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May 18, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      60-42, 58.8%, up 8.3387 units

@KotaCapperKyle        33-35, 48.5%, down 6.53 units

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Saturday (dropped on the podcast, newsletter)

NRFI - Detroit Tigers at Arizona Diamondbacks (-140)

  • Zac Gallen at home for Arizona. No regrets regardless of the outcome when backing him at home. 3-0 at home, 0.53 ERA. Jack Flaherty goes for the Tigers, 3.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP. Road numbers are even better, first inning numbers are scary but I'm going to risk it. 

NRFI - Tampa Bay at Toronto (-145)

  • Rays starter Zach Eflin was roughed up in the season opener against the Jays, 5.2 innings giving up 6 runs on 3 homers. Prior to that, he had good splits against the Blue Jays. Kevin Gausman goes for the Blue Jays, excellent career numbers against Tampa Bay. Tampa hitters are 11 for 57, .193 BA. Gausman is coming in off another clunker, 3 innings allowing 7 against Minnesota. I expect better today. 

NRFI - Seattle at Baltimore (-155)

  • Luis Castillo gets the call for Seattle, 2.92 ERA on the road, 1.65 ERA over the last 30 days, 9 starts and only 2 runs allowed in the 1st. O's can hit but I'll take good pitching over good hitting. Grayson Rodriguez returns for the O's, first start since 4/29. Seattle ranks 28th in 1st inning runs so I'll roll the dice with this one. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Saturday:

NRFI - White Sox/Yankees (-110)

This is now becoming a principle pick for me. Yesterday the Whtie Sox came through with their end of the bargain, but Aaron Judge had other plans. Let's give it a shot again. Both starting pitchers have below 3.00 ERAs, and we just need Brad Keller to hold the top of the order in check, so let's run it back!

NRFI - Padres/Braves (-110)

This pick may be concerning for some, as both of these teams are solid in the first inning. However, Action and I have said numerous times that we will take good pitching over good hitting in the first inning more often than not. We got Yu Darvish and Bruce Elder on the mound. Although may say that Darvish is in the back end of his career, he has been solid this year with a 3-1 record and 2.43 ERA. I'll take good pitching for a NRFI any day.