel

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who was attacked. I don't get
it. As a Jewish person again,

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I grew up Democrat. I couldn't. As life went on and the Democrats

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change, I could no longer be
the party of hypocrites. I could not.

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I had to change. But as
I I mean, I'm not a

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right right Republican, I know that, but I certainly understand the way right

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and wrong, and burning the American
flag is wrong. It's not right,

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and we've given people second chances on
these things. We stick by them.

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But what are they protesting. That's
the thing that bothers me more than anything.

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They're protesting because Israel got attacked and
they don't like the way Israel is

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attacking back. They lost lives,
innocent lives, women, children, The

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worst things that can possibly happen to
some of these women and children. But

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not one time do they say Harmas
is a terrorist group. They love Harmas.

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I hate these people because they have
no common sense. They call a

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genocide. What do you call when
you take going to a country secretively it

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starts chopping people's heads off, killing
people going to a festival and just blowing

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everybody up? What do you call
that? But because they fought back,

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they can take it. We still
have American hostages there, American hostages,

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and they want to have a cease
fire. I wouldn't do a cease fire.

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In two more American hostages and Israeli
hostages were released. Why haven't they

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been released? Probably because they're not
alive. That's the facts. I hate

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to say it. It's horrible and
it's horrible that these women who couldn't even

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live in Palestine A much of the
people in Middle East except Israel A protesting

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against Israel at say in the genocide. Think about that. LGBTQ who think

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they should be protesting against Palestine would
be dead, hung in the middle of

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the street and hung out to dry. They could not be gay in those

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areas of the world. But yet
they want to protest against America, where

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they have all the freedoms in the
world. Sure, they have some racist

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people that come against them, Fine, we all do. We're not burning

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the American flag. I stand for
these for the national anthem. There are

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people that have died for that freedom
of that flag. And if you are

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okay with that, then look in
the mirror and figure out why you're okay.

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Other than that's the free thing for
them to do, think about what

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they're doing behind it. With that, I say thank you for listening.

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We'll continue with the Money Matter Show, and I appreciate everybody that becomes our

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relationship. Thank you. Welcome back, everybody. This is the Money Matter

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Show. We appreciate your listening.
I got Dave Dylan Todd of myself today.

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We're going to talk about the markets
and a lot of other things that

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affect it. Remember the show is
brought to you by Greenberg Financial Group.

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00:24:45.359 --> 00:24:48.000
Greenberg Financial Group is both a registered
investment of BUDS and they broke a dealer.

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00:24:48.480 --> 00:24:52.400
We're registered with the SEC, members
of FOM, members of CIPIC.

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00:24:52.920 --> 00:24:56.279
On the show, we talk about
different products, different strategies, different ideas.

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Everything has some type of risk.
We want you to understand and the

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00:25:00.279 --> 00:25:03.680
risks please understand the risk. There's
risk to make it too much money.

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00:25:03.680 --> 00:25:08.160
There's risks to being over allocated.
There's risk to be in too much in

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00:25:08.200 --> 00:25:12.319
one industry. There's rich to not
taking money off the table. There's risk

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00:25:12.400 --> 00:25:17.240
with everything. Even if you think
there's not there's some type of risk.

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00:25:17.400 --> 00:25:22.119
Understand ask do something about it.
And that's why we'll always looking trying to

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00:25:22.559 --> 00:25:26.680
mitigate risk when we think the odds
are that it's a little bit out of

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control. What an interesting week,
I mean, a historic week really with

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Biden bowing out and quickly how quickly
Kamala covered it. I mean you got

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to give her credit and even if
you don't like her, put that coalition

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together very very quickly. That was
definitely happening behind the scenes. Yeah,

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oh, absolutely, not a chance. I was just out of the blue,

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like two days, right. I
think it seemed more like Biden's been

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fighting to stay because he didn't want
to go out office, like he wanted

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to run next time or this for
this cycle. Oh no, absolutely,

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and then eventually he just gave in. For whatever you do, bind,

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00:26:00.079 --> 00:26:03.839
it's impressions to be said, you're
stopping exactly okay, and he should have

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00:26:03.920 --> 00:26:04.839
just said that. Listen, I
was pressured not to do it. I

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00:26:04.880 --> 00:26:10.200
realize that I'm probably too old to
do it another four years and now it's

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00:26:10.200 --> 00:26:11.640
being selfish. It's just I hate
how it's just turned into. So he

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00:26:11.720 --> 00:26:15.200
drops out, she takes over.
It's not like a whole primary again,

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which she was the worst primary candidate
last time. It's just alsodden her and

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everybody on that side is saying,
oh, but Harris is there, Okay

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00:26:23.200 --> 00:26:26.880
on board. I like her now, but I don't necessarily like her before

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00:26:26.880 --> 00:26:30.839
about lover now. At the end
of the day, it's the younger generation

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that better wake up and understand that
the powers at the top are going to

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00:26:34.519 --> 00:26:37.680
control who you have and who you
don't, and if you, guys don't

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00:26:37.720 --> 00:26:42.759
put your foot down and start getting
some term limits and getting a better process

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and demanding it. That's where the
protest should have been, not again and

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00:26:47.279 --> 00:26:52.359
not against uh that nau. It
should have been against the the the damn

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way the government decided who's going to
be running for president. That's where the

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protest should have been. Yeah,
I heard you talking about her. Moss

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protesting thereiculous. They were tagging the
capital with a moss spray paint. They

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00:27:03.960 --> 00:27:10.079
were hanging an American flag scarecrow with
a net Yahoo face pictured on him.

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One I had a Hamas flag and
it's like they're gonna support throwing. Yeah,

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00:27:14.799 --> 00:27:17.079
they were burning the How do you
support Hamas? I mean, it's

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a terror the other days because it
kind of picked my answer soup of Palestinians

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00:27:22.759 --> 00:27:26.079
support Hamas. So the majority don't
like a Moss. But if you look

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on the news, it's like one
hundred percent like a Moss. So the

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news is skewing it. Yeah,
they let Hamas get elected and take over,

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and that's don't they had a choice. Yeah, election five, it

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was a little different. But seventeen
years later, eighteen years later, I

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mean, a moss won a while
you don't vote for what we're going to

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kill you. My treadmill, as
you know, is in front of the

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CNN TV on and not much I
can do about that. So I was

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watching CNN a couple of nights ago
and they were talking about the election,

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and the question was, is this
bump that Harris has gotten and the bump

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00:28:00.759 --> 00:28:03.799
puts her kind of in a statistical
debt heat with Trumpet at this point?

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Is it sustainable? And they had
a democratic consultant time, and he was

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talking about and he you know,
it is sustainable, and she but she

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hasked to build. He said,
the bottom line is if the election were

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today and this was Wednesday or Thursday, she would lose, and lose badly.

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And by that, what he's saying
is that the national polls are irrelevant

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because of the electoral college. So
if your national poll is polling people in

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New York, in Los Angeles,
in Chicago, is not really a poll.

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00:28:34.279 --> 00:28:37.799
Yeah, I feel like you can
just sew those polls however you want.

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Yeah, And if you look at
the five or six swing states,

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Trump is a head in all of
them. And that's what he's saying.

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He's said, if the election were
held today, she'd get buried. I

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don't see him changing, Dave.
And that's why, you know, we

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look at this from an economic point
of view. They could talk all day

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long about numbers. We all know
what you can do with numbers, right,

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But when people take out, they
get their check put into their bank

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account, which is more than they
used to get, and they can't pay

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00:29:04.880 --> 00:29:10.640
all their bills. They're not comfortable, and the only thing they know it's

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00:29:10.680 --> 00:29:14.319
inflation. They go to the store. It's inflation. They pay the electric

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bill, it's inflation. I couldn't
believe how much my electric bill. It's

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00:29:18.039 --> 00:29:22.960
ridiculous. And they want to go
to all EV. We couldn't afford it,

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00:29:22.039 --> 00:29:27.279
Dave, it would triple electricity would
triple. Well, the government wants

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00:29:27.319 --> 00:29:30.240
to go to all EV and these
companies are finally saying they like GM and

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00:29:30.279 --> 00:29:33.759
all were on board, and then
now they're saying they just can't. It's

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00:29:33.759 --> 00:29:37.160
not probably like they can't do it
as fast as the government wants. The

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00:29:37.200 --> 00:29:40.440
government is living in a fantasy world
with those years. Oh, there's no

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00:29:40.519 --> 00:29:44.880
question what twelve or thirteen states of
mandated actually will be there. But it

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00:29:44.960 --> 00:29:47.599
can't be a ten year process all
of a sudden. No, we're gonna

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00:29:47.640 --> 00:29:49.119
have to build the infrastructure where they
didn't care about, they didn't think about.

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00:29:49.119 --> 00:29:52.799
It's ridiculous. And ten years there
will be no more gasoline powered,

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00:29:52.799 --> 00:29:56.400
no more ice internal combustion engines.
Are you kidding me? Now? I'll

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00:29:56.440 --> 00:30:00.839
just power everything with gas powered wind
turbine. First of all, what do

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00:30:00.920 --> 00:30:04.440
we do without portfolios? We diversify
an allocate, right, Sure, if

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00:30:04.440 --> 00:30:11.519
we put everything into one one industry
and one stock, one company, Is

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00:30:11.559 --> 00:30:15.960
that too risky? Of course,
why don't if you put everything into an

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00:30:15.960 --> 00:30:19.279
electric grid, is that not too
risky? Well, you have nothing else

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00:30:19.319 --> 00:30:25.480
to do. The things that can
go wrong with that unbelievable. I mean,

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00:30:25.519 --> 00:30:27.880
how do you get emergency vehicles there
if we have no electricity? How

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00:30:27.880 --> 00:30:30.880
do we do anything if we have
no electricity? Whatevers? If you need

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00:30:30.920 --> 00:30:34.720
emergency vehicles and there's multiple emergencies in
one day and they didn't have time to

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00:30:34.759 --> 00:30:38.279
go back in charge for an hour, a how we do with you did?

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00:30:38.359 --> 00:30:44.240
Last night? At five o'clock they
closed. There was the power A

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00:30:44.359 --> 00:30:48.799
pole got hit at Pontatok and sunrise
or sunrise now. In fact, one

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00:30:48.799 --> 00:30:52.799
of one of Linda's my wife's friends
was there and got the wires on her

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00:30:52.799 --> 00:30:56.599
car and had to be rescued by
the fire department. So she was actually

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00:30:56.599 --> 00:31:00.359
there and the fire the wires came
down, but the line I thought it

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00:31:00.400 --> 00:31:03.759
was without power, and so they
just shut it down. It's pretty much

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00:31:03.519 --> 00:31:06.920
the same thing today. You couldn't
even go through it all right, So

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00:31:07.039 --> 00:31:10.799
let's talk about uh oh that the
intersection was closed on Pridy as well.

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00:31:11.160 --> 00:31:18.119
Yeah. Wow, obviously what most
people care about what's going to go on

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00:31:18.160 --> 00:31:22.920
in the markets and stuff. This
is why we always talk about mitigating risk

398
00:31:22.160 --> 00:31:26.599
allocations. We had cast, we
started putting it into a little bit to

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00:31:26.680 --> 00:31:32.279
work. Will continue to do it. You can't just sit there anymore.

400
00:31:33.240 --> 00:31:37.720
The about where we are in the
in the in the the indexes, the

401
00:31:37.799 --> 00:31:41.599
percentage moves are so much greater,
are there the number of the amount the

402
00:31:41.640 --> 00:31:45.359
moves, The number moves are so
much greater than they used to be.

403
00:31:45.440 --> 00:31:48.400
Yeah, percentage one percent in the
S and P fifty points now, yeah,

404
00:31:48.160 --> 00:31:53.440
nothing used to be five points,
you know, I mean the Dow

405
00:31:53.599 --> 00:31:57.640
Jones up and down six seven hundred
points, it's at forty thousand. Yeah,

406
00:31:59.119 --> 00:32:00.559
it's right. So when we double
that, think about it. But

407
00:32:00.759 --> 00:32:04.799
if you had that stock that went
up ten you had a thousand shares and

408
00:32:04.839 --> 00:32:07.240
went up ten points at downtem point, it's a lot of money. So

409
00:32:07.559 --> 00:32:14.599
you have to realize percentages of allocation
are so important. Right now, we

410
00:32:14.680 --> 00:32:19.000
have been setting on a little more
cash than we've actually then we probably wanted

411
00:32:19.319 --> 00:32:22.799
over the last few months. And
as this pullback has given us an opportunity,

412
00:32:22.920 --> 00:32:24.839
lay Dean said to put our toe
in the water, which we did

413
00:32:24.839 --> 00:32:28.799
a little bit bought a little bit
of the equal weighted S and P five

414
00:32:28.839 --> 00:32:32.880
hundred, which has been lagging.
The rest of the market is up seven

415
00:32:32.920 --> 00:32:37.400
point five percent for the year,
which is about half of what the Nasdaq

416
00:32:37.519 --> 00:32:40.039
is up and about half of what
the S and P is up. And

417
00:32:40.160 --> 00:32:45.880
if the fread raises lower's interest rates, it's going to be another move up

418
00:32:45.880 --> 00:32:49.720
in the market. And that's where
you probably start hearing us again. Mitigate

419
00:32:49.759 --> 00:32:52.839
your risk, take some money off
the table, raise cash, because if

420
00:32:52.839 --> 00:32:57.880
they're going to have to keep lowing
rates, that means the economy is faltering.

421
00:32:57.920 --> 00:33:00.480
And we kind of see it a
little bit. Dave, start seeing

422
00:33:00.519 --> 00:33:04.160
me tell sales, you start seeing
restaurants. You know, the revenues are

423
00:33:04.200 --> 00:33:07.359
going down a little bit because people
just can't afford it. The credit card

424
00:33:07.440 --> 00:33:12.759
debt is up forty four percent,
forty four percent. And my wife,

425
00:33:12.880 --> 00:33:15.359
my wife and I get takeout almost
every night because they're just the two of

426
00:33:15.440 --> 00:33:17.799
us, right, So, and
he used to be about twenty five bucks.

427
00:33:17.960 --> 00:33:21.319
Now you're looking at forty. All
right, you're gonna say it's just

428
00:33:21.319 --> 00:33:23.720
because of the two of us.
One of you used that beautiful kitchen of

429
00:33:23.759 --> 00:33:28.240
yours. Well, we use we
use a little bit. Yeah, how

430
00:33:28.240 --> 00:33:30.720
many times in the five years,
six years, seven years you lived there?

