Blog Partner: https://scheels.sjv.io/g1BanO (Caitlin Clark T-Shirts Available Now)
My Conference Tournament Results:
1H Unders: 7-5-1, 58.3%, up 1.0872 units
Sides: 6-7, 46.2%, down 1.5454 units
WHAT IF Results: (Not betting, just tracking for future reference)
Every Underdog ATS: 7-6, 53.8%, up 0.3637 units
Every Underdog ML: 6-7, 46.2%, up 4.58 units
Tonight's 1H Unders:
Radford/USC Upstate Under 65.5 (DraftKings)
Eastern Illinois/SIUE Under 67.5 (DraftKings)
Southern Indiana/Tennessee State Under 67.5 (DraftKings)
Fairleigh Dickinson/Le Moyne Under 72
Wagner/Sacred Heart Under 61.5 (DraftKings)
Saint Francis/Central Connecticut Under 63.5 (DraftKings)
LIU/Merrimack Under 65.5 (DraftKings)
ATS Picks:
G1. Merrimack -15 vs. LIU (from the podcast last night w/KotaCapperKyle
I liked Kyle's take on this game, I tailed him.
G2. USC Upstate +5.5 vs. Radford
Teams split during the regular season winning at home. USC Update won by 9, Radford by 3. KenPom has Radford by 3. Highlanders have lost 7 of 9, Spartans are 4-4 in the L8. Upstate has shown upside with the win @ High Point. I'll grab the points.
G3. SIU Edwardsville -2.5 vs. Eastern Illinois
Teams split during the regular season winning at home. SIUE won by 9, Eastern Illinois won by 5. Cougars dropped 3 straight games to end the year, Panthers lost 3 of 4 down the stretch. Top 200 Wins: Eastern won @ #192 Little Rock. SIUE beat #123 Morehead State and #192 Little Rock at home. SIUE is 5th best on both ends of the floor, Eastern Illinois is #8 on O, #6 on D. I'll lay the 2.5 in the revenge spot after losing 2/27 @ Eastern.
G4. Southern Indiana +3.5 vs. Tennessee State
Teams split during the regular season winning at home. Southern Indiana won by 2, Tennessee State won by 5. Tennessee State went 10-8 in the OVC, best win was over #192 Little Rock. Southern Indiana was just 5-13, best win over #123 Morehead State. Based on the first two meetings, I need to grab the points.
G5. Fairleigh Dickinson +4 @ Le Moyne
Teams split during the regular season both winning on the road. FDU won by 11, Le Moyne won by 10. Le Moyne is good on offense, #2 in NEC. FDU is good on defense, #4 in NEC. FDU went 5-2 on the road down in L7. Went 5-3 in L8 games of the year, only losses were against 1-3 in the NEC. Might be peaking at the right time, I'm grabbing the points.
G6. Wagner +5.5 @ Sacred Heart (My Best Bet)
Sacred Heart won both meetings during the regular season. Won by 5 as a 4.5-point favorite at home, won by 10 on the road as a 2.5-point dog. This isn't a "short" 3 or less but I'm playing anything 6 or less that lost the first 2. Jacksonville & Holy Cross cashed already, let's make it 3 for 3 with Wagner.
G7. Central Connecticut -13.5 vs. Saint Francis
Blue Devils swept during the regular season, won by 1 at home, won by 14 on the road. Saint Francis was just 3-13 in conference, didn't win a road game in conference, lost 5 straight games to end the year, rank 9th on D, rank 8th on O. 13 double digit losses for the Red Flash, Blue Devils had 9 double digit wins. I'll lay the points at home.
