My Conference Tournament Results:
1H Unders: 71-47-2, 60.2%, up 14.7416 units
Sides: 61-58-1, 51.2%, down 2.5449 units
WHAT IF Results: (Not betting, just tracking for future reference)
Every Underdog ATS: 58-61-1, 48.7%, down 8.2722 units
Every Underdog ML: 38-82, 31.7%, up 0.80 units
Today's 1H Unders:
Davidson/Fordham Under 62.5
Oklahoma State/UCF Under 64
George Washington/La Salle Under 69.5
Georgia Tech/Notre Dame Under 61.5
West Virginia/Cincinnati Under 68
Saint Louis/Rhode Island Under 73.5
Louisville/NC State Under 70.5
New Hampshire/Vermont Under 64.5
Canisius/Mount St. Mary's Under 64.5
Bryant/UMass Lowell Under 75.5
Lamar/McNeese Under 65.5
Stony Brook/Charleston Under 72.5
Milwaukee/Oakland Under 72
Wagner/Merrimack Under 54.5
Miami/Boston College Under 69.5
Manhattan/Iona Under 64.5
Sacramento State/Montana State Under 62.5
Gonzaga/Saint Mary's Under 65
Nicholls/Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Under 63.5
Florida International/Jacksonville State Under 66
Denver/South Dakota State Under 75.5
Siena/Niagara Under 61.5
Idaho State/Montana Under 65.5
ATS Picks:
G1. Miami -1.5 vs. Boston College (from the podcast)
Boston College won the first meeting at home by 8, won the second meeting on the road by 10. I'm not wavering from the strategy, it's tough be beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less.
G2. Georgia Tech +1.5 vs. Notre Dame (from the podcast)
Notre Dame won the first meeting @ Georgia Tech by 7 in OT, Fighting Irish won the second meeting by 3 at home. You know the drill, it's tough be beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less.
G3. George Washington +2 vs. La Salle (from the podcast)
La Salle won the first meeting @ George Washington by 10, Explorers won the second meeting by 6 at home. Here we go again, it's tough be beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less.
G4. Bryant +4.5 @ UMass Lowell (from the podcast)
True road game. UMass Lowell won the first meeting by 9 @ Bryant, River Hawks won the second meeting at home by 22. Yet another, it's tough be beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less.
G5. Fordham +4.5 vs. Davidson (from the podcast)
Davidson won the first meeting by 10 on the road, Wildcats won the second meeting by 15 at home. I'm all in on the strategy, it's tough be beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less.
G6. FIU +4 vs. Jacksonville State (from the podcast)
Jacksonville State won the first meeting by 7 at home, Gamecocks won the second meeting @ FIU by 2. Here we go again. it's tough be beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less.
G7. Milwaukee +5 vs. Oakland (from the podcast)
Oakland won the first meeting by 5 at home, Oakland won the second meeting in 2OT @ Milwaukee by 4. I can't help myself, it's tough be beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less.
G8. Idaho State +5 vs. Montana (from the podcast)
Montana won the first meeting by 8 on the road, Montana won the second meeting by 14 at home. Make or break day for the strategy, say it with me one more time...... it's tough be beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less.
G9. West Virginia +10.5 vs. Cincinnati (from the podcast)
The Bearcats crushed the Mountaineers in the final game of the regular season 92-56. West Viriginia might be 9-22 but they played tough much of the year. They showed some pride. They actually beat Cincy by 4 at home. They also beat Texas & Kansas at home. On the road, winless this season. BUT in February, they lost by only 7 @ Iowa State, they took Kansas State to OT. 10.5 is a bit much for me, I think that Mountaineers keep this within foul game.
G10. Canisius +4.5 vs. Mount St. Mary's
Teams split during the season, Mount won by 5 at home, Canisius won by 5 at home. Couple tight games, now a neutral floor. Golden Griffins won 5 of 8 down the stretch including a half court winner last out against Manhattan. Mountaineers lost 5 of 7 down the stretch against tough competition. When in doubt, grab the points. Give me the 4.5.
G11. Charleston -7 vs. Stony Brook
4th game in 4 days for Stony Brook. Who's the last team in the conference you want to play in that situation? I would think it's the team that plays the fastest tempo in the conference, Charleston. Not only is Charleston is the fastest temp, they are also the best team in the conference. 1 meeting during the year, Charleston won @ Stony Brook by 6. Seawolves have had a great run, beating Northeastern, winning in 2OT against Drexel, and then hanging on against Hofstra but the party is over tonight. I expect the Cougars to separate and win by double digits.