431
00:33:30.799 --> 00:33:34.279
Funny story, Yeah, funny story. We've lived there twelve We've lived

432
00:33:34.319 --> 00:33:38.079
there twelve years, and about three
years ago my wife realized one of the

433
00:33:38.160 --> 00:33:45.599
burners on the stove didn't work.
He's been there nine years and one of

434
00:33:45.640 --> 00:33:49.079
the burners on the stove didn't work. We just realized the first time to

435
00:33:49.119 --> 00:33:51.759
try to cook at your house,
had to get a barberice. There's a

436
00:33:51.799 --> 00:33:53.720
place in the backyard for a built
in barbecue grill, and the one that

437
00:33:53.799 --> 00:33:57.200
was there was kind of nasty.
So I got a new one, and

438
00:33:57.640 --> 00:34:00.519
you never used that. I've heared
the ones us to clean. That's very

439
00:34:00.559 --> 00:34:04.359
clean, and that's one of the
problems my wife is. My wife likes

440
00:34:04.359 --> 00:34:07.720
things very neat, so when you
use the grill, you have to clean

441
00:34:07.799 --> 00:34:09.480
up the grill as if it's like
brand new. And I'm just not going

442
00:34:09.559 --> 00:34:14.440
to go through that. I'm not
either gonna do that. I have people,

443
00:34:14.480 --> 00:34:16.360
I have people that will cook for
me, so I just I'll just

444
00:34:16.400 --> 00:34:20.079
go get it, you know.
But the point is more to do that

445
00:34:20.159 --> 00:34:22.400
now. The point is it used
to be twenty five bucks. Now it's

446
00:34:22.400 --> 00:34:23.840
forty Dan, what did you say
the credit card that was up forty four

447
00:34:23.840 --> 00:34:28.000
percent? And that's not even including
all the afterpayd the ghost that we talk

448
00:34:28.199 --> 00:34:30.719
the phantom debt that just talks about
now right, that's insane. No,

449
00:34:30.920 --> 00:34:36.960
it's gonna you know, it's gonna
come home eventually, and it's going to

450
00:34:37.039 --> 00:34:38.840
hurt. And that's when you'll have
that little recession if we don't have an

451
00:34:38.840 --> 00:34:43.599
economy that's spurred on. I don't
want an economy that's spurred on by government

452
00:34:43.679 --> 00:34:46.440
spending. I don't want a bigger
government. I want a smaller government.

453
00:34:46.519 --> 00:34:51.239
We already had that after COVID.
That's what spurred on the economy, was

454
00:34:51.280 --> 00:34:53.239
the government spending all the money.
And now that's why we have record debt.

455
00:34:53.320 --> 00:34:57.599
And that's why you're looking like you
might need to raise taxes later on,

456
00:34:57.760 --> 00:35:00.119
because you have to pay for the
debt somehow. It can't just go

457
00:35:00.199 --> 00:35:01.920
to this guy, which right now
it seems like that's all they don't care.

458
00:35:02.199 --> 00:35:06.000
More and more young people. When
I say young people from twenty five

459
00:35:06.000 --> 00:35:08.800
to forty five years old, I've
been talking to a lot of them.

460
00:35:09.079 --> 00:35:12.960
Obviously, I've gone to some of
my kids. They've had parties. Their

461
00:35:12.960 --> 00:35:16.440
friends are there. They're hurting,
and they're making pretty good money, a

462
00:35:16.440 --> 00:35:20.320
lot of them in one hundred,
one hundred and fifty two hundred thousand range.

463
00:35:20.519 --> 00:35:22.760
And they're hurting with the kids,
and they're like, this has got

464
00:35:22.800 --> 00:35:24.880
to stop. I said, well, there's only one way to stop it.

465
00:35:25.239 --> 00:35:28.760
They go, we're already doing it. There's no way we can vote

466
00:35:29.000 --> 00:35:31.159
for Biden at the time. And
now Harris, it's got to be Trump

467
00:35:31.239 --> 00:35:37.840
because they are realizing the economy is
so important, so important that if they

468
00:35:37.840 --> 00:35:42.199
don't get that our debt down,
or they don't get taxes under control,

469
00:35:42.400 --> 00:35:45.199
and we stop spending money in areas
that are not benefiting us, and stop

470
00:35:45.280 --> 00:35:50.840
giving away free, free loans to
people that take them out and don't realize,

471
00:35:51.840 --> 00:35:53.519
then they do it. So I
said, you better go vote.

472
00:35:53.639 --> 00:35:58.400
We'll be back. It's the Money
Matter Show. Thanks for listening. Welcome

473
00:35:58.400 --> 00:36:00.719
back everybody to the Money Matter of
Shit. Know, we do really appreciate

474
00:36:00.760 --> 00:36:04.239
your listening. If you want to
listen more, I want to go back

475
00:36:04.280 --> 00:36:09.239
and and and and check something.
H you want to hear another monologue or

476
00:36:09.280 --> 00:36:12.840
see if we were right on certain
things. All you have to do is

477
00:36:12.880 --> 00:36:16.079
go to our website. Go onto
the YouTube page. There's information. But

478
00:36:16.199 --> 00:36:20.280
you have all the radio shows,
all the TV shows on there. Uh,

479
00:36:20.639 --> 00:36:23.480
pick and choose which one you want
and listen and stop and come back

480
00:36:23.480 --> 00:36:28.960
and listen or put it on a
podcast. We're on every single platform of

481
00:36:29.000 --> 00:36:32.039
the podcast, whether it's Apple,
whether it's Spotify, one of the other

482
00:36:32.079 --> 00:36:36.679
ones. I'll know, Amazon,
you know. But you just go to

483
00:36:36.880 --> 00:36:43.199
Money Matters, Money Matters with Dean
Greenberg. Yeah, YouTube show too.

484
00:36:43.360 --> 00:36:45.239
Get all of our TV shows us
and the most important ones. Yeah,

485
00:36:45.239 --> 00:36:47.880
we won't be on the TV for
about a month because of the We're gonna

486
00:36:47.880 --> 00:36:52.920
pre empted for the Olympics. The
Olympics, which one of my favorite.

487
00:36:52.960 --> 00:36:58.159
What's the time difference? Maybe you
would know more. He's the traveler over

488
00:36:58.159 --> 00:37:02.679
here, I'm thinking, I'm thinking
sick. No, it's it's a shin.

489
00:37:04.119 --> 00:37:08.079
That's true sh New York. So
yeah, nine that makes somewhere in

490
00:37:08.079 --> 00:37:13.159
the world is six hour difference.
And it's the East. Opening ceremonies are

491
00:37:13.280 --> 00:37:17.840
Friday night. They were opening ceremonies
are already on, already happens. Yeah,

492
00:37:17.880 --> 00:37:22.480
and uh, getting going having some
fun. I think that like the

493
00:37:22.480 --> 00:37:25.559
summer Olympics or the winter Olympics better
summer like Summer Olympics better. Yeah,

494
00:37:27.360 --> 00:37:30.719
and then we get the Summer Olympics
in twenty eight, the United States at

495
00:37:30.719 --> 00:37:34.239
the Winter Olympics in thirty two,
we get the winter thirty four. Wow.

496
00:37:34.320 --> 00:37:36.760
Yeah, going back to Salt Lake
City. Its good stuff, a

497
00:37:36.800 --> 00:37:39.920
lot of fun nine hours sporting events. Yeah, nine hour difference. Did

498
00:37:39.920 --> 00:37:45.280
you talk about that inversion? Really
get down the the inversion that we've been

499
00:37:45.320 --> 00:37:51.559
dealing with for a historically long period
of time, that being when short term

500
00:37:51.599 --> 00:37:54.679
rates are higher than long term rates, and that's coming down getting close to

501
00:37:54.960 --> 00:38:00.000
I think we're nineteen basis points last
what I read, which is really getting

502
00:38:00.000 --> 00:38:02.440
and that's the lot we've seen it
in a couple of months. And so

503
00:38:02.519 --> 00:38:07.199
let me ask you all the question. If we the inverted ye O curve

504
00:38:07.199 --> 00:38:13.719
that's supposed to start a recession and
the recession doesn't happen, becomes uninverted,

505
00:38:14.000 --> 00:38:16.440
does that mean that we don't have
the recession? There you, it means

506
00:38:16.440 --> 00:38:22.119
that indications didn't work. Indicator indicator
just didn't work, is what it is.

507
00:38:22.800 --> 00:38:25.400
It doesn't necessarily then that's never been
the end all be all. Just

508
00:38:25.559 --> 00:38:30.599
happened during it led up to other
recessions, but it doesn't mean that's the

509
00:38:30.599 --> 00:38:34.920
only indication. So do you think
that it becomes uninverted if that's such a

510
00:38:34.960 --> 00:38:40.000
word, that we still can't have
a recession, recession act, a normal

511
00:38:40.239 --> 00:38:45.199
curve. Absolutely. Yeah. It's
because the Fed has to play this game

512
00:38:45.239 --> 00:38:49.519
of knowing when it's time to lower
rates, and if they do it too

513
00:38:49.559 --> 00:38:53.719
soon, then that's what happened.
I'm not sure it's too soon right now.

514
00:38:53.719 --> 00:38:58.320
It's more the mindset of it.
I think. I think the idea

515
00:38:58.719 --> 00:39:02.639
is they're going to lower it September. It's getting more and more that they're

516
00:39:02.639 --> 00:39:06.280
going to lower it in September,
And now on Friday we heard that they're

517
00:39:06.280 --> 00:39:08.880
going to do three drops. Yeah, the Fed funds future rates are pricing

518
00:39:08.880 --> 00:39:12.480
in a one hundred percent chance of
three rate cuts and I was like,

519
00:39:12.559 --> 00:39:15.360
dang, really, that's crazy.
Twenty four. That means there's things that

520
00:39:15.440 --> 00:39:20.079
are going on behind the scenes.
That's what I been saying. That means

521
00:39:20.119 --> 00:39:23.519
if they're about in the numbers,
but I promise you we will have we

522
00:39:23.559 --> 00:39:27.920
will have the worst relay if Trump
gets in, those numbers will turn to

523
00:39:27.960 --> 00:39:31.840
be so bad so quickly that that
they'll say, you see Trump got it.

524
00:39:31.920 --> 00:39:36.079
Look what's happening. I think a
lot of people miss they have a

525
00:39:36.079 --> 00:39:38.239
missed idea about interest rates though,
because when we say it's one hundred percent

526
00:39:38.320 --> 00:39:40.679
chance of rate cuts three three of
them by the end of the year,

527
00:39:40.960 --> 00:39:45.039
that's already priced into the markets.
So just because the Fed actually does lower

528
00:39:45.079 --> 00:39:47.840
the rates does not mean that rates
are going to get lowered again the market

529
00:39:49.840 --> 00:39:52.559
mortgage rates will come down. Well, what hurts the markets during that time

530
00:39:52.840 --> 00:39:58.239
of mortgage rates aren't affected by the
FED, that's right, yeah, yeah,

531
00:39:58.320 --> 00:40:02.280
but they but the your rates that
you're paying on loans and stuff adjustables,

532
00:40:02.280 --> 00:40:06.599
they all come down, which they
already have because the tenure has already

533
00:40:06.639 --> 00:40:10.519
come down over the last month.
Because they're tied anticipate to they're tied to

534
00:40:13.519 --> 00:40:15.840
different indicators from the Fed too.
The Fed is the dog the whales attack,

535
00:40:16.000 --> 00:40:17.880
right. I used to be tied
to the prime rate, and then

536
00:40:17.960 --> 00:40:21.840
the prime rate moves when the FED
moves. But you're right, tied.

537
00:40:22.000 --> 00:40:24.880
The interest rates have come down rather
noticeably. I mean the ten years up

538
00:40:24.880 --> 00:40:29.000
four point one nine. Yeah,
it was five. Yeah, So that

539
00:40:29.079 --> 00:40:31.039
that is your three cuts, right
are seventy five base points, right,

540
00:40:31.039 --> 00:40:36.360
So the market is already anticipating.
That's why we've seen the small caps take

541
00:40:36.400 --> 00:40:39.679
off. Right, small caps take
They have an advantage, as Dean says,

542
00:40:39.719 --> 00:40:45.199
when loans prices get I mean loan
charger interest rates get lowered, they

543
00:40:45.199 --> 00:40:46.880
can grow up more. I was
looking back at the end of June.

544
00:40:47.039 --> 00:40:52.000
At the end of June, the
Nasdaq was up I believe you're today eighteen

545
00:40:52.079 --> 00:41:00.920
percent and the Russell was up.
One Friday, the Nasdaq is up fifteen

546
00:41:00.760 --> 00:41:06.400
and the Russell is up twelve.
Wow. How's that for a rally?

547
00:41:06.559 --> 00:41:07.679
Yeah, and it's really been over. It feels like three and a half

548
00:41:07.719 --> 00:41:12.920
weeks. It hasn't been like two
months. Like you know, she's very

549
00:41:12.960 --> 00:41:15.239
loaded, you know, like you're
say, in the last couple of weeks,

550
00:41:15.239 --> 00:41:20.199
Why, yes, took off that
we've been but two Okay, we

551
00:41:20.320 --> 00:41:22.960
use the indexes for that. That's
so much individual stocks, Oh absolutely,

552
00:41:23.119 --> 00:41:31.079
especially especially that's because would you rather
buy a Microsoft an Apple that is pulled

553
00:41:31.119 --> 00:41:35.800
back that that's earnings. Would you
rather buy a company for that matter,

554
00:41:35.840 --> 00:41:38.760
that has earnings, or do you
rather buy a company that doesn't have earnings?

555
00:41:38.800 --> 00:41:42.719
Lost a dollar fifty for the last
year. But yeah, it's gonna

556
00:41:42.719 --> 00:41:46.320
probably go up forty and you don't
know which one of those companies is gonna

557
00:41:46.519 --> 00:41:51.199
gonna be so that the russell is
two thousand. Sure. That also depends

558
00:41:51.199 --> 00:41:52.880
on how old the person is that
you just asked that question too. If

559
00:41:52.880 --> 00:41:55.480
you're thirty, I'm sure they're going
to try and pick the stock that goes

560
00:41:55.559 --> 00:42:00.920
up one thousand percent. Apple.
The question the opportunity, How do you

561
00:42:00.039 --> 00:42:04.440
do that unless it's technical. Yeah, I'm just saying. But if you're

562
00:42:04.440 --> 00:42:06.639
a guy, somebody you're talking to
who's retired. We talked to a lot

563
00:42:06.679 --> 00:42:09.039
of retired people. They're not gonna
want to hit some small cap company try

564
00:42:09.079 --> 00:42:13.400
and guess which one's gonna take off. They're gonna buy the pullback. They're

565
00:42:13.400 --> 00:42:15.599
gonna want to buy the pullback of
a company that's already made it, like

566
00:42:15.639 --> 00:42:19.559
an Apple. A lot of the
new investors that are in their thirties and

567
00:42:19.920 --> 00:42:23.400
twenties they invest on hype, right
which they see something in the news,

568
00:42:23.480 --> 00:42:28.000
Oh, game stocks going crazy,
Oh this AI is going crazy, and

569
00:42:28.000 --> 00:42:30.079
then that's why they invest in it. There's not really a thesis on why

570
00:42:30.119 --> 00:42:34.760
they are going to be a valuable
company in the future or technical analysis.

