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Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast

Play Me or Fade Me Sports Betting Picks Podcast

This show delivers daily sports betting picks, insights, and tips in under 14 minutes most days. Overnight show picks games against the spread, afternoon show focuses on player prop bets.

Podcast launched in August 2021, here's a list of some accomplishments:
2021 NFL Football - 57.7% against the spread winners, 62.8%-win rate on player prop bets
2022 MLB Baseball - 57.2%-win rate on team totals
2022 NFL Football - 60.2% against the spread winners
2023 NCAA Basketball Conference Tournaments - 58.1%-win rate on 1H unders
2023 College Football - Kota Capper College Football Central Lock, Underdog, and Unit Champ
2023 NFL Football - 57.3%-win rate on player prop bets
Longest Winning Streak - 13 days in February 2024, 61-23, 72.6%, up 30.7103 units

Podcast motto: Manage that bankroll, don't chase money, have fun, and let's cash some tickets together.

Manage that bankroll: Flat betting, percentage model, confidence model, and Kelly criterion model are all good options to be a long-term sports bettor.

Don't chase money: Think risk management vs. emotional wagering. I've hit 60% plus percent over 60 days only to bust out on a bad weekend by losing all discipline. I go hot/cold on a dime and need to weather the storms.

Have fun: For me, sports betting is a hobby, so I need to keep it fun. I bet significantly less per game now than I did 20 years ago and I'm still having just as much fun doing it.

Overall: I'm not good enough tail, not bad enough to fade. Some days I win, some days I lose. I've made and still make plenty of mistakes, I'm still learning but I love sports betting. I mispronounce names, cities, and teams.

Caution: For entertainment purposes only. Gambling related content is not intended for anyone under the age of 21. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Sports gambling isn't easy, I like gambling stocks long-term for that reason.

Recent Episodes

April 28, 2025

That's a winner! Positive spike day: 9-2, up 5.99 units. 4 MLB Bets, 3 NBA Bets including props on Amen Thompson/Andrew Wiggins, and 2 NHL Bets for Monday.

Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME Signup Link: ⁠⁠⁠https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me⁠⁠⁠ Podcast Card: New York Yankees/Baltimore Over 9.5 (-113) NRFI: St. Louis/Cincinnati (-105) Houston First 5 Team Total Over 1...
April 27, 2025

That's a winner! 9-5 day, up 2.1096 units. 5 NBA Bets (props on Hachimura, DiVincenzo, Caldwell-Pope), 3 NHL Bets, and 3 MLB Bets for Sunday

Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME Signup Link: ⁠⁠https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me⁠⁠ Podcast Card: LA Lakers +3.5 at Minnesota (-112) Boston -6.5 at Orlando (-112) Rui Hachimura Over 11.5 (-110) Donte DiVincenzo...
April 26, 2025

Action is back with 4 NHL/NBA props on Bobrovsky, Hartenstein, VanVleet, and Braun. 3 NHL Bets, 4 NBA Bets, and 7 MLB Bets for Saturday.

Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME Signup Link: ⁠https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me⁠ Podcast Card: Vegas ML at Minnesota (-143) Colorado 60-Min ML vs. Dallas (-115) Sergei Bobrovsky Over 22.5 saves (-110) Houston ...
April 25, 2025

Biggest NFL Draft Loser: Action edges out Browns Fans. Play Us or Fade Us Friday with Dan, Klig, and Chad. NBA, NHL, MLB, and MLS picks plus the Parlay of the Week.

Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me Play Us or Fade Us Podcast Card: Bucks/Giannis 25+ PTS/Giannis 10+ Reb (-124) Timberwolves 1Q -0.5 (-122) Celtics 3Q -1.5 (-122) C...
April 24, 2025

That's a winner! @KotaCapperKyle crushed it. Action is back with 5 NFL Draft Bets, 4 NHL Bets, 3 NBA Bets, and 2 MLB Bets.

Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me Podcast Card: Memphis +8.5 vs. OKC (-105) New York -1 at Detroit (-105) Denver/LA Clippers Over 214 (-112) Tampa Bay ML vs. Florid...
April 23, 2025

@KotaCapperKyle hosts the show with 3 NHL Bets (Under, Under, and Underdog) and 2 MLB Bets (NRFI plus a ML)

Underdog Promo Code: PLAYME Signup Link: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-play-me-or-fade-me @KotaCapperKyle Podcast Card: Montreal/Washington Under 5.5 (+102) Houston ML vs. Toronto (-108) Dallas/Colorado Under 6.5 (-115) ...

Recent Blog Posts

Oct. 7, 2024

Underdog Fantasy entry for October 7, 2024

Entry yesterday was refunded. De'Von Achane left with an injury in the 1H, Jakobi Meyers went higher than his number.  New day today.  Monday Promos available: 30% profit boost Patrick Mahomes Higher than 0.5 yards  My Monday Ent…

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Oct. 6, 2024

Underdog Fantasy entry for October 6, 2024

Darius Taylor (Minnesota) delivered a HUGE game on Saturday with 144 yards on the ground, unfortunately for me the struggle is real for Ollie Gordon as he finished with 50 yards leaving early with an injury in the 3rd.   New day today.&nb…

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Oct. 5, 2024

Underdog Fantasy entry for October 5, 2024

Friday was a nice day for me on Underdog. Both entries cashed.  Used promo on Alyssa Thomas Higher than 11.5 points with Kyle McCord Higher than 2.5 passing TDs  Used promo on Hajj-Malik Williams Higher than 0.0 passing yards with Kyle M…

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