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March 12, 2024

It's Tournament Time! 43 Conference Tournament Games

My Conference Tournament Results:

1H Unders: 83-58-2, 58.8%, up 14.1768 units

Sides: 70-72-1, 49.3%, down 8.363 units

WHAT IF Results: (Not betting, just tracking for future reference)

Every Underdog ATS: 73-69-1, 51.4%, down 2.6357 units

Every Underdog ML: 46-97, 32.1%, down 1.98 units

Today's 1H Unders:

Saint Joseph's/George Mason Under 64

Florida State/Virginia Tech Under 72

UCF/BYU Under 69

Rice/Wichita State Under 66

Fordham/VCU Under 62.5

Fresno State/Wyoming Under 65

Notre Dame/Wake Forest Under 64

Alabama A&M/Alcorn State 64.5

USC/Washington Under 73

UTSA/Temple Under 71

Oklahoma/TCU Under 68.5

Xavier/Butler Under 71.5

San Jose State/Colorado State Under 65.5

Nicholls/McNeese 63

La Salle/St. Bonaventure Under 65

Oregon State/UCLA Under 60

Coppin State/Norfolk State Under 59.5

Rutgers/Maryland Under 58

Canisius/Quinnipiac Under 68

Georgetown/Providence Under 68

Florida International/Sam Houston Under 68.5

Lehigh/Colgate Under 62

Air Force/New Mexico Under 68.5

Vanderbilt/Arkansas Under 70.5

Kansas State/Texas Under 67

NC State/Syracuse Under 72.5

Saint Louis/Duquesne Under 68

Maryland-Eastern Shore/North Carolina Central Under 61.5

Michigan/Penn State Under 71

Iona/Fairfield Under 68.5

DePaul/Villanova Under 64

Cal State Bakersfield/UC Riverside Under 62

Cal Baptist/Utah Valley Under 60

Middle Tennessee/Louisiana Tech Under 62

Stanford/California Under 70.5

Cincinnati/Kansas Under 64

Alabama State/Grambling Under 60

Missouri/Georgia Under 69.5

Boston College/Clemson Under 69.5

Montana State/Montana 68.5

Cal State Northridge/UC Santa Barbara Under 71

Abilene Christian/Stephen F. Austin Under 65

Arizona State/Utah Under 68

ATS Picks:

G1. UCF +5.5 vs. BYU (from podcast)

System play. It's tough to beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less. 

G2. UTSA PK vs. Temple (from podcast)

System play. It's tough to beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less. 

G3. North Carolina State +1.5 vs. Syracuse (from podcast)

System play. It's tough to beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less. 

G4. Cal Baptist +4 vs. Utah Valley (from podcast, 3.5 vs. 4)

System play. It's tough to beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less. 

G5. Utah -5.5 vs. Arizona State (from podcast)

System play. It's tough to beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less. 

G6. Fairfield -4 vs. Iona (from podcast notes)

System play. It's tough to beat a team 3x in a season when favored by 6 or less. 

G7. Washington +2.5 vs. USC (from podcast, 3 vs. 2.5)

@KotaCapperKyle pick. 

G8. Villanova -23.5 vs. DePaul (from podcast)

@KotaCapperKyle pick. 

G9. Georgia -3.5 vs. Missouri (from podcast)

@KotaCapperKyle pick. 

G10. Cal State Northridge +2.5 vs. UC Santa Barbara (from podcast)

@KotaCapperKyle pick. 

G11. George Mason PK vs. Saint Joseph's (from newsletter)

Like to gamble on injury speculation? Leading scorer Keyshawn Hall is questionable for George Mason with an ankle injury. Last played 2/27, dressed on Saturday but didn't play. Patriots beat Richmond by 18 without him. They have upside, Top 100 wins over Richmond, Dayton, St. Bonaventure, and Cornell. Hawks won the only meeting this year by 2 at home. Hawks rank 4th in offensive efficiency, 11th in defensive efficiency. I think George Mason wins a slugfest in the early tip.

G12. Virginia Tech -3.5 vs. Florida State

Should've played at 3, grabbing now before it hits 4. Hokies need to hit some 3's. 

G13. Wichita State -3.5 vs. Rice

Grabbing now before it hits 4. 

G14. Fordham +9 vs. VCU

Waiting for the number to increase. UPDATE: Increased to 9, play is in. 

G15. Fresno State +7.5 vs. Wyoming

Number might improve but I like it enough at 7.5 to play. 

G16. Wake Forest -8 vs. Notre Dame

Grabbing tonight vs. waiting for movement. 

G17. Alcorn State -4 vs. Alabama A&M 

Little will increase in the morning, grabbing now. 

G18. TCU -2 vs. Oklahoma

Rock fight! 

G19. Xavier -2 vs. Butler

Miller vs. Matta

G20. San Jose State +15 vs. Colorado State

Call off the dogs early. 

G21. Nicholls State +16.5 vs. McNeese

Just a little bit much for me. 

G22. Oregon State +6.5 vs. UCLA

UCLA won the first 2, I'm make the Bruins separate in a low scoring game. 

G23. Coppin State +13 vs. Norfolk State

DD dogs have been killing me, but I still think 13 is a bit much. 

G24. Maryland -3.5 vs. Rutgers

Love the under, forcing myself to play Maryland. 

G25. Georgetown +9.5 vs. Providence

3rd time will be the charm for Ed Cooley. 

G26. Sam Houston -7.5 vs. FIU

FIU used up the magic last night. 

G27. Lehigh +8.5 vs. Colgate

Lehigh won't go away; they remind me of Stony Brook from last night. 

G28. New Mexico -14.5 vs. Air Force

Lobos need style points, great revenge spot. 

G29. Arkansas -6 vs. Vandy

Revenge spot for the Razorbacks. Tournament game, I always back Coach Muss. 

G30. Kansas State +4.5 vs. Texas

Texas has talent but K State will be a tough out. 

G31. Saint Louis +8.5 vs. Duquesne

Tough year for Saint Louis but this number is a bit much. 

G32. Michigan +7 vs. Penn State

I had no interest in playing Michigan, number should be 4. Value on Michigan. 

G33. UC Riverside -2 vs. CSU Bakersfield

Riverside has won 7 of 9, I'll take the hot team. 

G34. Louisiana Tech -9 vs. Middle Tennessee

Ken Pom value play, his line is 13. 

G35. Stanford -2 vs. Cal

Bet this one earlier this year, evenly matched. Banking on Stanford to hit a few 3's. 

G36. Canisius +7 vs. Quinnipiac

7 in the MAAC, sold. Give me the points. Anyone still in it, can win it. 

G37. UMES +9.5 vs. North Carolina Central

Always pulling for the underdog. 

G38. Cincinnati -2.5 vs. Kansas

Kansas needs rest to get healthy, Cincinnati needs to win. NUMBERS still say Kansas, going against the numbers. 

G39. Grambling -2 vs. Alabama State

Last game of the season, Alabama State beat Grambling by 3 in 2OT. Turn the tables today. 

G40. Boston College +7 vs. Clemson

Clemson plays much better D than Miami but I'm hoping BC keeps clicking. 

G41. Montana State +6 vs. Montana

SYSTEM PLAY ADD: It's tough to beat a team 3x when favored by 6 or less. 

G42. Abilene Christian +3 vs. Stephen F Austin

Abilene is playing too good to pass up getting points.