571
00:42:34.760 --> 00:42:37.639
They don't even know what that is. So I think most of the time

572
00:42:37.679 --> 00:42:39.480
these retail investors are just working on
hype, you know, whatever they see

573
00:42:39.480 --> 00:42:42.480
in the news, especially in the
last four years. I mean in twenty

574
00:42:42.480 --> 00:42:45.960
twenty, we saw those twelve hundred
dollars checks get deposited in the robin Hood

575
00:42:45.039 --> 00:42:49.360
and that's why we saw a bunch
of those penny stocks just skyrocket, and

576
00:42:49.440 --> 00:42:52.199
all the spacks that were going public
just skyrocket because they're just throwing twelve hundred

577
00:42:52.199 --> 00:42:55.000
dollars in there and not really knowing
what they're doing. They're just seeing it

578
00:42:55.000 --> 00:42:58.920
on Reddit or something like that.
Yeah, people out here selling naked call

579
00:42:58.960 --> 00:43:01.800
options having no idea what it is. And my experience, my experience has

580
00:43:01.840 --> 00:43:07.000
been that the average person doesn't pay
much attention to the stock market. No,

581
00:43:07.119 --> 00:43:09.039
but it also is my experience that
the average person thinks they know more

582
00:43:09.519 --> 00:43:14.440
than the average person about the stock
market. I don't know about that,

583
00:43:14.559 --> 00:43:17.360
but there are people out there that
do it themselves. And what we've said

584
00:43:17.400 --> 00:43:21.239
before is if you can cut your
own hair, you don't need a barber,

585
00:43:21.719 --> 00:43:23.079
right, And I would say if
you took a group of those people,

586
00:43:23.199 --> 00:43:27.719
a lot don't actually aren't doing as
good as they think they're doing.

587
00:43:27.719 --> 00:43:30.880
I mean, you and I are
talking last week about eighty percent of the

588
00:43:30.960 --> 00:43:34.840
population does not pay any attention to
politics. Eighty percent. Yeah, And

589
00:43:34.880 --> 00:43:37.800
it's also confirmation bias. If you're
the one managing your on portfolio, you

590
00:43:37.840 --> 00:43:40.199
don't want to say that you could
have done better. The TV audience for

591
00:43:40.320 --> 00:43:45.599
the Republican National Convention was twice what
it was four years ago, up to

592
00:43:45.679 --> 00:43:50.760
seven percent. I mean, honestly, that the people don't most people are

593
00:43:50.800 --> 00:43:53.280
not interested in politics. Well,
that'd be interesting to see what the Democratic

594
00:43:53.800 --> 00:43:58.159
watch is now. It will Yeah, there's going to be a debate between

595
00:43:58.159 --> 00:44:00.920
the two. Oh yeah, yeah, what do you think there will be?

596
00:44:01.000 --> 00:44:05.840
But he's not going to just concede
to her and let CNN or somebody

597
00:44:05.840 --> 00:44:07.559
else do it. He's gonna be
Hey, you don't think the Democratic Party

598
00:44:07.559 --> 00:44:12.119
doesn't want the debate. I feel
like they would try to shy away from

599
00:44:12.159 --> 00:44:15.159
that. No, he said that
he will debate her multiple times before the

600
00:44:15.199 --> 00:44:17.960
election, I know, And then
she said I wanted to debate him.

601
00:44:19.000 --> 00:44:21.280
I called him and said I would, and then he kind of back tailed

602
00:44:22.079 --> 00:44:29.400
rights, right, and that if
they have to debate, because otherwise she's

603
00:44:29.400 --> 00:44:31.639
dead, you have to he's got. Yeah, absolutely, they've got to

604
00:44:31.679 --> 00:44:35.880
take this shot. Yeah, they
have to, but they they're probably trying

605
00:44:35.920 --> 00:44:37.840
to push it off as long as
possible because like she just got in,

606
00:44:37.079 --> 00:44:39.800
Like the Democratic grategerer said, if
the election were to day, she had

607
00:44:39.800 --> 00:44:44.239
live in a landslide. So they've
got to do something. They've got to

608
00:44:44.280 --> 00:44:46.559
be proactive. Anybody knows that,
and that's why he wants it on his

609
00:44:46.719 --> 00:44:51.519
terms this time. Oh absolutely.
I mean I actually thought that they did

610
00:44:51.559 --> 00:44:54.519
a good job with the questions they
asked. But you know, they don't.

611
00:44:54.639 --> 00:44:57.840
They didn't want an audience. They
didn't want this, they didn't want

612
00:44:57.840 --> 00:45:00.639
that. I mean, bottom line, they Okay, you had yours your

613
00:45:00.679 --> 00:45:04.440
device, friend, I'm running,
I was president. I want it on

614
00:45:04.480 --> 00:45:07.800
my terms. Now let's do it
with a Fox audience. Yeah, we

615
00:45:07.840 --> 00:45:12.119
always forget Trump as the next president. Right, they do one of Fox

616
00:45:12.119 --> 00:45:14.960
and they want to CNN. Well, they could do what he wants the

617
00:45:14.960 --> 00:45:17.440
next one with him. Here's the
thing, whatever's one in September. That's

618
00:45:17.440 --> 00:45:21.639
really the last one that matters because
if you have in October, people have

619
00:45:21.719 --> 00:45:24.639
already made up their minds and uh
and probably voted already. Well, as

620
00:45:24.639 --> 00:45:28.400
we were saying the CNN debate was
like one of its first of its kind,

621
00:45:28.519 --> 00:45:31.760
that it was actually brought on by
news, by the Democratic Party that

622
00:45:31.800 --> 00:45:36.000
wanted to get rid of Biden.
You think, oh, yeah, they

623
00:45:36.000 --> 00:45:37.320
don't. You don't. It was
as easiest way to get rid of them

624
00:45:37.320 --> 00:45:40.559
without them saying, oh, you're
deteriorating, you need to get out of

625
00:45:40.559 --> 00:45:45.000
here. Yeah. I really was
downhill from that night. Yes, And

626
00:45:45.039 --> 00:45:47.679
they beat them up hard, and
all the pundits beat them up, Dave,

627
00:45:49.159 --> 00:45:53.119
all the It's amazing to me watching
the whole media and all the left

628
00:45:53.679 --> 00:46:00.480
congress people and all the all the
uh, the commentary. They all have

629
00:46:00.559 --> 00:46:04.760
the same key words. It's almost
like they all are the same texts here.

630
00:46:04.880 --> 00:46:07.719
These are the words you're gonna use. She was not bizarre border.

631
00:46:07.280 --> 00:46:13.639
Okay, it's the it's the prosecutor
versus the convicted felon. It's this,

632
00:46:13.719 --> 00:46:15.000
it's this, it's this, it's
this. They all say the same thing,

633
00:46:15.119 --> 00:46:17.480
same on the other side. It
was the greatest, It was the

634
00:46:17.559 --> 00:46:21.880
greatest speech ever. That was the
best way to go out. I got

635
00:46:21.920 --> 00:46:23.119
tears in my eyes. How many
of them have to tell you they have

636
00:46:23.159 --> 00:46:28.280
tears in their eyes. It's ridiculous. Oh you heard last week was DEI

637
00:46:28.400 --> 00:46:31.400
higher right? Right? Yeah,
And you heard that from people from senators,

638
00:46:31.440 --> 00:46:37.159
from congressmen, from companiors all different
states. Companies are just getting rid

639
00:46:37.199 --> 00:46:38.280
of that on their own. It's
not politics that's getting rid of that.

640
00:46:38.320 --> 00:46:42.079
They're seeing that. They want to
get rid of it because it's not helping

641
00:46:42.119 --> 00:46:45.079
their company. That's what I've been
trying to say. All their policies do

642
00:46:45.159 --> 00:46:49.639
not work. But people hate Trump. They don't even want to listen.

643
00:46:50.000 --> 00:46:53.800
They believed I. No, it's
not equal period, it's not get it

644
00:46:53.840 --> 00:46:58.559
on your merit. Do I think
they need more opportunities for education, Yes,

645
00:46:59.000 --> 00:47:02.800
take advantage of them. Don't lower
the bar. Bring everybody over the

646
00:47:02.800 --> 00:47:07.920
ball. Trump run against abt anybody
but Trump, and that you can as

647
00:47:07.920 --> 00:47:12.199
evidence of that. He had Biden
and he drops out. And here's his

648
00:47:12.639 --> 00:47:15.639
number is about the same. But
here's the difference. Four years ago,

649
00:47:15.159 --> 00:47:19.760
nobody wanted, they were embarrassed and
did not want to say they were voting

650
00:47:19.760 --> 00:47:22.199
for Trump even they wanted them.
This time, people are shouting from the

651
00:47:22.239 --> 00:47:28.239
rooftops, vote for Trump or else. You know, that's where the difference

652
00:47:28.360 --> 00:47:30.559
is. You're not afraid to say
you're voting for Trump. Now we'll be

653
00:47:30.599 --> 00:47:35.679
back. It's some money by the
show. Thank you for listening. Welcome

654
00:47:35.719 --> 00:47:38.119
back to the Moneymatter Show. We
are on the second hour of Dylan Greenberg.

655
00:47:38.159 --> 00:47:42.880
I'm here with Dave Sherwood, Todd
Glick, and Sebastian Borsini and Dean

656
00:47:42.880 --> 00:47:45.480
Greenberg. For those of you just
tuning in. Last week, the Dow

657
00:47:45.599 --> 00:47:49.880
is up point seven percent, the
S and P five hundred was down point

658
00:47:49.880 --> 00:47:52.639
eight percent, the NASDAK was down
two point one percent, the Russell two

659
00:47:52.719 --> 00:47:55.960
thousand was up three point four percent, and the RSP, which is the

660
00:47:57.000 --> 00:47:59.840
equal way to S and P five
hundred, was up point eight percent.

661
00:48:00.440 --> 00:48:02.960
So we're continuing to see the shift
into small cap, in mid cap and

662
00:48:04.440 --> 00:48:07.559
more broad market rather than concentrated in
those tech stocks which have taken off,

663
00:48:07.679 --> 00:48:13.000
I mean in videos down fifteen percent
from its eyes recently. I'm gonna say,

664
00:48:13.000 --> 00:48:15.960
if you've been looking for a place
to buy Nvidio, to buy a

665
00:48:16.079 --> 00:48:22.119
broadcom, to buy AMD, they've
all come down hard. It didn't last

666
00:48:22.239 --> 00:48:25.559
very long, well, I didn't. In the video opportunity I think you

667
00:48:25.599 --> 00:48:30.920
had. Like Thursday morning, it
dropped pretty big and then like ONEIX.

668
00:48:30.000 --> 00:48:34.599
Yeah, I didn't recovery around one
thirteen. It's what I'm saying, down

669
00:48:34.639 --> 00:48:37.320
from one hundred and forty, How
quick that thing moves. Yeah, and

670
00:48:37.320 --> 00:48:38.719
it's a stock that like, if
you've been waiting for an opportunity, this

671
00:48:38.760 --> 00:48:42.440
looks like it's one. To get
your feet wet. Don't try and go

672
00:48:42.519 --> 00:48:44.840
all in because it could go down
under one hundred. Oh. I also

673
00:48:44.880 --> 00:48:46.639
could never see one fifteen again.
It could just go up forever. Yeah,

674
00:48:46.719 --> 00:48:50.719
there's like no and it moves quick, So get you want some dry

675
00:48:50.760 --> 00:48:52.679
powder on the side. That was
a gap in the chart around ninety five,

676
00:48:52.719 --> 00:48:55.920
and I'm thinking that would be worst
case scenario down to ninety five.

677
00:48:55.960 --> 00:49:00.760
But uh, like Dylan just said, it can be one third thirty five

678
00:49:00.760 --> 00:49:02.440
in a heartbeat. All they have
to do say something. Their business is

679
00:49:02.639 --> 00:49:13.719
killing killing it still and comments from
Zuckerberg and Elon Musko last week confirming that

680
00:49:13.719 --> 00:49:17.480
that inn Vidia is just going nuts. The demand for their product continues to

681
00:49:17.519 --> 00:49:22.599
be just off the charts, but
that there's been a rotation away from that

682
00:49:22.920 --> 00:49:30.760
semiconductor area temporarily. AI has not
gone away. AI chips have not gone

683
00:49:30.800 --> 00:49:37.000
away. The companies are going to
benefit from that meta uh in vidio A,

684
00:49:37.199 --> 00:49:42.480
MD, Broadcom. Those those stocks
have all come come in ten fifteen

685
00:49:42.519 --> 00:49:44.800
percent. There was a little bit
of a discount, a little bit of

686
00:49:44.840 --> 00:49:47.440
a sale going on, and I'd
say AI hasn't gone away, but the

687
00:49:47.440 --> 00:49:51.760
profitability of AI also has not come
yet. It has not come, and

688
00:49:51.760 --> 00:49:54.599
that's what's hurting them, and that's
what hurt yep predominantly Google, right,

689
00:49:54.639 --> 00:50:00.079
I mean, Google didn't reported fine
earnings, but they didn't. They they

690
00:50:00.079 --> 00:50:01.960
spend too much on AI, so
they didn't have the money coming in to

691
00:50:02.039 --> 00:50:06.559
offset that, and investors didn't like
that. But again, like you said,

692
00:50:06.639 --> 00:50:08.519
you need to build out your platform. So yeah, you're gonna have

693
00:50:08.599 --> 00:50:12.760
upfront costs, and if with a
quality company like Google, that's probably a

694
00:50:12.760 --> 00:50:15.800
good opportunity because once they have it
built out, they're gonna be fine.

695
00:50:15.840 --> 00:50:19.280
I mean, think about Meta last
couple of years. They put twenty billion

696
00:50:19.320 --> 00:50:23.119
dollars roughly in the last two years
into AI, into the metaverse, augmented

697
00:50:23.719 --> 00:50:27.760
vendors, reality, all that stuff
they kept putting money into, and their

698
00:50:27.800 --> 00:50:30.280
earnings for those times when they kept
saying we're gonna take a nine billion dollars

699
00:50:30.320 --> 00:50:32.440
hit on this, drop drop drop, their stock dropped and now that's in

700
00:50:32.480 --> 00:50:36.280
the past. It was they had
to build the platform, and now they're

701
00:50:36.280 --> 00:50:37.719
moving forward, and their stocks sat
at all time. Himes Meta dropped from

702
00:50:37.800 --> 00:50:40.880
like three hundred to sub one hundred
and came back real quick. To be

703
00:50:40.920 --> 00:50:45.440
fair, they did kind of say
they're gonna stop investing virtuality because it wasn't

704
00:50:45.440 --> 00:50:46.920
as good as they thought. I
don't think the AI is gonna have the

705
00:50:46.920 --> 00:50:51.840
same horizon as virtual reality. I
think AI is a lot more profitable than

706
00:50:51.920 --> 00:50:54.840
what virtuality had the potential to be. And that's again why these quality companies

707
00:50:54.880 --> 00:50:58.679
that are building it out. If
you have an opportunity to when they're selling

708
00:50:58.719 --> 00:51:01.719
off and you're buying in when they're
building these things out. I remember,

709
00:51:01.800 --> 00:51:05.760
yeah, with Google as an example, we bought it. There's a pullback

710
00:51:05.800 --> 00:51:07.159
a few months ago, it was
like down to one to twenty, pull

711
00:51:07.199 --> 00:51:10.119
back for one thirty five. We
use that as buy an opportunity, shall

712
00:51:10.159 --> 00:51:13.800
the way up to one eighty.
Now it's back to one sixty five roughly,

713
00:51:14.639 --> 00:51:16.960
where's buy an opportunity once? If
you're been watching it and looking at

714
00:51:17.000 --> 00:51:20.840
it, it might be time to
start going in. Another great example is

715
00:51:20.840 --> 00:51:23.239
Apple. Right they're report earnings in
six days next week, and that's going

716
00:51:23.280 --> 00:51:27.559
to be a really interesting one,
potentially what they say about AI every single

717
00:51:27.599 --> 00:51:30.199
earnings report with Apple, we're going
to be looking what's the AI with their

718
00:51:30.239 --> 00:51:32.760
iPhones coming up? When, when's
it coming out? When's it doing it?

