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Feb. 27, 2024

KotaCapperKyle's Best Bet for Tuesday (UNLV -5.5 @ Wyoming)

Getting the Rebels at -5.5 is value, as it should be way higher. UNLV is 15-9 ATS this season and 8-5 on the road. They have been rolling as of late and have been very productive shooting from the field this season, shooting 46.4%, 62nd in CBB. It is tough to guard and scout against the Rebels this season, as they have four out of their five starters averaging double figures in scoring. They love to spread the wealth, and anybody can be the leading scorer at any time, making them dangerous to any opponent they face. Meanwhile, Wyoming has been struggling as of late, losing their last two games and are a poor 1-3-1 ATS in their last five. Historically, the Cowboys are one of the best in the country at home ATS, but that is not the case this season. They are a pitiful 3-6-1 ATS at home this season, and are not finding ways to get the job done at home. With all that being put to the side, I checked out the public numbers vs. the line movement to see if I could find anything out of the ordinary, and I found something interesting. 84% of the public is betting on Wyoming, but the line has not moved. Normally a line will shift when the public is heavy on one side, unless sharp money is going on the other side. I think sharp money is on the Rebels tonight, and I am going to ride with UNLV -5.5 as my best bet for today!