NCAA Tournament Sides 30-21-1, 58.8%
Conference Tournament Totals 165-127-5, 56.5%
Conference Tournament Sides 165-129-3, 56.1%
NCAA Tournament Totals 20-30-2, 40.0%
Terrible run for the tradition of betting 1H unders in postseason play. I will play the system until the end of the tournament. Law of large numbers doesn't favor us as much compared to the conference tournaments given the number of games. With only 14 games to go, system is almost guaranteed to be unprofitable in the big dance this year. It happens, this is gambling.
Thursday Totals
| Clemson/Arizona | 72 |
| San Diego State/UConn | 64 |
| Alabama/North Carolina | 83 |
| Illinois/Iowa State | 68.5 |
Arizona -7.5 vs. Clemson
Full Disclosure: I'm overpaying based on most models by 2-3 points. Not a value play to say the least. Arizona is in the Top 10 on both ends of the floor, they won at Duke, Oregon, Colorado. They beat Michigan State & Alabama on a neutral flood, and crushed Wisconsin at home. Plus, Clemson hits my fade list. Upset win over New Mexico with the Lobos shooting 29.7%. Upset win over Baylor with the Bears shooting just 38.9%. Yes, give Clemson a ton of credit, they rank 38th in the nation on D, they got off to a strong start in both games and controlled the flow. Odds of an underdog doing that in three straight games, that's something that I'll bet against.
San Diego State +11 vs. UConn
I have no one to blame but myself. I'm willingly betting into the best college team in years for the third straight game. I've liked San Diego State all year, this is the ultimate revenge spot for last year in the title game. The computer models are with me on this one. I need UConn to be a college team for 40 minutes of basketball. 23-4 start vs. Stetson, 17-4 start vs. Northwestern. Getting to 5 points early might be the key for the Azteks. I know the definition of insanity and I'm flirting with it.
Illinois +1.5 vs. Iowa State
For anyone that didn't already know that I would be betting Illinois today, welcome to the podcast. Thanks for checking out the show. Iowa State is a dang good basketball team, Illinois is my National Champion. No handicap required. I will say that I'll take Terrence Shannon over anyone in the country right now, Marcus Domask is tough as nails, Coleman Hawkins rounds out the best trio in the tournament. I might end the night with egg on my face and lose by 20 but give me the Fighting Illini.
Alabama +4 vs. North Carolina
Did you know? Hubert Davis is just the 3rd coach in NCAA history to start 8-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament. Fun fact courtesy of the Action Network. Gary Williams & Andy Enfield are the other two. I picked Alabama in my bracket to win this game. Computer numbers have this game closer to 2. Tar Heels have earned our respect, 29-7. 2-2 this year vs. Top 10 offenses. Lost to UConn & Kentucky giving up 87 points in each. Swept Duke giving up 84 & 79. I have a feeling that Sears can put this Alabama team on his back, he's something special. Don't be shocked if Grant Nelson shows up big tonight for Alabama. Yes, I'm a homer for the kid since I watched him a ton over the years. Remember he attempted 15 triples against Arizona early this year, I think he gets more than his season average of 3 tonight. Will he make them? No idea. I'm on Alabama +4, Roll Tide.