719
00:51:32.800 --> 00:51:37.639
And it's obviously still probably a year
away, but as we get closer

720
00:51:37.639 --> 00:51:40.039
and closer, that stocks gonna be
really interesting to watch. How that comes

721
00:51:40.039 --> 00:51:44.280
that supercycle, right that we all
super cycle? Yeah, you get you

722
00:51:44.320 --> 00:51:47.039
get AI capability and the iPhone.
Everybody's gonna want one of those. I'm

723
00:51:47.039 --> 00:51:50.519
trade of my phone in Yeah,
absolutely, I mean they're all going they're

724
00:51:50.559 --> 00:51:52.480
all going in. Right. My
wife's sitting with an eleven that she's perfectly

725
00:51:52.480 --> 00:51:55.760
happy with. That'll change, Yeah, you know for sure once the AI

726
00:51:55.840 --> 00:51:59.760
capability comes, right, Clinda,
once some AI on her phone, I'm

727
00:51:59.760 --> 00:52:02.440
guess so you would think that those
would be record iPhone sales. That's like,

728
00:52:02.519 --> 00:52:06.840
that's like the jump from the first
iPhone to like the fifth iPhone,

729
00:52:06.880 --> 00:52:10.440
those generation jumps, right, it
makes a huge difference. Uh. This

730
00:52:10.480 --> 00:52:14.920
week, we did have the PCEE
come in. Thanks for mentioning. I

731
00:52:14.960 --> 00:52:17.119
was going to say that was probably
the most significant news of the week,

732
00:52:17.440 --> 00:52:22.000
and the market didn't really care because
it came in a little above expectations,

733
00:52:22.039 --> 00:52:25.320
which should have put some pressure on
the market, but we had interest rates

734
00:52:25.360 --> 00:52:30.159
fall though I was right. It
was exactly what was expected. Up point

735
00:52:30.199 --> 00:52:34.360
one for the expected to fall,
and two point it went up. Up

736
00:52:34.400 --> 00:52:37.840
point one, up point one for
the month. We two point went about

737
00:52:37.880 --> 00:52:44.360
more percent or a year over year. Absolutely according to the Kramer and CNBC,

738
00:52:44.480 --> 00:52:46.599
it was exactly what was expected.
And the Dow responded with an eight

739
00:52:46.719 --> 00:52:52.239
hundred point rally. So the Dows
rallied eight hundred points after that news.

740
00:52:52.360 --> 00:52:58.320
Why god, there's point one actual
point two No not. According to CNBC,

741
00:52:58.440 --> 00:53:01.159
they said dal Jones expected point one
percent increase. Yeah, point one

742
00:53:01.239 --> 00:53:05.320
was anyway, make a long story
short, The market rallied eight hundred points,

743
00:53:05.320 --> 00:53:07.920
so that tells me that was exactly
what they expected, and they were

744
00:53:07.960 --> 00:53:14.000
relieved at fifty nine point rally in
the S and P five hundred, pretty

745
00:53:14.480 --> 00:53:21.280
pretty strong on the On the economy, existing home sales down five point four

746
00:53:21.320 --> 00:53:25.159
percent in June versus May. As
we're slowly starting to see a shift away

747
00:53:25.199 --> 00:53:29.880
from the saler's market. I know
here in town there are for sale signs

748
00:53:29.880 --> 00:53:34.079
I'm seeing now that I've seen from
a couple of months. They're saying it's

749
00:53:34.119 --> 00:53:37.320
shifting over to a buyer's market now
all over the country. Longer sale time,

750
00:53:37.360 --> 00:53:44.320
fewer offers, signs staying up noticeably
longer. We got second quarter GDP

751
00:53:44.480 --> 00:53:47.519
which was two point eight percent,
which was stronger than expected. Next week

752
00:53:47.559 --> 00:53:52.320
we got the FED interest rate decision
on Wednesday, with the presser following that,

753
00:53:52.119 --> 00:53:55.039
and then we get the unemployment rate
and non farm payrolls on Friday.

754
00:53:55.119 --> 00:53:58.960
Yeah, Wednesday is a FED Wednesday, the two day meeting, right,

755
00:53:59.199 --> 00:54:02.159
yep, and that are expected the
whole study for this one. Yeah,

756
00:54:02.199 --> 00:54:05.960
this is this is the August meeting, right, So that's the I'm here

757
00:54:05.960 --> 00:54:09.880
and talk about. It's technically July
July thirty first, Yeah, that's for

758
00:54:10.039 --> 00:54:15.199
Wednesday. That's my wedding annivers shodow, I know what day is. And

759
00:54:15.280 --> 00:54:17.760
then the next day, which is
interesting, we had the Bank of England

760
00:54:17.800 --> 00:54:22.639
making their rate decisions. So how
Europe is doing their pretty much all central

761
00:54:22.639 --> 00:54:27.199
banks are in their rate cutting cycle, fifty of them right now, and

762
00:54:27.239 --> 00:54:30.639
they're all signaling that they're going to
do it. But the one who's actually

763
00:54:30.719 --> 00:54:35.119
raising rates Russia's Central Bank for Yeah, they have inflation all of a sudden.

764
00:54:35.360 --> 00:54:38.639
It's hilarious. Yeah, we would. I think probably the interest tricks

765
00:54:38.679 --> 00:54:43.880
are cut are coming. We're starting
to see, as Dean mentioned the economy

766
00:54:43.960 --> 00:54:49.920
week in a bit, we uh. Most of the corporate reports that have

767
00:54:50.000 --> 00:54:57.320
come out have had guidance that was
tempered to disappointing. I saw one on

768
00:54:57.400 --> 00:55:01.599
Friday from a company called Dexcom.
Dexcom is a medical device company. It's

769
00:55:01.679 --> 00:55:08.360
dropped forty percent to the lowest level
since the pandemic. Wow. Right after

770
00:55:08.360 --> 00:55:14.480
the company posted a second quarter minute, dex Com also lowered their fiscal full

771
00:55:14.559 --> 00:55:17.199
year revenue guidance. And I'm thinking, gee, I wonder what business they're

772
00:55:17.239 --> 00:55:22.559
in. Here's the business they're in. They make glucose monitors and would be

773
00:55:22.760 --> 00:55:27.159
GLP one. You don't need them
anymore, not a lot of people buying

774
00:55:27.199 --> 00:55:30.719
glue coost monitors anymore. I saw
that ticker early on Friday and it was

775
00:55:30.719 --> 00:55:34.039
down forty percent. I was wondering, why, so thanks for due diligence

776
00:55:34.079 --> 00:55:37.280
there, glue cost Monitors said three
M How about three am one of the

777
00:55:37.360 --> 00:55:40.960
worst performing dallastocks in twenty two and
twenty three, near the top of the

778
00:55:42.000 --> 00:55:45.679
list now right up sixteen percent year
to date. Jumped another sixteen percent on

779
00:55:45.719 --> 00:55:51.280
Friday, new fifty two week guy
strong earnings and they raised their guidance.

780
00:55:52.119 --> 00:55:54.599
So three M is starting to hit
on all cylinders for the first time in

781
00:55:54.719 --> 00:55:58.719
years. The new CEO has been
killing it. Yep, they took it

782
00:55:58.920 --> 00:56:01.239
for the OCO who's there six years. You shift in the way they work.

783
00:56:01.280 --> 00:56:06.679
They want to centralize their supply chain
more so than put it all over

784
00:56:06.719 --> 00:56:10.199
everywhere. Speaking of that, I
was reading an analyst report on early last

785
00:56:10.199 --> 00:56:15.880
week and how what an interesting take. His take was that Nvidia employees are

786
00:56:15.920 --> 00:56:21.960
all millionaires or multimillionaires because of what
the stock has done, and they're all

787
00:56:22.079 --> 00:56:27.159
lazy, not working, not contributing. Its days are numbered. That was

788
00:56:27.199 --> 00:56:30.400
his thesis. I mean, it's
an interesting thesis because everybody working there's a

789
00:56:30.400 --> 00:56:34.199
millionaire, so they don't care anymore. These stock options the minute, Like

790
00:56:34.239 --> 00:56:36.719
what if the minute those all become
vested, they just leave. Yeah,

791
00:56:36.760 --> 00:56:39.079
I'm thinking if you've got stock options
or not not yet vested, you care.

792
00:56:42.079 --> 00:56:45.880
He's resuming everybody's vested and can sell
at any minute. And I don't

793
00:56:45.920 --> 00:56:50.440
think that's probably true. Also,
there'd be some fairly significant capital games that

794
00:56:50.480 --> 00:56:52.519
would be incurred if they were just
started up with it. But it is

795
00:56:52.559 --> 00:56:58.079
a real interesting thesis. You see
a Viking Therapeutics. Let's talk about that

796
00:56:58.119 --> 00:57:01.039
a little bit because that is so
weird. Yeah, they jumped about thirty

797
00:57:01.079 --> 00:57:07.840
percent, I believe on was it
Friday Thursday? What's the talk a little

798
00:57:07.880 --> 00:57:12.920
bit about Viking Viking Therapeutics. There
are another GLP one producer, So again,

799
00:57:13.000 --> 00:57:15.840
o Zepic, you'r we goo v
that type of deal. Uh,

800
00:57:15.000 --> 00:57:20.039
developer's announcement that is experimental obesity treatment. I'm not going to say it will

801
00:57:20.079 --> 00:57:23.559
be moved to phase three clinical trial. And then I think what helped even

802
00:57:23.559 --> 00:57:28.239
more so was the fact that they
said that they have another drug that's going

803
00:57:28.320 --> 00:57:30.719
to begin phase two trials and this
is an oral version of the g LP

804
00:57:30.880 --> 00:57:34.960
one. Last week you were talking
about. I forget which company it was.

805
00:57:35.000 --> 00:57:37.440
I think it might have been.
Yeah, well in phase three with

806
00:57:37.599 --> 00:57:43.320
their oral right way ahead and this
is this company's Viking Therapeutics. She reminds

807
00:57:43.360 --> 00:57:45.840
me of novavaks. It reminds me
of that too. And the chart looks

808
00:57:45.880 --> 00:57:52.639
like kind of looked like it was
an eight dollar stock last December, and

809
00:57:52.679 --> 00:57:57.000
then they suddenly got involved in the
injectable weight loss business, which got the

810
00:57:57.000 --> 00:58:00.960
word GLP one. Yeah, Census
stack to from eight to one hundred before

811
00:58:00.960 --> 00:58:05.519
it plunged back to forty five,
up thirty three percent. It was Thursday

812
00:58:05.559 --> 00:58:08.519
their weight loss candidate. As you
said, it has moved to phase three.

813
00:58:08.800 --> 00:58:16.400
Also, Lily and Novo, the
two primary companies providing these these medications,

814
00:58:16.840 --> 00:58:22.400
dropped pretty dramatically. I think Lily
has gone from nine fifty down to

815
00:58:22.400 --> 00:58:25.320
eight hundred, and Nova's gone from
about one forty five down to like one

816
00:58:25.400 --> 00:58:30.039
twenty eight. Those churches sun and
breakdown a little bit, and I said,

817
00:58:30.320 --> 00:58:35.039
they remind me of Novavax. Nova
vaccine may recall from COVID. Novavaxe

818
00:58:35.320 --> 00:58:37.519
was a company that didn't have any
products, They didn't have any sales,

819
00:58:37.599 --> 00:58:44.719
They had never really successfully developed anything, and they came up with this vaccine.

820
00:58:45.239 --> 00:58:46.920
They were the last ones to come
up with a vaccine and by the

821
00:58:46.920 --> 00:58:51.800
time they came up with it,
it was over. And Viking has no

822
00:58:51.920 --> 00:58:57.639
sales, they have no earnings,
they have no infrastructure to distribute their drug.

823
00:58:58.400 --> 00:59:01.840
Once it had approved, competing with
Lily and Novo Nordic's two of the

824
00:59:01.840 --> 00:59:07.079
biggest companies in the world, and
you have to stock sixty six dollars this

825
00:59:07.159 --> 00:59:08.760
year. The one thing I will
say, I don't think GLP ones are

826
00:59:08.800 --> 00:59:13.679
over with. So they have that
not over with? What do you mean

827
00:59:13.679 --> 00:59:15.800
by that? Well, you said
you were talking, you're comparing it to

828
00:59:15.840 --> 00:59:19.800
Novovas how they Oh, I see, came out with a shot. No,

829
00:59:20.039 --> 00:59:21.840
COVID was over with. Yeah.
I don't think way a lot.

830
00:59:22.079 --> 00:59:24.320
I don't think OBC is ever going
to be cured. I think we've got

831
00:59:24.320 --> 00:59:29.199
that to deal with for probably for
a while. Yeah, Yeah, that

832
00:59:29.280 --> 00:59:31.519
was that was absolutely interesting. You
know. Another one that's said that just

833
00:59:31.880 --> 00:59:37.400
caught my eye was Lulu Lemon.
You know, that was a best in

834
00:59:37.440 --> 00:59:43.280
class retailer and they've really fallen on
hard times, down forty seven percent this

835
00:59:43.400 --> 00:59:47.639
year, getting destroyed down another ten
percent on Thursday after a City Group analysts

836
00:59:47.679 --> 00:59:53.159
get this downgraded it from buy to
hold, So it dropped fifty percent while

837
00:59:53.199 --> 00:59:58.599
he had it as a buy.
Now he's going to a hold. You

838
00:59:58.639 --> 01:00:01.960
know, where were you fifty fifty
percent ago? I mean, it's got

839
01:00:02.119 --> 01:00:08.199
to be because discount competitors. Absolutely. Athletics it's pretty much the same half

840
01:00:08.239 --> 01:00:10.440
the price. Yeah, I think
that's a good point multiple of them.

841
01:00:10.639 --> 01:00:15.840
And then those competitors you have Target
out there and Costco. I'm pretty sure

842
01:00:15.880 --> 01:00:21.519
making like just a little Amazon makeshift. Amazon has an Amazon branded similar clothes

843
01:00:21.760 --> 01:00:23.280
and people love them. Speaking of
close t you called, you made a

844
01:00:23.320 --> 01:00:28.360
good call. Uh, put your
phone away all right? Watching stocks?