G12. Oklahoma State +4.5 vs. UCF
Cowboys have lost 5 straight including by 6 at home against UCF. That was the only meeting of the year between the two teams. I considered that a tough spot of Oklahoma State since they were coming off an OT loss to rival Oklahoma. I think today is a much better spot, UCF beat TCU on the road to end the regular season. They have the better resume with 5 Top 50 wins vs. 2 for Oklahoma State but I can't lay 4.5 today with the 14th ranked offense in the Big 12.
G13. Rhode Island +2.5 vs. Saint Louis
Saint Louis won the lone meeting @ Rhode Island 94-91 on March 2nd. Rhode Island ended a 7-game losing streak on Saturday winning at Fordham by 8. St. Louis won @ St. Bonaventure by 8 on Saturday. Best unit on the floor, St. Louis offense. Worst unit on the floor, St. Louis defense. I have no idea what direction to go with this game. When forced to play a side and in doubt, I grab points.
G14. North Carolina State -8.5 vs. Louisville
I'm guessing this number will finish higher, favorites have been steaming up in conference tournament play. Woflpack have lost 4 straight games, 15-7 at one point, now 17-14. Beat Louisville on the road by 6 in the lone meeting. Cardinals are 8-23, 3-17 in the ACC. I normally grab points, but I have a feeling NC State will take some end of season frustration out on the Cards today.
G15. Vermont -13.5 vs. New Hampshire
True home game. Vermont won both meetings this year winning by 16 at home, 4 on the road. Vermont survived a major scare from Albany. That should help them get refocused to finish the job and get back to the Big Dance. I don't see New Hampshire finding enough offense to hang around in this one. I have the Catamounts running it up and leaving no doubt.
G16. Lamar +12.5 vs. McNeese
McNeese won both meetings this year winning by 19 at home, by 2 on the road. McNeese is really good, 28-3, 17-1 in conference, #1 on both ends of the floor. Lamar won last night by 14 over New Orleans, they finished 12-6 in conference, they really seemed to improve down the stretch, they rank 2nd on O, 3rd on D. I think they keep it interesting tonight. Likely can wait on this number, will probably finish around 14.
G17. Merrimack -6.5 vs. Wagner
True home game. Merrimack deserved to go dancing last year, they can get the dancing shoes ready for next week. Lost to Wagner by 6 at home, beat Wagner on the road by 16 during the regular season. Wagner finished 7-9 in conference, Cinderella story winning back-to-back road games so far against Sacred Heart & Central Connecticut, but the story ends tonight. Merrimack will leave no doubt.
G18. Iona -8 vs. Manhattan
Can't believe that I'm going to lay 8 with Iona after they lost by 17 @ Manhattan last week after beating them by 10 earlier in the season. I call that bottom for Iona, only one direction to go. Give Manhattan some credit, 7-22 on the year but they went 2-2 in the final four games with an OT loss to Canisus. They didn't give up but the pressure of Iona will create challenges today. I'll lay the points.
G19. Sacramento State +5 vs. Montana State
Big Sky has been crazy. Montana State was lights out in the 2H last night against Weber State. Sacramento State has an extra day's rest, but this is Game 3 in 4 days for them. Teams split during the year, Sacramento State won at Montana State by 3, Montana State won at Sacramento State by 8. Probably can wait on this line, might increase to 6 or more. I just like how Sacramento State has been playing over the last 7. I'll ride the hot team getting points.
G20. Saint Mary's +2 vs. Gonzaga
This should be fun. Teams split during the season, both teams are playing great basketball. This is ping-pong, Saint Mary's won, Gonzaga won, and now it's Saint Mary's turn again. Give me the Gaels and the 2.
G21. Texas A&M Corpus Christi -4 vs. Nicholls State
Corpus won the first meeting by 10 at home, Nicholls State returned the favor winning by 4 at home. Nicholls coasted to the 21-point win over Commerce last night, 13-5 in conference, solid club ranked 4th on offense. Islanders have won 7 straight, all 7 by double digits including a road win @ Lamar. This team has played McNeese State tough twice this year losing by 1 and 7. They rank 3rd on offense, 2nd on defense.
G22. Denver +8.5 vs. South Dakota State
What happened to the offense last night in Sioux Falls? South Dakota State beat St. Thomas 59-49 with a total of 141.5, Denver beat Omaha 66-63 with a total of 154. Denver won the first meeting this year 99-80 over the Jackrabbits, South Dakota State crushed the Pioneers 97-70 in the return trip to Brookings. I expect more points tonight, best scorer plays for Denver, I think they keep it interesting in a semi-road game.
G23. Niagara -10.5 vs. Siena
MAACDaddyHoops likes Niagara to win this tournament. If he's that high on the Purple Eagles, I'm willing to lay 10.5 against a 4-27 team even though one of those 4 wins came against Niagara. I'll lay the points.
