@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)
Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.
YTD Standings:
@MrActionJunkie1 32-21, 60.4%, up 7.1841 units
@KotaCapperKyle 24-22, 52.2%, down 0.48 units
@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Monday (dropped on the podcast)
NRFI: Oakland Athletics @ New York Yankees (-115)
JP Sears goes for Oakland, last 2 starts he has pitched a total of 11.1 innings, given up 1 run and 3 hits against the Rangers & Cardinals plus he's a former Yankee and the Yankees rank 18th in OPS vs. lefties. Carlos Rodon gets the call for New York, 3.66 ERA on the season, not the best WHIP at 1.68. Athletics rank 19th in OPS vs. lefties, rank 29th in runs scored per game. Rodon was one of the best in baseball in 2021 & 2022, hopefully he finds the old stuff in the 1st for me.
NRFI: Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays (-145)
Zack Littell has the hill in St. Pete tonight for the Rays, 2.14 ERA on the season, career 3.94 ERA. 3 of 4 starts have resulted in 1 or fewer runs allowed. Tigers rank 27th in OPS vs. righties. Tarik Skubal goes for the Tigers, 2.28 ERA on the year looking to bounce back from a subpar effort last out allowing 4 runs against the Rangers including 1 in the first to crush the NRFI. He's good, Rays are not so good against lefties ranking 20th in OPS.
@KotaCapperKyle's Plays:
NRFI: Phillies/Reds (-125)
Although the Phillies are one of the best first inning teams in all of baseball, I think this is going to be a low scoring and quick first inning. Hunter Greene is going to look to have a bounce back game, and this just seems like a NRFI start.
YRFI: Diamondbacks/Cardinals (-120)
The Diamondbacks LOVE to score runs early in games, as they have a MLB best 1.17 average runs per first inning. Lance Lynn for the Cardinals has not been his true self this season, so I don't expect a good start out of him with this really solid Diamondbacks lineup.
YRFI: Padres/Rockies (-120)
I have stated numerous times on podcasts, and I'll say it again: Fading Austin Gomber has been absolutely profitable for me. I think he is going to have some serious trouble early against a team that is averaging 1 run scored in the first inning per game this season.
NRFI: Mets/Giants (-120)
This is a lot of value, as these are two of the worst teams in the MLB in terms of average runs scored in the first inning per game. Although both starting pitchers have ERAs above 3, I think the top of these lineups won't do much early, and no runs will be scored in the inning.