845
01:00:28.519 --> 01:00:30.320
Oh idea, but I think the
markets. I know you're old and you

846
01:00:30.320 --> 01:00:34.039
don't realize I think the market is
closed. Actually, oh yeah, that's

847
01:00:34.039 --> 01:00:37.719
where you can look at the bitcoin, which is pushing towards seventy out.

848
01:00:37.840 --> 01:00:39.599
You're old and you don't think phones
can be productive, but they can't actually

849
01:00:39.679 --> 01:00:43.280
because you use them correctly. Why
are you picking on me? Well,

850
01:00:43.280 --> 01:00:45.599
you picked on me, so I'm
picking on the mellow hanging fruit. No,

851
01:00:45.639 --> 01:00:51.239
you picked on me. I'm just
responding you Beckers hoping that call us.

852
01:00:51.800 --> 01:00:55.800
They they have a lot of good
I guess hype around their brands right

853
01:00:55.800 --> 01:01:00.239
now. And it just seemed an
easy one to me because when you run,

854
01:01:00.679 --> 01:01:05.719
you buy shoes, and when do
you run in the summer, most

855
01:01:05.719 --> 01:01:07.000
people not here in nerus. You've
got to burn through a pair of shoes

856
01:01:07.039 --> 01:01:10.440
now, he todde qualified for the
Boston Marathon. For those of you who

857
01:01:10.440 --> 01:01:15.800
don't know, you got to burn
through a pair of shoes. I filter

858
01:01:15.920 --> 01:01:19.679
four shoes. I have no Well, while I'm training, I have four

859
01:01:19.679 --> 01:01:22.760
different pair of shoes, so you
wear a different pair of every day pretty

860
01:01:22.840 --> 01:01:27.440
much. I have a treadmill shoe, I have a road shoe, a

861
01:01:27.559 --> 01:01:31.360
racing shoe, trail shoe, and
I know with with an i'm shoe.

862
01:01:31.599 --> 01:01:35.639
Yeah I'm not walking that way.
I'm not running. I'm walking, and

863
01:01:35.679 --> 01:01:39.119
I'm burning through a pair of shoes
every four or five months. Yeah,

864
01:01:39.360 --> 01:01:43.960
yeah, I imagine you probably last
for two months. Every three four months,

865
01:01:43.960 --> 01:01:47.079
I got to buy four more shoes. It's not fun. So what's

866
01:01:47.079 --> 01:01:52.679
going on with bitcoin? Pushing toward
seventy sighting weekend? And this doesn't air

867
01:01:52.800 --> 01:01:57.159
till Sunday, So I really don't
know what happened on Saturday. Because Big

868
01:01:57.239 --> 01:02:00.719
Daddy Trump talks a bitcoin conference.
That's a yeah, gotta love it,

869
01:02:00.840 --> 01:02:04.480
Isn't that something? I mean,
this is the first president, really ex

870
01:02:04.559 --> 01:02:08.199
president, to even have a conversation
about bitcoin. And that's why it's gonna

871
01:02:08.199 --> 01:02:13.440
be really fun to see what he's
gonna say, right because potentially if he

872
01:02:13.440 --> 01:02:19.000
says anything bullish about There's been rumors
that Elon's fanning about making some strategic reserve

873
01:02:19.159 --> 01:02:22.199
or whatever. I don't think he's
actually gonna say anything because there's a political

874
01:02:22.679 --> 01:02:25.880
strategy there. You can't really say
too much about bitcoin. But you had

875
01:02:27.000 --> 01:02:30.639
RFK talk on Friday at the Bitcoin
conference. He's one of the candidates,

876
01:02:30.639 --> 01:02:32.719
and then you have President Trump talking
on Saturday. The only candidate's not talking

877
01:02:32.719 --> 01:02:37.280
about bitcoin is Kamala funny, so
I know where my votes are headed in

878
01:02:37.280 --> 01:02:40.280
one of those two. It is
interesting though that they would fit to go

879
01:02:40.320 --> 01:02:45.599
to a bitcoin conference some Sunday.
Yep, Todd might be uh or yeah,

880
01:02:45.639 --> 01:02:49.280
Todd might be Donald Trump's biggest fan
if he's if he's gonna make a

881
01:02:49.320 --> 01:02:52.840
strategic reserve for bitcoin in the United
States, He's got my vote, that's

882
01:02:52.840 --> 01:02:55.639
for sure. It's funny. Edward's
known that he just was there too,

883
01:02:57.199 --> 01:03:00.480
but not there. You know,
he's in Russia. But he zoomed in

884
01:03:00.519 --> 01:03:04.960
to the conference and he said cast
a vote, but don't join a colt.

885
01:03:05.599 --> 01:03:08.000
Yeah. I like that. I
like that saying. But yeah,

886
01:03:08.039 --> 01:03:12.760
it's up good. It actually flat
for the week. Technically, it's up

887
01:03:12.800 --> 01:03:16.239
maybe a little bits at sixty eight
K and uh again when it bottomed out

888
01:03:16.239 --> 01:03:19.880
to like fifty four, I thought
it was good. It was fifty four

889
01:03:20.199 --> 01:03:22.159
inter day on a weekend, and
it couldn't do anything about it because we

890
01:03:22.239 --> 01:03:27.400
know that coinbase or something like that. No, I was all I was

891
01:03:27.440 --> 01:03:30.119
all in at fifty four. But
markets, you know, they messed you

892
01:03:30.199 --> 01:03:32.320
up. Huh. I never had
the chance. Yeah, I never had.

893
01:03:32.320 --> 01:03:37.639
The last thing I need is another
account, you know, to keep

894
01:03:37.679 --> 01:03:39.559
track of the last thing I need
and the one they can. And then

895
01:03:39.559 --> 01:03:44.800
Ethereum got their ETFs proved this week, but no one really cared. Nobody

896
01:03:44.840 --> 01:03:46.199
cares. I gonna say it was
greeted with e on yeah, right,

897
01:03:46.400 --> 01:03:52.000
rh it coins the big one.
Yeah. But ge rallied to a sixteen

898
01:03:52.079 --> 01:03:55.840
year high. I bet the Dow
Committee would like to have that do over

899
01:03:55.920 --> 01:03:59.880
on that one, right, I
mean they took a day. You remember

900
01:04:00.320 --> 01:04:02.920
a couple of years ago, ge
got taken out of the Dow, been

901
01:04:02.920 --> 01:04:06.679
in the Dow since its inception,
got taken out, kicked to the curb

902
01:04:06.760 --> 01:04:13.880
and replaced with Walgreens doing so,
which which lasted about a week, and

903
01:04:13.920 --> 01:04:16.320
then that got kicked out yep,
and brought in what Salesforce dot Com,

904
01:04:16.360 --> 01:04:20.920
which then tanked YEP on a good
record right now, it is amazing when

905
01:04:20.920 --> 01:04:24.719
it's doing well. When the stock
gets added to the Dow, you can

906
01:04:24.800 --> 01:04:28.199
want to shorten it. I don't
know what it Usually the one that gets

907
01:04:28.239 --> 01:04:30.440
kicked out does well and it lasts
long. For Walgreens, it's had a

908
01:04:30.440 --> 01:04:33.400
little rolly. I think it's it's
harder to pick one out of thirty than

909
01:04:33.440 --> 01:04:36.079
one out of five hundred. To
that point, it's kind of funny because

910
01:04:36.199 --> 01:04:41.920
XOLK what happens when in video became
in bigots exposure? Microsoft is big as

911
01:04:42.000 --> 01:04:45.639
exposure. It goes Microsoft in video, but those two are double digits,

912
01:04:45.719 --> 01:04:47.280
and then after that falls off.
Well, what happened when in video got

913
01:04:47.599 --> 01:04:55.599
its exposure upspy XLK XLK bean the
technology ETF thank you, and in video

914
01:04:55.599 --> 01:05:00.360
has been doing nothing but downt since
then, right, XLK is downtown percent

915
01:05:00.400 --> 01:05:03.960
since it redid its waiting already it
briefly became the largest company in the world,

916
01:05:03.960 --> 01:05:06.960
and then they took a market cap. They took the allocation from Apple

917
01:05:08.039 --> 01:05:12.239
down from twenty percent down about two
or three percent. And Apple has done

918
01:05:12.239 --> 01:05:14.559
great for the last year. It's
weird, isn't it. It is weird.

919
01:05:14.639 --> 01:05:15.719
Yeah, they were going to have
to buy all these shares of ben

920
01:05:15.800 --> 01:05:19.320
Video and sell all these shares of
Apple, and Apple's gone up and then

921
01:05:19.440 --> 01:05:23.239
Video has gone down. It doesn't
make sense. Well, we talked about

922
01:05:23.239 --> 01:05:26.519
all these stocks, right, We
got Apple, Bitcoin, all the na

923
01:05:26.599 --> 01:05:30.079
videos in the world, and they
all have their own risk score at the

924
01:05:30.159 --> 01:05:33.360
end of the day. And what
we've found out about the risk allies is

925
01:05:33.440 --> 01:05:38.800
they now are able to show us
tax drag. And why it matters to

926
01:05:38.880 --> 01:05:43.840
us is we love using ETFs if
all possible, and the reason being is

927
01:05:43.840 --> 01:05:47.440
they're more tax efficient vehicles. ETF
is an exchange traded fund. A mutual

928
01:05:47.480 --> 01:05:51.480
fund is pretty much the same thing
in terms of it's a basket of whatever

929
01:05:51.480 --> 01:05:55.400
you're trying to buy. If it's
stocks, you're buying a basket of stocks,

930
01:05:55.440 --> 01:05:59.599
bonds buying basket of bonds. The
differences between ETFs mutuls that I want

931
01:05:59.599 --> 01:06:02.639
to highlight today really is the tax
efficiencies of the two vehicles. And there's

932
01:06:02.679 --> 01:06:08.320
a couple of reasons that ETFs,
Exchange traded funds are more are often considered

933
01:06:08.360 --> 01:06:12.480
more tax efficient than mutual funds.
All Right, The first one is in

934
01:06:12.639 --> 01:06:17.199
kind redemptions. ETFs often use a
process called in kind redemptions where they exchange

935
01:06:17.199 --> 01:06:23.400
securities for shares instead of selling securities
to meet redemptions. So mutual funds have

936
01:06:23.440 --> 01:06:28.320
to sell security which realize a capital
gain or loss, and then that has

937
01:06:28.360 --> 01:06:32.880
to be sent to the shareholders.
Another reason ETFs are lower is lower turnover.

938
01:06:33.239 --> 01:06:38.559
ETFs don't have a portfolio manager normally, so it's not as much active

939
01:06:38.679 --> 01:06:42.280
buying and selling of the stocks or
bonds in the portfolio, so you don't

940
01:06:42.320 --> 01:06:46.199
have that tax potential as well.
Number three tax treatment of dividends. While

941
01:06:46.199 --> 01:06:50.519
both etf and mutual funds distribute dividends, ETFs can be more tax efficient than

942
01:06:50.519 --> 01:06:56.440
their management of In their management dividends, ETFs generally aimed to distribute dividends that

943
01:06:56.519 --> 01:07:00.920
qualify for lower tax ricks, whereas
mutual funds might distribue more ordinary income dividends,

944
01:07:01.039 --> 01:07:05.880
which are taxed at higher rates.
Transparency Also, ETFs are more transparent

945
01:07:05.920 --> 01:07:10.480
than mutual funds, with daily disclosures
of their holdings, where mutual funds,

946
01:07:10.519 --> 01:07:13.760
I think, only have to do
it per quarter I believe. And then,

947
01:07:14.159 --> 01:07:17.800
lastly, cost efficiency, ETFs often
have lower expense ratios compared to mutual

948
01:07:17.840 --> 01:07:20.840
funds. But even if you had
a mutual fund in ETF to have the

949
01:07:20.840 --> 01:07:24.760
same exact expense ratio, I hire
a lot of people like I use Vanguard

950
01:07:24.840 --> 01:07:28.480
mutual funds because they're great. Well, what about the tax efficiency of those

951
01:07:28.519 --> 01:07:30.880
funds? And that's normally going over
most people's heads because they don't know the

952
01:07:30.880 --> 01:07:34.840
difference between mutual funds and ETFs on
the tax side of things. So our

953
01:07:34.920 --> 01:07:41.280
risk software now has the capability to
estimate the potential percentage that you are paying

954
01:07:41.400 --> 01:07:45.000
in tax drag if you do have
a mutual fund heavy portfolio compared to if

955
01:07:45.039 --> 01:07:49.320
you had an ETF that had low
cost expense ratios as well as efficient tax

956
01:07:49.360 --> 01:07:51.880
drag. So, for example,
Dave, we had a client come in

957
01:07:51.920 --> 01:07:56.079
on Friday and they sent us our
portfolio. We put that into the risk

958
01:07:56.119 --> 01:08:00.360
analyzing software and found that her two
point six million dollars that were sitting in

959
01:08:00.360 --> 01:08:02.960
a brokerage account was had an estimated
tax drag of one point two percent.

960
01:08:03.159 --> 01:08:09.320
What is that about thirty five thousand
dollars that she's losing to taxes on a

961
01:08:09.400 --> 01:08:13.599
yearly basis? Right, She was
pretty proud of her seventy five basis points

962
01:08:14.039 --> 01:08:16.439
management fee that her advisor's charging her. Through the math, you're being charged

963
01:08:16.479 --> 01:08:19.880
two percent if you include the tax
drag. Right, that's something that she

964
01:08:19.920 --> 01:08:24.199
would have never known had she not
taken advantage of our risk analyzing tool.

965
01:08:24.319 --> 01:08:26.880
We do this for free. Give
us a call five two zero five four

966
01:08:26.960 --> 01:08:30.079
four four nine zero nine, send
us to your portfolio. I'll throw it

967
01:08:30.079 --> 01:08:32.600
into the software and send it back
to you and ask me questions about it.

968
01:08:32.920 --> 01:08:38.039
No obligation, It's just a free
service we provide. We're hoping that

969
01:08:38.119 --> 01:08:40.439
what did you get to know is
she don't want to do business with us.

970
01:08:40.439 --> 01:08:42.960
But that's the risk that we take. And if you're worried about some

971
01:08:43.119 --> 01:08:46.039
event like two thousand and eight happening, or twenty twenty or inflation going crazy,

972
01:08:46.520 --> 01:08:50.840
the risk software now has an ability
to run your portfolio how it currently

973
01:08:50.880 --> 01:08:55.000
is allocated, and run it through
those scenarios and see how it would have

974
01:08:55.079 --> 01:08:58.560
performed compared to the S and P, and then you can know how risky

975
01:08:58.600 --> 01:09:00.720
your portfolio is their scenario. Instead
of just a risk number, you can

976
01:09:00.720 --> 01:09:05.640
also see it through scenarios. What
scenarios like eight, like the Great Depression?

