YTD Last Bet: 5-6, 45.4%, down 1.5961 units
Tough for me to find winners of late. I strongly considered:
Tulane +2.5 vs. North Texas looks like a great underdog play, revenge spot for the Green Wave.
Northwestern +6.5 @ Maryland looks interesting, KenPom value play since he a 66-63 final.
Oklahoma State -2 vs. UCF is a nice price if you think the Cowboys can quickly recover from the OU buzzer beater.
Today's Last Bet: Illinois -11 vs. Minnesota
This shouldn't surprise podcast listeners, I'm on record saying that I would fade Minnesota the rest of season no matter what. Golden Gophers are 23-4 ATS this year, 85.2%. Each game is unique, I understand. I'm just saying things tend to level out. 73.5% was the best ATS last year, 76.5% the year prior, 77.8% the year before that, 75.8% the year before that, 76.7% the year before that. I refuse to believe that this Gopher team will be the team that final hits 80% ATS. After losing by 18 @ Nebraska on Sunday, Minnesota will be fired up to show everyone that the season isn't over just yet, but I give Illinois a huge edge with guard play and expect them to pull away in the 2H for the easy double-digit W.
