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My Conference Tournament Results:
1H Unders: 2-0, 100%, up 1.7392 units
Sides: 1-1, 50%, down 0.0909 units
WHAT IF Results: (Not betting, just tracking for future reference)
Every Underdog ATS: 2-0, 100%, up 1.8182 units
Every Underdog ML: 2-0, 100%, up 2.68 units
Tonight's 1H Unders:
Holy Cross/Army Under 61.5 (FanDuel)
Coastal Carolina/ULM Under 68 (DraftKings)
Robert Morris/Purdue Fort Wayne Under 69.5 (DraftKings)
IUPUI/Cleveland State Under 68.5 (FanDuel)
Jacksonville/Eastern Kentucky Under 67.5 (DraftKings)
Loyola Maryland/Navy Under 62.5 (FanDuel)
Queens/Stetson Under 76.5 (FanDuel)
Detroit Mercy/Milwaukee Under 72.5 (DraftKings)
North Alabama/Lipscomb Under 75 (DraftKings)
North Florida/Austin Peay Under 67 (DraftKings)
Old Dominion/Texas State Under 64.5 (DraftKings)
ATS Picks:
G1. Holy Cross +4.5 @ Army (from the podcast last night)
Army won the first 2 meetings; line is short enough for me to back the underdog.
G2. Louisiana-Monroe -1.5 vs. Coastal Carolina
6-12 vs. 5-13 in the Sun Belt, Warhawks won the first meeting by 4.
G3. Stetson -5.5 vs. Queens
Teams split during the year both winning on the road. Queens won @ Stetson by 8 on February 22nd. Queens won in this building last night, Stetson will have the home court edge tonight for revenge.
G4. Loyola Maryland +7 @ Navy
Teams split during the regular season both winning on the road in games decided by 4 & 7. Navy was won 4 straight games, but I'll grab the points.
G5. Milwaukee -11.5 vs. Detroit
I don't have it in me to grab the points with a 1-30 basketball team. Milwaukee won the first meeting by 23, won the second meeting by 16. I'll lay the points.
G6. Austin Peay -2.5 vs. North Florida
This is a tough one that I expect to be in doubt at the under 4 timeout. Austin Peay won the first meeting at home in 2OT, 95-91. Governors have won 7 of 8. Let's keep the party going.
G7. Texas State -3 vs. Old Dominion
First meeting of the year in the conference tournament, not a fan of that. Common opponents/same location: Texas State 4-5, ODU 1-8. That's enough of an edge for me.
G8. North Alabama +7.5 @ Lipscomb
Teams split during the season; North Alabama has played well against the top in the ASUN. Lost @ Eastern Kentucky by 3 a couple weeks back, beat Stetson & Lipscomb at home, took Austin Peay to OT on the road. Lipscomb is hot, winning 7 of 8. Just beat #1 Eastern Kentucky by 14 to finish the season but I need some dogs on my card. I'll grab the points.
G9. Robert Morris +11.5 @ Purdue Fort Wayne
Ken Pom has this at 13, hate going against that but these two faced each other at end the regular season. Mastodons won by 18. Robert Morris won the first meeting in OT by 3. Colonials are limping in with 6 straight losses, but this is tournament time, I expect things to tighten up just a bit.
G10. IUPUI +16.5 @ Cleveland State
I couldn't bet on Detroit but I'm going to bite the bullet with 6-25 IUPUI. IUPUI has played Cleveland State tough, lost by 9 in the first meeting, lost by 9 to end the regular season on Saturday.
G11. Eastern Kentucky -8.5 vs. Jacksonville
At home, coming off back-to-back losses, Eastern Kentucky looks like a good pick to me. Colonels ran Jacksonville out of the gym in the first meeting winning by 16. After watching the Dolphins score 92 in this gym last night against Kennesaw State, I expect them to be ready to go.