977
01:09:05.720 --> 01:09:13.359
What happens the ETF became popular.
I want to say probably two thousand

978
01:09:13.399 --> 01:09:17.800
and five, I'm guessing is when
exchange traded funds started to make their appearance

979
01:09:17.840 --> 01:09:23.560
and became more and more prolific.
And as someone who's been doing this for

980
01:09:23.720 --> 01:09:29.600
decades, I was so pleased to
be able to have something that would where

981
01:09:29.600 --> 01:09:32.560
every October and November I didn't have
to hold my breath as to what kind

982
01:09:32.600 --> 01:09:36.840
of capital gains was going to be
spun off. And it tends to happen

983
01:09:38.119 --> 01:09:43.039
when you least want it, Like
the end of twenty two, twenty twenty

984
01:09:43.039 --> 01:09:45.880
two, mutual fund companies took a
lot of locked in, a lot of

985
01:09:45.920 --> 01:09:49.520
gains. Market down, yeah,
market down big. It runs into as

986
01:09:49.560 --> 01:09:53.439
people start selling mutual funds, so
they need to raise capital because they don't

987
01:09:53.439 --> 01:09:56.520
have it as all in the redemption
calls, the redemption calls, and that

988
01:09:56.640 --> 01:09:59.079
what happened in twenty two. People
got scared, wanted to raise cash.

989
01:09:59.159 --> 01:10:01.399
Yep, yeah over that, and
then then here the end of twenty two,

990
01:10:01.439 --> 01:10:04.880
your mutual fund is down twenty percent
and you get a ten percent capital

991
01:10:04.920 --> 01:10:12.399
gain ouch spun off. So uh, it's I love I love ets versus

992
01:10:12.479 --> 01:10:15.520
mutual funds. They just make all
the sense in the world, and we're

993
01:10:15.520 --> 01:10:17.760
going to go. Hey. One
thing we didn't talk about, which is

994
01:10:17.800 --> 01:10:24.359
probably the biggest story of the week
for Tucson, Arizona raytheon new all time

995
01:10:24.600 --> 01:10:27.800
high. I thought you're talking about
the monsoon we had on front. Monsoon

996
01:10:27.920 --> 01:10:31.640
is spictacular, was fun. I
mean this the whole the whole month.

997
01:10:32.159 --> 01:10:38.279
We're as we sit here on Friday, the twenty sixth, uh halfway through

998
01:10:38.319 --> 01:10:44.520
monsoon, roughly, uh, we're
double the normal rainfall, double more than

999
01:10:44.600 --> 01:10:47.640
double. Actually normally normally about one
point nine inches, and we've got three

1000
01:10:47.680 --> 01:10:50.479
point nine. I'm scared. I'm
to the point now that I'm scared to

1001
01:10:50.560 --> 01:10:55.560
leave my house once it starts raining. I was on the river, and

1002
01:10:55.600 --> 01:10:58.640
again, I've lived here since seventy
two, so I've been here a while.

1003
01:10:59.319 --> 01:11:02.319
And one thing that never happens is
well, we'll talk about it after

1004
01:11:02.319 --> 01:11:04.920
we come back from the break.
I don't know. Well, actually I

1005
01:11:04.920 --> 01:11:09.159
got a couple of seconds. One
thing that never happens is the storms come

1006
01:11:09.159 --> 01:11:12.439
along the mountains and they never come
off the mountains. Right, if you're

1007
01:11:12.439 --> 01:11:15.560
going to get water in the city, it's going to come from the south

1008
01:11:15.800 --> 01:11:18.600
typically or the southwest. It's not
going to come off the mountains. So

1009
01:11:18.640 --> 01:11:21.920
I'm on the hiking on the river
and there's a big storm in the mountains

1010
01:11:21.920 --> 01:11:26.439
and I'm just ignoring it. And
the next thing i know, it's on

1011
01:11:26.600 --> 01:11:30.600
me. I'm and I've got you
know, and I'm just getting soaked.

1012
01:11:30.600 --> 01:11:33.920
I'm standing underneath a palaverti tree,
which isn't helping much. I call my

1013
01:11:33.960 --> 01:11:36.840
wife, she has to come pick
me up. I felt like a little

1014
01:11:36.960 --> 01:11:41.600
kid. I felt like a complete
idiot, because I mean, I really

1015
01:11:41.640 --> 01:11:44.840
know the weather around here because I've
lived here a long time. But there

1016
01:11:44.880 --> 01:11:47.359
was a strong north wind and it
blew that storm off of the mountain into

1017
01:11:47.399 --> 01:11:53.600
the city on Wednesday, and for
the first time that I can remember,

1018
01:11:54.039 --> 01:11:57.560
I ended up soaked. And we'll
be back right after this break. This

1019
01:11:57.600 --> 01:12:00.600
is the Money Matter Show. Thanks
for sticking with us. Welcome back to

1020
01:12:00.600 --> 01:12:04.039
The Moneymatter Show. My name is
Todd Glick. I'm here with Dylan Greenberg,

1021
01:12:04.239 --> 01:12:11.760
David Shure with and Sebastian Borsini.
Hey with Sebastian Borgersceni's birthday Friday to

1022
01:12:11.960 --> 01:12:17.279
you. Yeah, but we were
talking about raytheon before the break, and

1023
01:12:17.279 --> 01:12:23.079
we're talking about we got sidetrack on
the monsoons. Raytheon did have a great

1024
01:12:23.359 --> 01:12:27.520
week, as you said, reported
strong earnings. People are still Warren out

1025
01:12:27.560 --> 01:12:31.279
there, so they're still selling great
quarters, great guidance Warren. You ever

1026
01:12:31.319 --> 01:12:35.920
hear like the soldiers keep on warring. Hey, we haven't talked about CrowdStrike.

1027
01:12:36.000 --> 01:12:41.239
Remember last Friday, a week ago
Friday they shut down the world?

1028
01:12:41.760 --> 01:12:45.760
Yep where there with their stupid Uh
you know, there's some companies that I

1029
01:12:45.840 --> 01:12:48.079
still have yet to recover from that. I know, it's unbelievable. It's

1030
01:12:48.199 --> 01:12:55.880
unbelievable. How long they said the
freight was the world of air freight will

1031
01:12:55.920 --> 01:13:00.359
take thirty to ninety days to get
back to normal. God, Yeahink got

1032
01:13:00.399 --> 01:13:02.680
hit hard. Even like a week
later, they're still canceling four five sights.

1033
01:13:02.760 --> 01:13:06.560
Don't think well this was last week. But yeah, yeah, it's

1034
01:13:06.640 --> 01:13:12.600
unbelievable. I mean, they lost
eleven percent on a week we could go.

1035
01:13:12.640 --> 01:13:15.680
Friday on the nineteenth, I was, And then the stock opened down

1036
01:13:15.720 --> 01:13:21.520
another twelve percent on Monday to the
lowest level since early January. Analysts downgraded

1037
01:13:21.560 --> 01:13:28.479
the stock, thinking there will be
resistance to owning the shares after that debacle

1038
01:13:28.960 --> 01:13:33.039
and The interesting part about that is
there's only two major companies who provide that

1039
01:13:33.159 --> 01:13:41.239
service, CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Network. Palo Alto Network was also talent.

1040
01:13:42.039 --> 01:13:45.520
Somebody's going to get this business.
Somebody's going That's what I was thinking too.

1041
01:13:45.560 --> 01:13:50.680
I was thinking maybe a cyber etf
there's a SI sibr IBr yeah yeah,

1042
01:13:51.039 --> 01:13:55.920
sorry cyber Yeah, good spelling.
So I was thinking of my head,

1043
01:13:56.520 --> 01:13:59.880
maybe that's a good place where you
start if you want to play like

1044
01:14:00.039 --> 01:14:02.079
you don't know which company gets that
busy. I mean, there's those two

1045
01:14:02.159 --> 01:14:05.920
major players, and if I'm with
Palo Alto Networks, I'm going to be

1046
01:14:05.960 --> 01:14:11.279
pretty excited about making a phone call
to a prospect that's been trying to decide

1047
01:14:11.319 --> 01:14:16.399
between me and CrowdStrike. Yeah,
but the Shock sold off. I know.

1048
01:14:16.680 --> 01:14:21.560
That's kind of weird seeing another plane
company changing it up its whole things.

1049
01:14:21.600 --> 01:14:26.920
Southwest last week announced that they're getting
rid of open seating, which has

1050
01:14:26.920 --> 01:14:30.439
been their model for fifty years.
Everybody knows Southwest and what they do,

1051
01:14:30.600 --> 01:14:33.039
yep, and you could last few
years. He could obviously pay more to

1052
01:14:33.079 --> 01:14:39.239
get early boarding so you could get
better seats. They're going to the more

1053
01:14:39.239 --> 01:14:44.720
traditional way of having extended legroom for
premium seats like a Delta Comfort or first

1054
01:14:44.720 --> 01:14:46.560
Class. I don't know if they're
going to have like separated or it's just

1055
01:14:46.600 --> 01:14:49.640
going to be the front of it's
going to be like wider, but they're

1056
01:14:49.640 --> 01:14:54.439
doing that because they're expecting that to
be a profit booster. I think it's

1057
01:14:54.479 --> 01:14:57.359
a really good thing. I think, yeah. Well, also because the

1058
01:14:57.359 --> 01:15:00.600
research they did. They alluded to
it in April last day April about changing

1059
01:15:00.640 --> 01:15:04.960
the ways the CEO did, and
they've done research on it saying about eighty

1060
01:15:05.000 --> 01:15:10.199
percent of people want assigned seats that
buy a Southwest ticket and ninety percent of

1061
01:15:10.239 --> 01:15:14.760
customers that just in general would prefer
it in a size seat. So the

1062
01:15:14.760 --> 01:15:16.880
majority of people out there flying want
assigned seats, and they're going to transfer

1063
01:15:17.279 --> 01:15:21.199
or change their whole model to do
that to accommodate it, because I think

1064
01:15:21.199 --> 01:15:26.319
you've got to be careful with volunteer
biases in those surveys. On Thursday when

1065
01:15:26.319 --> 01:15:30.159
it came out, everybody was I
saw a bunch of articles like you're saying

1066
01:15:30.239 --> 01:15:34.359
right now, Dylan, that eighty
percent of people really want assigned seating rather

1067
01:15:34.359 --> 01:15:38.560
than open seating. And then on
Friday, people that really are drawn to

1068
01:15:38.600 --> 01:15:41.560
Southwest came out and said that they're
a little bit pissed off about this.

1069
01:15:42.600 --> 01:15:46.279
I think that ultimately it is going
to increase revenue because for one, yes,

1070
01:15:46.399 --> 01:15:50.920
I can now charge more for premium
seats for extended leg room. Okay,

1071
01:15:51.159 --> 01:15:55.119
that could also lower the costs on
some of the just regular seats,

1072
01:15:55.159 --> 01:15:59.159
right, will that increase the volume? Ultimately? The biggest people difference for

1073
01:15:59.199 --> 01:16:02.000
Southwest is that they give you two
free check bags. If they continue that,

1074
01:16:02.000 --> 01:16:04.479
which they didn't really Yeah, they
didn't say talking about they didn't say

1075
01:16:04.479 --> 01:16:08.680
anything about leading that. If they
continue to give you two free check bags

1076
01:16:08.680 --> 01:16:11.760
and they offer premium seating in a
regular seating, it's pretty much you're going

1077
01:16:11.760 --> 01:16:15.359
like on a Delta American Airlines with
free check free check bags, without having

1078
01:16:15.359 --> 01:16:18.239
the Delta card or the American Express
or the American Airlines card or anything like

1079
01:16:18.239 --> 01:16:20.239
that. And I'm not sure if
you saw this, but they also are

1080
01:16:20.239 --> 01:16:26.000
going to start incorporating red eye flights
to their flights. Oh cool, I

1081
01:16:26.039 --> 01:16:28.760
didn't see that. That's hasn't been
a thing with Southwest before, but that

1082
01:16:28.800 --> 01:16:32.079
should make their voyages a little bit
more What kind of have one red eye

1083
01:16:32.079 --> 01:16:35.239
flights. Are you familiar, No, it's night time flights essentially, right.

1084
01:16:35.279 --> 01:16:39.680
It leaves it like eight pm from
Phoenix and lands in New York at

1085
01:16:39.720 --> 01:16:43.840
like eight am. I did that
once when I was brand new to Tucson

1086
01:16:43.920 --> 01:16:46.359
and I was working at the bank
and the bad This is before the internet,

1087
01:16:46.399 --> 01:16:50.159
this is before FedEx. You know, they had they had a CD.

1088
01:16:50.279 --> 01:16:55.439
They had a CD. The bank
had a CD maturing for eight million

1089
01:16:55.479 --> 01:16:59.439
dollars and it needed to be taken
to New York City and cashed in.

1090
01:16:59.720 --> 01:17:02.720
So right, and so they he
calls me up to president. He calls

1091
01:17:02.760 --> 01:17:04.359
me up to his office, said, hey, have you ever been to

1092
01:17:04.399 --> 01:17:09.880
the big city Agle Phoenix? He
he has no it in New York.

1093
01:17:11.359 --> 01:17:15.600
So they took this eight million dollars
negotiable CD. Now had I known then,

1094
01:17:15.600 --> 01:17:17.439
what I know? Now? Just
gone south right, Just I'm gone,

1095
01:17:17.720 --> 01:17:25.279
I'm done. Eight million dollar CD
sewed into my suit pocket and I

1096
01:17:25.319 --> 01:17:28.640
flew to New York City, got
on the plane about midnight, got to

1097
01:17:28.720 --> 01:17:33.119
Manhattan at eight nine am, went
down to Morgan Guarantee I think it was,

1098
01:17:33.159 --> 01:17:38.039
and gave him the CD. I
had to get three receipts. I

1099
01:17:38.039 --> 01:17:40.479
had three different Envelove before they had
to be mealed. I mean, cause

1100
01:17:40.520 --> 01:17:45.039
this is this is eight million dollars
in the seventies. Yeah, it's unbelievable.

1101
01:17:45.279 --> 01:17:47.880
And I went back to the airport
and got on the plane and came

1102
01:17:47.920 --> 01:17:53.600
home. Funny story, real quick, funny story. Rito. I'm relatively

1103
01:17:53.600 --> 01:17:57.640
new to Tucson. I'm relatively new
to Tucson. I'm pretty excited about the

1104
01:17:57.680 --> 01:18:03.439
Southwestern culture, pretty excited about being
a twosonan I mean in Manhattan, which

1105
01:18:03.479 --> 01:18:06.319
is all gray and black and everything, you know. And I get back

1106
01:18:06.399 --> 01:18:11.720
to the terminal, I meant the
Tucson Gate and here's the cowboys and things.

1107
01:18:11.720 --> 01:18:14.399
And I'm so excited about this.
And I get on the plane and

1108
01:18:14.399 --> 01:18:15.760
I'm near the back of the plane, and on the front of the plane

1109
01:18:15.880 --> 01:18:19.720
this woman who comes on with a
plate full of burritos, and I said,

1110
01:18:19.880 --> 01:18:25.880
how cool is that that they're serving
burritos on the plane back to Tucson.

