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May 29, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      76-53, 58.9%, up 9.7771 units

@KotaCapperKyle        39-42, 48.1%, down 8.43 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Wednesday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers - GM1 (-165)

  • Both KotaCapperKyle and I had the NRFI yesterday before this one was postponed. No reason for me to backoff the play, Jared Jones goes for the Pirates, 1 first inning run allowed over 10 starts. Tarik Skubal for the Tigers, I would back him against the Big Red Machine from the 70's, that's how much I believe in him. 

NRFI - Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles (-128)

  • Corbin Burnes for Baltimore, 2.60 ERA, 2.67 ERA in May, and a 1.99 ERA at home. I'm good with those numbers. Kutter Crawford gets the call for the Red Sox, 2.89 ERA, 1.59 ERA on the road this season. 4 runs allowed in the first inning over 11 starts. Need 6 outs without a run, fingers crossed. 

NRFI - Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (-120)

  • Shota Imanaga for the Cubs, he's an automatic play at this point with a lower ERA than WHIP. Bryse Wilson is on the bump for the Brewers, 2.86 ERA, 1.16 WHIP. 2.70 ERA in May, 2.50 ERA at home, plus he's only given up 1 first inning run this season over 6 starts. Cubs are a career 15 for 60 against Wilson, .250 BA. I'll run with it. 

NRFI - Kansas City Royals at Minnesota (-132)

  • It was Easter Sunday; I was watching the game at my in-laws. I was telling everyone how excited I was to watch Bailey Ober pitch after his strong finish last season. 30 minutes later, Ober was done. 1.1 innings pitched, 8 runs, 9 hits, 3 homers, and a walk. That's the past, I'm expecting Ober to quickly erase those bad memories. Seth Lugo gets the call for Kansas City, 8-1 record, 1.74 ERA, 0.97 WHIP. How about 5-0 on the road, 0.75 ERA, 0.69 WHIP? 11 starts, 1 run allowed in the 1st. I'm sold. 

NRFI - New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels (-120)

  • Tyler Anderson vs. Luis Gil. The Yankees are kicking my butt with these NRFI's, Tyler Anderson goes for the Angels with his 2.52 ERA. He's a lefty. The Yankees are #1 in OPS vs. righties, #14 vs. lefties so I have hope. Luis Gil will toe the rubber for the Yankees, 2 runs allowed in the 1st over 10 starts, 2.11 ERA on the season. Angels rank 16th in OPS vs. righties. Lose tonight and you can just call me Chevy Chase from Vegas Vacation. 

NRFI - Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners (-135)

  • George Kirby on the hill for Seattle, 2.97 ERA at home, Houston is a career 15 for 90 against him, .167 BA. Justin Verlander for the Astros, 3.60 ERA on the season, 3.18 ERA on the road, Seattle hitters are a career .245 against him. That's enough for me.