| Josh Giddey | O9.5 | WIN | 89.29 |
| Tyler Herro | O20.5 | WIN | 94.34 |
| Kristaps Porzingis | U18.5 | WIN | 83.33 |
| Gavin Sheets | U0.5 TB | WIN | 120 |
| Carlos Carrasco | O2.5 ER | WIN | 105 |
| San Diego Padres | RL -1.5 | WIN | 92.59 |
| Matt Waldron | O3.5 Ks | WIN | 76.92 |
NBA:
Play 1: Josh Giddey (Thunder) Over 9.5 points vs. New Orleans (-112 on DraftKings)
- Number was 12.5 on Sunday, Giddey scored 2 points on 1/6 shooting. Giddey was a go to prop for me during the regular season in a bounce back spot. He averaged 12.3 PPG during the regular season, he averaged 14 PPG after the break, he averaged 14.7 PPG in 3 games against the Pelicans. I have been wrong way too many times of late on the NBA props that I like but I really, really, really like this one tonight. Fingers crossed.
Play 2: Tyler Herro (Heat) Over 20.5 points at Boston (-106 on FanDuel)
- Herro was 4/13 for 11 points on Sunday at Boston after scoring 24 & 25 in the play-in games. Herro averaged 23.7 PPG in 3 games against the Celtics during the season. I bet the under on Herro in Game 1 at 23.5, I'm going over at 20.5 tonight.
Play 3: Kristaps Porzingis (Celtics) Under 18.5 points vs. Miami (-120 on DraftKings)
- Porzingis averaged 20.3 PPG vs. the Heat in 3 games during the regular season, averaged 20.1 PPG on the year. 18 points in Game 1 on 7/13 shooting including 4/8 from beyond the arc. Considering he averaged only 1.9 made triples per game during the season, I don't expect a repeat of that tonight. Gut says under, I'm going under.
MLB:
Play 1: Total Bases - Gavin Sheets (White Sox) Under 0.5 at Minnesota (+120)
- .262 on the year, 2 for 7 career against Joe Ryan. Sheets has had a hit in 6 straight games, I think that ends tonight.
Play 2: Earned Runs Allowed - Carlos Carrasco (Guardians) Over 2.5 vs. Boston (+105)
- I just lost a NRFI on Kyle Gibson, I normally fade Gibson and paid the price for backing him. I always fade Carlos Carrasco; I've had enough regret for one day already. I'm going to do what I normally do. 1.53 WHIP this season, 1.70 WHIP last season. Pitchers that have consistent traffic on the bases should pay the price. Get me some earned runs Boston!
Play 3: Run Line - San Diego Padres -1.5 at Colorado (-108)
- Bounce back spot for the Padres. Let's put some crooked numbers up tonight.
Play 4: Strikeouts - Matt Waldron (Padres) Over 3.5 at Colorado (-130)
- 8.5 K's/9 this year for Waldron, Rockies rank 26th with 9.88 K's per game. Software all supports the play projecting 4.1-5.2 K's tonight. This is like doubling down on 11, no regrets fading the Rockies in back-to-back bets.