1111
01:18:26.039 --> 01:18:30.079
It turned out to be towels.
Actually I thought they were burritos.

1112
01:18:30.119 --> 01:18:33.399
There were towels. She got to
me, and I was so excited for

1113
01:18:33.479 --> 01:18:35.600
my burrito, and she said,
sir, would you like a towel?

1114
01:18:35.640 --> 01:18:41.039
And I said, for what?
Keep in mind from South Dakota. Right,

1115
01:18:42.279 --> 01:18:45.359
Why would I need a towel?
What are you going to do to

1116
01:18:45.399 --> 01:18:49.039
me? Anyway? That was my
burrito story. Pretty excited about that,

1117
01:18:49.119 --> 01:18:54.319
and I like anyway. But growing
up in South Dakota, one thing we

1118
01:18:54.720 --> 01:19:00.319
learned early on is that the f
O R. D Ford actually stands for

1119
01:19:00.359 --> 01:19:04.199
a found on road dead. Yeah, and that's that's That's what we said

1120
01:19:04.199 --> 01:19:08.520
in my auto tech class too.
And they knew a lot more about cars

1121
01:19:08.520 --> 01:19:11.680
and I did, and I figured
they knew what they're talking about. We

1122
01:19:11.800 --> 01:19:14.920
mentioned, go ahead, I think
we found four dead this week. That's

1123
01:19:14.920 --> 01:19:17.199
why I brought it up. We
mentioned last week the stock had finally got

1124
01:19:17.239 --> 01:19:19.680
a bit, you know, because
we've been talking about it's got a low

1125
01:19:19.760 --> 01:19:26.680
pe five percent dividend. Why is
nobody loved the stock? And they they

1126
01:19:26.880 --> 01:19:31.800
seemed Farley seemed to have doing some
good things. The CEO and the stock

1127
01:19:31.840 --> 01:19:38.279
had actually rallied twenty percent. Thursday, it erased the whole thing. The

1128
01:19:38.600 --> 01:19:43.079
quarter came in thirty percent below estimates. They chose not to announce the share

1129
01:19:43.199 --> 01:19:45.119
buy back. You know, if
they don't want the stock, who does

1130
01:19:46.479 --> 01:19:49.600
is kind of my thinking? Right
at any price? I mean, yeah,

1131
01:19:49.680 --> 01:19:54.560
eighteen percent drop. Buy it something
on Thursday, eighteen percent drop,

1132
01:19:54.600 --> 01:19:59.239
which was the worst day for the
stock since the financial crisis in two thousand

1133
01:19:59.279 --> 01:20:02.079
and eight. Are you aid me
sixteen years? Obviously, but it sounds

1134
01:20:02.079 --> 01:20:06.479
like we have a small position.
We do, so I'm bitter we have

1135
01:20:06.560 --> 01:20:11.039
one percent not a big deal,
but we were Yeah, I'm right.

1136
01:20:11.079 --> 01:20:14.039
And then but that's the beautiful thing
about positions. And then that same day

1137
01:20:14.039 --> 01:20:16.279
it was you know, offset by
some of these raytheons that was up.

1138
01:20:16.600 --> 01:20:19.399
Oh no, yeah, wait a
lot of weeks, wait, a very

1139
01:20:19.399 --> 01:20:23.960
good week. IBM is kicking it, you know, yeah, with the

1140
01:20:24.399 --> 01:20:28.119
working its way up and kind of
found a bottom. I forgot where it

1141
01:20:28.239 --> 01:20:30.880
was, but I think it's about
thirteen percent since the bottom down training one.

1142
01:20:31.800 --> 01:20:33.439
I think, yeah, I was
in the one's sixties. I think

1143
01:20:33.479 --> 01:20:40.640
the frustrating thing on Ford is we
talked about selling it on Wednesday at fourteen

1144
01:20:40.680 --> 01:20:45.920
and a half before the earnings announcement
dropped it to eleven, and we decided

1145
01:20:45.960 --> 01:20:48.720
that this would probably not be a
prudent time to sell it because the stock

1146
01:20:48.800 --> 01:20:56.399
had been breaking out technically on a
strong run headed to twenty maybe, So

1147
01:20:56.600 --> 01:21:00.399
that was I think that's probably some
of the frustration is the fact there sector

1148
01:21:00.439 --> 01:21:05.560
that's been definitely being getting a bid. This the home construction. Itb made

1149
01:21:05.720 --> 01:21:11.319
another all time high this week goes
home. You know it's the KB homes,

1150
01:21:11.319 --> 01:21:15.119
the dr Hortens, the polty that
you know, all time high marriage,

1151
01:21:15.119 --> 01:21:18.600
they're all all just okay, hold
on, I'm I'm could have benefitted.

1152
01:21:18.760 --> 01:21:20.359
I don't mean to put you on
the all time high. Yes,

1153
01:21:20.439 --> 01:21:27.720
I'm right, double checks. You
know that Mattel has got the struggling toy

1154
01:21:27.760 --> 01:21:30.399
maker you got to pop out of
Barbie and then he gave it right up

1155
01:21:30.479 --> 01:21:32.760
right, it's the same price.
The stock is the same price it was

1156
01:21:33.039 --> 01:21:39.880
twenty years ago. And I had
jumped twenty percent on Monday after a Reuters

1157
01:21:39.960 --> 01:21:45.039
reports that a private equity firm has
approached Mattel with an acquisition offer. I

1158
01:21:45.039 --> 01:21:47.760
mean, you want to buy a
company? About that company is attractive?

1159
01:21:47.840 --> 01:21:53.039
Nothing, nothing, no, no, Just start making Barbie NFTs and maybe

1160
01:21:53.039 --> 01:21:55.479
you get a chance. Well,
you guys, you guys have pointed out

1161
01:21:55.520 --> 01:21:59.000
that, and I've noticed this with
my grandchildren. They don't have a lot

1162
01:21:59.039 --> 01:22:02.239
of toys anymore. No, my
niece has a lot of toys. Yeah,

1163
01:22:02.279 --> 01:22:04.560
she doesn't know how to work with
the computer yet. Just wait till

1164
01:22:04.600 --> 01:22:08.720
she is that iPad. Well,
yeah, you know, I don't think

1165
01:22:08.720 --> 01:22:11.560
it's a good parent move to just
give your kid a iPad because of that,

1166
01:22:11.640 --> 01:22:15.319
right, because you don't saying I'm
trying to explain is you don't develop

1167
01:22:15.319 --> 01:22:18.199
your imagination if you have your if
you just it's an easy fix for a

1168
01:22:18.279 --> 01:22:21.960
parent, right, give a kid
an iPad. You don't really have to

1169
01:22:23.039 --> 01:22:25.880
do as much parenting because they are
going to be distracted on that iPad.

1170
01:22:26.239 --> 01:22:30.159
But you are also kind of like
corrupting their mind a little bit because they're

1171
01:22:30.239 --> 01:22:33.920
not well it's debatable they are learning
stuff on there, but it's also a

1172
01:22:34.000 --> 01:22:38.680
screen, right, give to her
a little bit like sometimes and stuff,

1173
01:22:38.720 --> 01:22:41.359
But most of the time she's just
kind of before her sisters, Borys,

1174
01:22:41.399 --> 01:22:44.079
she was just running around by herself
having fun. Right. I mean,

1175
01:22:44.479 --> 01:22:47.199
when you're young, you're you're not
really Once you hit the age of four,

1176
01:22:47.399 --> 01:22:50.359
right, and you have all your
other you go to preschool and they

1177
01:22:50.359 --> 01:22:55.199
have their things, and that's when
you start to have societal pressures and and

1178
01:22:55.239 --> 01:22:58.960
that's when you see the development of
this technology and the use of it start

1179
01:22:59.000 --> 01:23:03.199
to Skyrocket and these. As a
parent, there are times when having a

1180
01:23:03.279 --> 01:23:11.079
device that is fool proof in getting
your kid to sit down and be quiet

1181
01:23:11.560 --> 01:23:14.640
is priceless, right, you know. I mean, you've had a hard

1182
01:23:14.680 --> 01:23:17.079
day at work, you want to
go to the gym, you're on a

1183
01:23:17.079 --> 01:23:21.960
conference call, there's a myriad of
and you're you're absolutely right. It's it's

1184
01:23:23.039 --> 01:23:28.199
parenting made easy, right, and
sometimes that is really really nice. Right.

1185
01:23:28.720 --> 01:23:30.920
It's an interesting debate because you're right, it does make it easier.

1186
01:23:31.359 --> 01:23:35.600
But then on the other side,
like does the kid develop the same type

1187
01:23:35.600 --> 01:23:39.880
of brain, Like what happens now
my daughter will have the long term studies,

1188
01:23:40.279 --> 01:23:43.039
you know, I'm I think our
generating SENO is the first generation that

1189
01:23:43.159 --> 01:23:47.239
like really definitely from the age of
kind of since we were cognizant, we

1190
01:23:47.520 --> 01:23:51.000
had a technology around us, like
we had flip phones from the and then

1191
01:23:51.039 --> 01:23:55.520
some of these kids now that are
growing up then they had ipet since they

1192
01:23:55.520 --> 01:23:58.840
were four. I was gonna say, I didn't have my first iPhone until

1193
01:23:58.880 --> 01:24:00.840
I was probably twelve. We have
we had phones, you know, in

1194
01:24:01.000 --> 01:24:04.680
video games. My first phone iPhone
twelve years old. He's like my little

1195
01:24:04.680 --> 01:24:09.600
sister. She grew up it's a
different story. Three years and my daughters

1196
01:24:09.640 --> 01:24:12.279
and our kids aren't gonna have TVs. And we went over there last nd.

1197
01:24:12.279 --> 01:24:15.239
They both have big flat screen TV's
in their bedroom. Stay there you

1198
01:24:15.359 --> 01:24:18.760
go. We've also seen the skyrocketing
and suicides because of it, which is

1199
01:24:19.239 --> 01:24:24.039
sad. We'll be back right after
just break. Thanks again for joining us.

1200
01:24:24.720 --> 01:24:27.520
Welcome back to the Money Matter Show. My name is Sebastian Borsini.

1201
01:24:27.600 --> 01:24:30.640
I'm here with Todd click Junior,
Dylan Greenberg, and David Sherwood. Sabastian

1202
01:24:30.680 --> 01:24:36.039
Borsini. That birthday boy, sir, big plans tonight, No, just

1203
01:24:36.039 --> 01:24:40.239
gonna go get some sushi and then
this weekend just hang out, play some

1204
01:24:40.279 --> 01:24:43.560
golf with the with the coworkers here
in the office, and go watch the

1205
01:24:43.600 --> 01:24:45.399
UFC fights later at Saturday night.
That's what I want to do on my

1206
01:24:45.399 --> 01:24:53.199
birthday. Go east. Raw food
sounds wonderful. Thanks sakes alive, young

1207
01:24:53.239 --> 01:24:59.560
people only cow. I don't know
why why uncooked food became trendy, But

1208
01:24:59.560 --> 01:25:01.079
what is it? What old people
that just will never go to Japan?

1209
01:25:01.439 --> 01:25:03.399
No? I know, I know. I was in. I was in

1210
01:25:03.439 --> 01:25:08.039
I was in a poke poke pol
place. I was in a poke bowl

1211
01:25:08.119 --> 01:25:11.720
place the other day, and we
got the poke pokey. I've heard both.

1212
01:25:11.760 --> 01:25:14.159
I've heard both. Yeah, you
call it pokey. I've heard I

1213
01:25:15.159 --> 01:25:17.880
say poke poke I we got three
different ways to do it. And and

1214
01:25:18.000 --> 01:25:21.199
they had they had raw stuff,
of course, and they had cook stuff.

1215
01:25:21.560 --> 01:25:25.960
And uh, we got the I
got the chicken and my wife got

1216
01:25:25.960 --> 01:25:30.760
the shrimp. And it turns out
the shrimp wasn't cooked enough. So you

1217
01:25:30.800 --> 01:25:34.960
do what you gotta do, right
Chipotle. Uh boy, that's been an

1218
01:25:34.960 --> 01:25:40.119
interesting story, hasn't it. That
stock was one of the most popular stocks

1219
01:25:40.159 --> 01:25:43.720
out there, and they did a
fifty for one. Historic Really, I've

1220
01:25:43.760 --> 01:25:46.760
never seen a fifty for one stock
split. They did a fifty for one

1221
01:25:46.840 --> 01:25:50.359
stock split, and it's just been
dropping and dropping. It hit a six

1222
01:25:50.439 --> 01:25:57.000
month low on Wednesday. Strong Ernie's
report on Wednesday night sent the stock ten

1223
01:25:57.079 --> 01:26:00.560
percent higher in the aftermarket, but
by the time to stock open it giving

1224
01:26:00.640 --> 01:26:06.399
it all up because there's concerns about
wages, particularly in California. You may

1225
01:26:06.439 --> 01:26:13.560
recall the California the past, the
Fast Act raised minimum wages by twenty five

1226
01:26:13.600 --> 01:26:18.680
percent for fast food restaurants with sixty
or more change six year more locations.

1227
01:26:18.800 --> 01:26:25.159
Now that's made the minimum wage at
a fast food restaurant if you have six

1228
01:26:25.279 --> 01:26:29.399
year more locations, twenty bucks.
I don't understand twenty bucks an hour on

1229
01:26:29.399 --> 01:26:34.319
that bill since twenty nineteen to twenty
twenty four. McDonald's like some prices of

1230
01:26:34.319 --> 01:26:38.880
their like their Big Mac was a
dollar eighty nine in twenty nineteen and now

1231
01:26:38.920 --> 01:26:42.359
it's three seventy five. There's their
ma, their whole meal, like you

1232
01:26:42.399 --> 01:26:45.000
get a five thing meal, used
to be like twenty bucks and now it's

1233
01:26:45.079 --> 01:26:47.600
thirty five dollars. In five years, it's almost double. It's amazing.

1234
01:26:47.680 --> 01:26:50.239
And then it's because it alone.
Yeah, they're not alone, it's other

1235
01:26:50.279 --> 01:26:55.640
fast food restaurants like that. It's
ridiculous how much it's gone in five years.

1236
01:26:56.079 --> 01:27:00.239
Yeah, and like just say that
you don't want companies here in California.

1237
01:27:01.159 --> 01:27:06.479
Chipoti passed the price to increase on
and what they what the CEO said,

1238
01:27:06.560 --> 01:27:13.199
is is whether you raised prices or
not, you've seen store traffic drop.

1239
01:27:14.079 --> 01:27:16.039
It's also they raise prices. But
there's also been a whole thing going

1240
01:27:16.079 --> 01:27:20.479
on social media saying there's uh,
portions are shrinking, which they used to

1241
01:27:20.479 --> 01:27:27.079
be really generous. St Yeah,
it's strengflation along with price inflation. The

1242
01:27:27.159 --> 01:27:29.840
thing makes people not want to go
there. Now, I got other places

1243
01:27:29.880 --> 01:27:32.079
like you the Kava place that you've
never been to. People like that.

