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May 24, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      71-49, 59.2%, up 9.5838 units

@KotaCapperKyle        36-40, 47.3%, down 9.28 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Friday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals (-115)

  • If the Cardinals score in the first, they should keep the ball. Scoring runs off Shota Imanaga is not easy, 0.84 ERA, 0.91 WHIP for the lefty. 0.69 ERA in May, 0.38 ERA on the road, 0 runs allowed in the 1st inning after 9 starts. Heck, he's only given up 2 hits in the 1st this year. Miles Mikolas goes for the Cardinals, 3.29 ERA in 2022, 4.78 ERA in 2023, 5.77 ERA in 2024. Cubs are a career 40 for 149 against him, .268 BA. Cubs rank 22nd in OPS vs. righties, 27th in OPS in May, and rank 27th in runs scored this month. Fingers crossed Mikolas can get me 3 outs without a run. 

 

NRFI - New York Yankees at San Diego Padres (-122)

  • Betting Yankee NRFI's is stressful, I would prefer not to do it daily, but the pitching matchups continue to force my hand. Yu Darvish goes for the Padres, 2.08 ERA, 0.90 WHIP on the season. 19 innings pitched in May with 0 runs allowed on 7 hits. 1st inning this year, 9 innings, 0 runs, 4 hits. I can't pass on numbers like that. Carlos Rodon gets the call for the Yankees, 3.27 ERA, 1.20 WHIP. Rodon splits aren't perfect, but the Padres rank 25th in OPS vs. lefties. Both teams could make me look like a fool in a hurry, still going NRFI. 

 

@KotaCapperKyle's Plays for Friday

YRFI: Orioles/White Sox (-105)

You all are probably thinking that I must be having a fever betting a YRFI in a White Sox game! Well, as good as these pitchers might be, they have struggled against the other team historically. The Orioles have Corbin Burnes on the mount, and four batters are batting above .300 on him lifetime. Meanwhile the White Sox have Chris Flexen on the bump, and six batters are batting above .300 against him lifetime. The hitting seems to be dominating historically, so let's hope for at least one run in the first inning. 

NRFI: Brewers/Red Sox (-110)

There is a lot of value on this NRFI, as both pitchers are allowing less than 3 runs per game. These teams have also not seen much of these pitchers historically, so there's not a lot of knowledge about either one going into this game. Bryse Wilson is 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA for the Brewers, and Kutter Crawford is 2-1 with a 2.17 ERA for the Red Sox. Good pitching usually leads to NRFIs, so let's hope it happens here.