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March 3, 2024

Free NBA Prop Best Bet (Tyrese Haliburton Over 18.5 points)

YTD Blog Best Bet: 7-7, 50.0%, down 0.8346 units (2-0 in March)

Today's Best Bet: Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) Over 18.5 points @ San Antonio (-105 on BetMGM)

Spurs rank 30th defending the position, rank 26th in points allowed, 27th defending the 3, and 25th in FG % allowed. All good numbers for an over. 

1 game against San Antonio this year back in November: 27 minutes, 9/19 shooting, 23 points 

Haliburton is averaging 21.0 PPG on the season, but his numbers have fallen off significantly since averaging 28.6 PPG in November. 21.4 PPG in December, 17.9 PPG in January, 16.1 PPG in February, and now he was held scoreless for just the 2nd time in his career last out going 0/6 on 3's. He's now gone under this number in 4 straight games. 

Spurs D is just what the doctor ordered for a bounce back game. That's what I'm expecting today.