1244
01:27:32.319 --> 01:27:35.520
You got Kdoba, you got mos. If you're on the East Coast,

1245
01:27:35.800 --> 01:27:40.159
you have other options that might still
be doing large portions. You say screw

1246
01:27:40.199 --> 01:27:44.600
it to Chipotle. I've been seeing
something about how if you if you pull

1247
01:27:44.600 --> 01:27:47.439
your phone out while you're in the
Chipotle ordering line and pretend that you're recording

1248
01:27:47.479 --> 01:27:50.439
them, they'll give you a bigger
portion. I've never had a problem with

1249
01:27:50.600 --> 01:27:56.800
portions that you don't eat that much. Well, I know a great example

1250
01:27:56.840 --> 01:28:00.159
of shrinkflation. Were my favorites is
gatorades. You know all gatorad used you

1251
01:28:00.159 --> 01:28:03.359
have those big bottles. Yeah,
and then they changed it to have a

1252
01:28:03.439 --> 01:28:08.960
kind of like an indent into them. They're like four to six ounces small.

1253
01:28:09.279 --> 01:28:12.199
I have another one for you.
Remember toaster strudles, Remember eating those

1254
01:28:12.279 --> 01:28:15.279
for breakfast? Before elementary school,
I was the more a pop tart guy.

1255
01:28:15.399 --> 01:28:18.039
Well, I'm I'm sure it's the
same thing with the With the pop

1256
01:28:18.079 --> 01:28:21.760
tart they're the size of a card, like a deck of cards. That's

1257
01:28:21.760 --> 01:28:25.239
the size of them. Now,
I kid you're sure it's not just because

1258
01:28:25.239 --> 01:28:33.560
he got bigger. Three now fantastic. I love that. I love that.

1259
01:28:33.560 --> 01:28:41.239
That's fantastic. Verizon. You typically
sleepy Verizon. It's been doing crazy

1260
01:28:41.239 --> 01:28:43.680
over the last twelve months. I
really hadn't even looked at it. I

1261
01:28:43.800 --> 01:28:45.600
got Verizon in some accounts, but
it's one of those things I have it

1262
01:28:45.640 --> 01:28:49.159
for the dividend pays around the seven
percent dividend, right, so I figure

1263
01:28:49.159 --> 01:28:51.760
I just get my seven percent and
if I'm lucky, I'll get the money

1264
01:28:51.760 --> 01:28:57.319
back. You know, that thing
is up thirty percent in the last six

1265
01:28:57.399 --> 01:29:00.560
months. Depends now perform an ating
t for years now. Unbelievable. Yeah,

1266
01:29:00.720 --> 01:29:04.720
it was down six percent on Monday
after quarterly revenue disappointed, but they're

1267
01:29:04.720 --> 01:29:11.399
seven percent dividend is still in place. It's I really, I really didn't

1268
01:29:11.399 --> 01:29:13.760
expect that. You know. Abercrombie
and Fitch, we've talked about that a

1269
01:29:13.800 --> 01:29:18.880
little bit. The Wells Fargo raised
their price target. I'm sorry, and

1270
01:29:18.960 --> 01:29:24.079
it's gone gone up three hundred percent
in the last twelve months. Abercroman Fitch,

1271
01:29:24.119 --> 01:29:28.000
which I had thought was left for
dead, So they've shifted the way.

1272
01:29:28.039 --> 01:29:30.800
They like their whole design of their
clothes and everything. Like when we

1273
01:29:30.840 --> 01:29:33.279
were kids, it was one specific
like you go to Abercrombie, you get

1274
01:29:33.279 --> 01:29:36.880
these like big shirts with big letterings
whatever. You know what you were talking

1275
01:29:36.920 --> 01:29:40.399
about. Like when I was thirteen
years old middle school, I could never

1276
01:29:40.399 --> 01:29:43.680
wear it because I was too big, but every kid at school had them,

1277
01:29:43.720 --> 01:29:45.079
Like, oh man, I wish
I could fit in that clothes.

1278
01:29:45.399 --> 01:29:48.840
Couldn't wear them. Though nowadays they
shifted the whole way. Their whole fashion

1279
01:29:50.920 --> 01:29:56.760
design of Abercrombie is just different,
more for adults looking stuff like other companies

1280
01:29:56.760 --> 01:29:59.399
that like I would go buy as
a twenty nine year old, they have

1281
01:29:59.479 --> 01:30:02.439
similar fashion looking looks. So it's
like they shifted with kids as they grew

1282
01:30:02.520 --> 01:30:05.560
up when they're a company, and
now they shifted and kept going and evolving

1283
01:30:05.600 --> 01:30:09.239
with the new fashion trends. And
that's why I think they're up three hundred

1284
01:30:09.239 --> 01:30:11.520
percent. That's an interesting take.
So if you walk in there, you

1285
01:30:11.560 --> 01:30:15.800
might be able to find out a
shirt or something that wouldn't have Abricrommie all

1286
01:30:15.800 --> 01:30:17.600
over. So my girlfriend says,
like she hasn't looked at Abercrombie in like

1287
01:30:17.600 --> 01:30:21.199
ten years. She came across something
that somebody said to the abercron but she

1288
01:30:21.199 --> 01:30:25.479
goes to their website. She's gone
to Abercrombie three different times now in the

1289
01:30:25.520 --> 01:30:28.279
last month. Oh wow, because
she loves it. She found a ton

1290
01:30:28.319 --> 01:30:30.720
of stuff. It's ridiculous, but
that's what she's saying, Like, it's

1291
01:30:30.720 --> 01:30:34.439
just stuff that I would wear now
for ten years it wasn't. That's the

1292
01:30:34.520 --> 01:30:38.800
sort of whatever they're doing is,
they're doing it right. And JP Morgan,

1293
01:30:38.880 --> 01:30:42.720
after a three hundred point rally,
decided what they're gonna do ash buy

1294
01:30:42.760 --> 01:30:44.640
it. They're gonna buy it,
man, they want to buy that.

1295
01:30:44.680 --> 01:30:46.920
They're shining strong demand for their apparel. Get on board, let's go.

1296
01:30:47.079 --> 01:30:49.720
Dang analysts. Man, I'm thinking, where in the heck were you three

1297
01:30:49.800 --> 01:30:53.800
hundred percent ago? Yeah, I
mean that's like when they wanted to buy

1298
01:30:53.840 --> 01:30:58.479
Lulu and lose all. They were
buying Lulu at the same as of Abercrombie.

1299
01:30:58.520 --> 01:31:02.960
Right, Yeah, it's Disney continues
to disappoint and we've had a small

1300
01:31:03.000 --> 01:31:08.800
position in Disney and it just continues
to disappoint. And April the stock was

1301
01:31:08.840 --> 01:31:12.880
one of the best performing Dove stocks
after the company won. They're proxified with

1302
01:31:12.960 --> 01:31:17.039
Elliott. Management's been going straight down
hit a six month lowe last week giving

1303
01:31:17.119 --> 01:31:20.800
up all of this year's games.
They actually went from number one or number

1304
01:31:20.800 --> 01:31:25.199
two performing Dove stocks. Now it's
down for the year. What's going on

1305
01:31:25.279 --> 01:31:30.560
with their theme parks? They there
was a report from Comcast, who owns

1306
01:31:30.680 --> 01:31:35.560
Universal Studios, the disappointing results,
and that sent Disney to that six months

1307
01:31:35.560 --> 01:31:41.800
alone. I just think it's anonymous. Yeah, yeah, I think Disney

1308
01:31:41.880 --> 01:31:45.560
is a great company. I think
the market has this wrong, guilty by

1309
01:31:45.640 --> 01:31:48.039
guilty by assist because the ESPN,
I mean what they have with you.

1310
01:31:48.159 --> 01:31:51.680
I mean they own ESPN, they
own ABC, let alone their theme parks,

1311
01:31:53.239 --> 01:31:57.520
let alone, the streaming alone.
ESPN just got to deal with the

1312
01:31:57.600 --> 01:32:01.039
NBA too. We're going to be
streaming the NBA now after this season.

1313
01:32:01.319 --> 01:32:08.239
That's huge? Can them? Amazon? And I think NBC maybe Peacock,

1314
01:32:08.279 --> 01:32:13.399
I don't know, well three though, and what's their faces Warner Brothers Discoveries

1315
01:32:13.439 --> 01:32:16.000
soon an NBA because of that,
Yeah, because they're TNT And they said

1316
01:32:16.039 --> 01:32:19.039
like they were trying to just take
over one of their things. I was

1317
01:32:19.079 --> 01:32:23.159
trying to understand it. It seemed
like their price. Yeah, they were

1318
01:32:23.199 --> 01:32:30.239
selling the streaming rights to Amazon and
basically Warner Brothers, was like, I

1319
01:32:30.319 --> 01:32:33.119
want to also have a match right
deal for the streamings, And then NBA

1320
01:32:33.199 --> 01:32:35.840
sent a letter to Warner Bros.
Like Yeah, you're not. You don't,

1321
01:32:35.920 --> 01:32:38.680
you're not. You don't need that, Like you don't, you know

1322
01:32:38.880 --> 01:32:41.760
entirely. Yeah, and then Warner
Bros. Match them and then they're like,

1323
01:32:41.760 --> 01:32:44.560
you didn't do good enough. Yeah, and then so Warner Bros.

1324
01:32:44.600 --> 01:32:46.920
Sou them now, So that's gonna
be an interesting you're speaking of speaking of

1325
01:32:46.960 --> 01:32:51.359
sleepy sock, Like Verizon Coca Cola
a strong earnage before drove that to a

1326
01:32:51.359 --> 01:32:56.880
fifty two week high on Tuesday.
They have a new high protein, low

1327
01:32:57.000 --> 01:33:02.039
sugar milkshake, oh snap, under
the name fair Life. Have you tried

1328
01:33:02.119 --> 01:33:05.800
that? No? I have not
either, But is that the milk fair

1329
01:33:05.880 --> 01:33:10.239
Life? Yees? Milk? Yeah, it's pretty good. Milk, chocolates

1330
01:33:10.279 --> 01:33:15.159
good. It's a milkshake, right, It's tastes like one. I guess

1331
01:33:15.319 --> 01:33:17.920
they kind of look like milk because
I looked at in the grocery store chocolate

1332
01:33:18.000 --> 01:33:20.560
milk. They had a bunch of
different flavors. Yeah, fair Life.

1333
01:33:20.560 --> 01:33:25.159
They have like protein shakes of that
too, well, has protein in the

1334
01:33:25.199 --> 01:33:29.840
fair Life has six twenty six grams
of protein. Yeah, and only one

1335
01:33:29.880 --> 01:33:32.520
hundred and seventy calories. That's amazing. But I think they advertise it as

1336
01:33:32.560 --> 01:33:35.880
a protein drink yep, yeah,
okay, yeah, and that's what's driving

1337
01:33:35.920 --> 01:33:42.199
there's there's growth in Coca Cola.
I mean, it's just amazing how one

1338
01:33:42.199 --> 01:33:44.760
of the I was looking at a
protein company the other day. I forget

1339
01:33:44.760 --> 01:33:49.079
which one costco sells a bunch.
I think it's called Premiere Okay, Lactose

1340
01:33:49.119 --> 01:33:53.920
free too, yes, yeah,
Lactose free, the fair Life. Anyway,

1341
01:33:53.960 --> 01:33:56.920
it's an absolutely great company. I
was looking at their earnings. Just

1342
01:33:57.399 --> 01:34:01.920
good stuff. Yeah. That So
we've talked about talk about the market.

1343
01:34:01.920 --> 01:34:06.119
The markets come in a little bit. The Nasdaq there wasn't it was that

1344
01:34:06.239 --> 01:34:11.159
long ago. Everybody wanted to jump
on board the videos, the broadcoms.

1345
01:34:11.600 --> 01:34:16.000
The Nasdaq was was all that,
and it has come back one hundred if

1346
01:34:16.039 --> 01:34:19.800
you really want to be absolutely has
come seven percent off of it's high.

1347
01:34:21.359 --> 01:34:25.960
When you see times like this,
it's time to kind of dust off that

1348
01:34:26.119 --> 01:34:30.399
buy list. And some of these
high flyers that you've been wanting to take

1349
01:34:30.479 --> 01:34:33.159
a shot at are coming into an
area where you might want to look at

1350
01:34:33.199 --> 01:34:38.199
them. We talked about Nvidio got
to one hundred and forty. It is

1351
01:34:38.239 --> 01:34:42.000
now one hundred and thirteen or so. If you wanted to buy one hundred

1352
01:34:42.039 --> 01:34:45.039
shares, maybe you buy twenty five
on Monday and if it comes in a

1353
01:34:45.039 --> 01:34:49.159
little further dis continue to buy.
Same with Google, Google, same thing.

1354
01:34:50.279 --> 01:34:56.079
There's some really nice companies out there
that have seen their their share price

1355
01:34:56.159 --> 01:35:00.039
come in. You guys continue to
do the financial plans left and right still

1356
01:35:00.079 --> 01:35:04.239
available, give us a call.
We're happy to do that. The guys

1357
01:35:04.319 --> 01:35:11.399
are seeing at least a couple of
people a day. Sometimes it's three,

1358
01:35:11.520 --> 01:35:15.039
sometimes it's four, sometimes it's one. But I think on average it's so

1359
01:35:15.279 --> 01:35:17.399
busy. It's been so busy,
and a lot of it's because of the

1360
01:35:17.439 --> 01:35:20.720
election coming up. People are nervous, like with their allocation that they're not

1361
01:35:20.760 --> 01:35:25.119
really sure if they want to still
be as I guess aggressive, And I

1362
01:35:25.199 --> 01:35:28.199
mean it's July. It's July,
and if you cannot be in Tucson,

1363
01:35:28.279 --> 01:35:30.359
Arizona, you're not in too Sun
Arizona. So if you guys are this

1364
01:35:30.640 --> 01:35:35.319
busy in July, imagine how it's
going to become September October. So if

1365
01:35:35.359 --> 01:35:40.880
you haven't done the financial plan yet
and have interest in that space, give

1366
01:35:40.960 --> 01:35:44.520
us a call five two zero five
four four four nine oh nine. Come

1367
01:35:44.600 --> 01:35:46.880
in for your peace of mind,
if for no other reason, we'd love

1368
01:35:46.960 --> 01:35:50.479
to see you, and I think
you'd get a lot out of it.

1369
01:35:50.560 --> 01:35:54.279
And I've never seen anyone that hasn't
walked away and said, man, that

1370
01:35:54.479 --> 01:35:57.680
was really really nice. But at
the end of the day, we want

1371
01:35:57.720 --> 01:36:00.479
to be happy, but orduately we
want to be healthy, ausse if we're

1372
01:36:00.479 --> 01:36:03.560
not healthy, we're not happy.
But what we're trying to be at Greenberg

1373
01:36:03.680 --> 01:36:08.079
Financial is offitable. To see you
next week.