Subscribe to our daily newsletter
May 18, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      63-42, 60.0%, up 10.3879 units

@KotaCapperKyle        33-36, 47.8%, down 7.78 units

@MrActionJunkie1 Play for Sunday (dropped on the podcast, newsletter - LATE ADD)

NRFI: Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals (-105)
JP Sears for Oakland, he's given up just 1 run in the first inning this year over 9 starts. Sears has a 3.68 ERA on the road, 2.65 ERA in May, Royals rank 21st in OPS vs. lefties. Brady Singer goes for KC, 2.84 ERA, 1.11 WHIP. Same as Sears, he's given up just 1 run in the first inning this year over 9 starts. Oakland ranks 22nd in OPS vs. righties. NRFI it is. 
 
NRFI - Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees (-110)
  • If you have followed my journey with PJ Washington prop bets, you will understand this bet. If I bet Washington to the under, he goes over. If I don't bet the under, he goes under. Feels like I'm just not allowed to cash a bet on the guy. After reading the frustrating in @KotaCapperKyle's writeup on the White Sox/Yankees NRFIs, it reminded me of myself and PJ Washington props. Kyle is correct, White Sox can't score, 80.43% of the games played have results in the NRFI cashing. The Yankees have the 3rd highest YRFI rate but they still cash the NRFI 63.83% of the time. Carlos Rodon against his old team, check. I'll play that. Chris Flexen has a 2.41 ERA on the road this year, he's given up 1 run over 7 starts in the 1st. I plan to watch golf in the Bottom of the 1st, I'm nervous to say the least. 
 
@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Sunday
 
NRFI: Cardinals/Red Sox (+110)
This line seems to be plus money due to Boston's success with YRFIs this season. However, they are playing a team that is one of the best in the league in NRFIs this season in the Cardinals (hitting NRFIs nearly 80% of the time). The Cardinals are also starting Matthew Liberatore, and only one batter on the Red Sox has ever faced him. With a new pitcher for the Red Sox to face and the Cardinals success with NRFIs this season, I'll take the plus money NRFI in this contest. 
 
YRFI: Yankees/White Sox (-125)
I am tired of losing money on the NRFIs for that dang series. The Yankees have the Whtie Sox number especially in the first inning. Well, we now have two pitchers who have struggled against the opposing team in this matchup. Although I don't like betting for the White Sox to score a run in the first inning, I am tired of losing a NRFI on this series, so let's win a first inning bet for this series. 
 
YRFI: Rays/Blue Jays (-120)
This play could go very wrong for me. The Blue Jays are hitting the NRFI in 81.4% of games and the Rays are hitting the NRFI in 71.74% of games. However, both Aaron Civale and Alek Monoah have struggled mightily this season in the EAR department with ERAs of 5.83 and 4.91 respectively. The top of the lineup for these teams have had some success here, so the NRFI streak for these teams can absolutely be broken with two struggling pitchers here.