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May 27, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      74-52, 58.7%, up 9.0347 units

@KotaCapperKyle        37-41, 47.4%, down 9.33 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Monday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins (-120)

  • Joe Ryan has excellent career numbers against KC, Royals are hitting a career .150 against him. Ryan has a 3.15 ERA this year, 2.84 ERA in May for the Twinkies. Alex March goes for the Royals, 2.72 ERA on the season, 2.82 ERA on the road, 2.76 ERA in May. Numbers are NRFI worthy for both so let's do it. 

 

NRFI - Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles (-110)

  • Cole Irvin will toe the rubber for the Baltimore, 3.15 ERA on the season, 2.96 ERA at home, 2.60 ERA in May, and a 1.42 ERA in day games. Cherry on top, 0 runs allowed in the first inning over 7 starts. Cooper Criswell goes for Boston, 2.86 ERA on the season, 1.84 ERA on the road, 2 runs allowed in the 1st over 7 starts. O's sticks scare me, still going NRFI. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Monday 

NRFI - Red Sox/Orioles (+100)

I saw this play at plus money and wondered why that would be. The Orioles are only hitting a YRFI 21.5% of the games that they have played in. They are also facing a starting pitcher that they have never gone up against in Cooper Criswell. Although the Red Sox are on the better YRFI teams in baseball, hitting at a 32% clip, they are going up against a solid pitcher in Cole Irvin. Some Red Sox batters have done decent against Irvin, but they all bat lower in the lineup. Great opportunity to cash on a plus money play that could very well hit. 

NRFI - Nationals/Braves (-110)

Washington is the worst team in baseball when it comes to hitting a YRFI, hitting at only a 13.73% clip. This lineup has also mightily struggled against Charlie Morton, going a combined .206 against him lifetime. Meanwhile, the Braves just took a gut punch to their lineup with Ronald Acuna Jr. tearing his ACL. The top of this lineup will struggle because of that. They are going up against a rookie pitcher in Mitchell Parker, who has had a decent start to his rookie year with a 3-2 record and a 3.32 ERA. With a new starting pitcher going up against a deteriorating Braves lineup, as well as a team that is significantly bad at getting a run in the first inning, that all sounds like a NRFI to me.