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May 22, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      67-46, 59.3%, up 9.7055 units

@KotaCapperKyle        34-40, 45.9%, down 11.28 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Wednesday (dropped in the newsletter)

NRFI - New York Mets at Cleveland Guardians (+100)

  • Why in the world would I back Jose Quintana in a NRFI? 5.21 ERA, 7.13 ERA on the road, 9.69 ERA in May. Ouch! BUT he has given up just 1 run in the first over 9 starts this year, he has a 3.00 ERA in day games, and he was a really good pitcher the last two years. Mets rank 22nd in 1st inning runs scored, Triston McKenzie has a 3.23 ERA, 2.97 ERA at home. Worth the risk for me at this price. 

NRFI - Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals (-156)

  • Tarik Skubal is an autoplay for me even with the red-hot sticks for KC. Cole Ragans has a solid 3.70 ERA for the Royals, good 1st inning numbers allowing just 2 runs over 10 innings plus Detroit ranks 23rd in 1st inning runs scored. 

NRFI - San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates (-145)

  • Rehab assignment was a success for Blake Snell. 10 K's, 0 hits allowed over 5 innings in his AAA start. He's back. I normally fade rookies, but I really like Jared Jones. 1.80 ERA at home, 2.37 ERA in May, and only 1 run allowed in the 1st inning in 9 starts. 

NRFI - Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins (-142)

  • Jesus Luzardo goes for the Marlins, 1.54 ERA since returning. 0 runs allowed in the 1st over 7 starts this year. Freddy Peralta goes for the Brewers, career 3.86 ERA. Don't focus on his YTD numbers, he's much better than that. Marlins rank 26th in OPS vs. righties. 

NRFI - Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees (-115)

  • I'm H2H with KotaCapperKyle. The Yankees have burned me many times. I'm going to avoid watching, maybe that will help. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Wednesday (dropped on the podcast)

Detroit Tigers/Kansas City Royals NRFI (-130): The Royals are going up against who I would argue is one of the best pitchers in baseball right now in Tarik Skubal with a 6-0 record and a 1.80 ERA. Meanwhile the Royals have Cole Ragans on the mound, who has not been bad this year with a 3-3 record and a 3.70 ERA. These two pitchers have been very solid this year, and I think that the top of these lineups are going to struggle against them.
 
Seattle Mariners/New York Yankees YRFI (-120): The Yankees lineup has had their way with Seattle Mariners pitcher Bryce Miller. Judge has hit a home run against him in only three ABs, Verdugo is batting .500 against him, Gleybor Torres is batting .667 against him. They are going to have a heyday with Miller in this game, and there’s always a chance of runs at Yankee Stadium for the Mariners.