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May 28, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      76-52, 59.4%, up 10.7771 units

@KotaCapperKyle        38-42, 47.5%, down 9.43 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Tuesday (dropped in the newsletter)

NRFI - Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles (-110)

  • Grayson Rodriguez has a 3.20 ERA, 1.64 ERA in May, 1.14 ERA at home for the O's. That works for me. Brayan Bello is on the bump for Boston, 4.04 ERA, splits are mixed. 1st inning numbers are solid allowing just 2 runs over 8 innings. Bello pitched 5 really good innings, 1 bad last out at Tampa. I like his stuff, I'll risk it. 

NRFI - Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers (-165)

  • Terrible, terrible, terrible price. I only risk a unit so I will drink the juice. Tarik Skubal is an automatic for me when pitching. I normally dislike rookie pitchers, but the Pirates have a couple exceptions to the rule. Jared Jones has given up just 1 run in the 1st inning over 10 starts. Tigers rank 22nd in 1st inning runs scored, let's go NRFI. 

 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Tuesday (dropped on the podcast)

Yankees/Angels YRFI (-125):
The Yankees have been absolutely dominant in the first inning this year, hitting a YRFI 38% of the time (3rd in MLB). Aaron Judge has absolutely destroyed NRFIs all season long, and he has a home run against Griffin Canning already in his career, and he is starting for the Angels. Meanwhile four batters in the Angels lineup are batting above .300 against Nestor Cortez lifetime, and he is starting for the Yankees. All this seems to mean at least one run scores early.
 
Pirates/Tigers NRFI (-150):
Tarik Skubal is on the mound for the Tigers. He is the real deal, and he has shown it this season with a 6-1 record, 2.25 ERA, and 75 Ks to 10 BBs. Meanwhile the Pirates have rookie Jared Jones on the mound, and he has been very impressive as well. With a 3-4 record, a 3.05 ERA and 68 Ks to 10 BBs, you really cannot complain about his numbers. With a solid pitcher like Skubal on the mound and a new pitcher that the Tigers have never seen, this seems like a NRFI to me