My Conference Tournament Results:
1H Unders: 165-127-5, 56.5%, up 16.484 units
Sides: 165-129-3, 56.1%, up 21.0015 units
WHAT IF Results: (Not betting, just tracking for future reference)
Every Underdog ATS: 141-153-3, 47.9%, down 24.8169 units
Every Underdog ML: 98-199, 32.9%, up 16.78 units
1H UNDERS:
| Brown/Yale | 63.5 |
| Florida/Auburn | 74 |
| Duquesne/VCU | 59 |
| Temple/UAB | 64.5 |
| Wisconsin/Illinois | 70.5 |
SIDES:
Illinois -2.5 vs. Wisconsin
Illinois got down 15 to Nebraska on Saturday before covering, they got down 10 against Ohio State on Friday. How about a better 1H today? Fighting Illini scoring can compete with anyone, defense will drive me crazy. Illinois won the first meeting by 8 in Madison. Badgers are riding high after the trilling OT win over Purdue. 4th game in 4 days for the Badgers, potential emotional letdown, high scoring opponent. All signs put to Illinois for me.
Auburn -5.5 vs. Florida
4 games in 4 days for the Gators, all high scoring up-tempo games giving up 80, 88, and 90. Florida crushed Auburn 81-65 back in February. Gators rank 5th on offense, 7th on defense in the SEC. Tigers rank 1st on defense, 3rd on offense. Rest edge, revenge edge, computer number edge. I'll lay the points.
VCU -1.5 vs. Duquesne
Duquesne won the lone meeting during the year by 10 @ VCU as a 4.5-point underdog. VCU starters scored just 25 points in that game, odd. Tip your cap to the Dukes, 7 straight wins, #3 ranked D in the A-10. Duquesne ranks 14th in conference on offense but they have figured it out so far in this tournament. Rams rank 7th on offense, 5th on defense. VCU HC Ryan Odom took Utah State to the big dance last year, I think he can put the dancing shoes on again, I like VCU, they should have just enough offense to get it done.
Yale -7.5 vs. Brown
Brown is 13-17 and now they are 40 minutes away from the big dance after a 6-17 start. 7 straight wins including @ Yale by 3 in OT and then the masterpiece against Princeton on Saturday winning by 9. Bears shot 55.9% yesterday, Yale held Cornell to 32.8% shooting yesterday. Yale ranks #1 on D, #2 on offense, they won 11 games in the Ivy during the regular season. Of those 11 wins, 8 were by double digits. I think we saw the best version of Brown on Saturday; I expect to see the best version of Yale today. I'll lay the points.
UAB -6 vs. Temple
4 vs. 11 in the American. This is March Madness. 1 meeting this year, the game under gambling review when UAB won 100-72 @ Temple on March 7th. Since then, Temple has won 5 straight including a 1-point upset over FAU on Saturday. This will be 5 games in 5 days for the Owls. Let's remember the Owls rank 11th on both ends of the floor, they started 1-11 in conference, and didn't have a Top 150 win in the regular season. UAB is mid-pack, they did beat Drake & Maryland in the non-conference plus have another 6 Top 100 wins in the conference. Yes, 6 is likely a bucket high but 3 games in 3 days vs. 5 in 5 is enough to justify the extra bucket.
