YTD Last Bet: 4-4, 50%, down 0.3961 units
Today's Last Bet: Zach Collins (Spurs) Over 7.5 points @ Kings (-125)
Positives:
Collins gone under in 3 straight games, 5/16 shooting during that stretch. (I like bounce back spots)
He went over in 4 straight games prior to this 3-game skid.
11.5 PPG on the season, 11.7 PPG when on 3+ days rest.
1 game against the Kings this year, 34 minutes, 10/14 shooting, 28 points.
Kings rank 30th defending the offensive glass, rank 22nd in FG % allowed.
Negatives:
Minutes, attempts, and points have been down significantly since the month of December.
7.8 PPG in January, 7.6 PPG in February.
Kings rank 11th defending the position.
Collins has done well of late on the glass and as a shot blocker, might earn some minutes back. At 7.5, I'll take my chances that he will get enough shots to drop tonight.
