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April 24, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      35-23, 60.3%, up 7.4989 units

@KotaCapperKyle        26-24, 52.0%, down 0.88 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Wednesday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI: Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals (-110)
I've officially lost it. I typically fade Kyle Gibson, not today. I want early action, getaway day following a 14-run performance, early start, I have a hunch Gibby will shut them down early. D-Backs rank 21st in OPS vs. righties, Gibson is coming off a strong performance giving up 1 over 6 innings against the Brewers. Jordan Montgomery made his season debut on Friday for the D-Backs giving up 1 over 6 innings. Montgomery pitched for St. Louis in 2022 and part of 2023, that might give him a little extra juice. Sub-4 ERA since 2020. Please no runs in the first. 
 
NRFI: New York Mets at San Francisco Giants (-120)
Defending Cy Young winner at -120 in a NRFI bet, I'll bite the hook. Blake Snell is off to a slow start, just like last year. 0-3 on the season, 11.57 ERA, 1.97 WHIP. He's given up more runs than he has strikeouts. I will always be a Snell believer; Mets have a career .228 BA against. I think this is the day that Snell settles in and starts his run. Sean Manaea pitched in this park last year for the Giants, had a 4.44 ERA. Last out, 5 innings - 2 runs allowed against the Dodgers. Giants rank 14th in OPS vs. lefties, I'll roll the dice on 6 outs without a run. 
 
NRFI: Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers (+105)
Jon Gray will toe the rubber for the Rangers, 3.15 ERA on the season, last worked at Atlanta out of the bullpen facing 5 batters, striking out 4. Excellent April, 16.1 innings, 5 runs allowed on just 11 hits. Seattle hitters are a career .159 against him in 88 at bats. Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners, 1.85 ERA, 0.82 WHIP. Excellent April, 19.1 innings, 2 runs allowed. I'll take good pitching over good hitting. NRFI it is. 
 
NRFI: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins (-150)
I back Joe Ryan of the Twins against good teams, of course I'm willing to back him in a NRFI against the White Sox. Garrett Crochet gave White Sox fans hope after his first 3 starts, 2.00 ERA. The last 2 starts have gone sideways allowing 12 runs over 7.2 innings against the Reds & Phillies. Twins rank 25th in OPS vs. lefties, 26th in runs per game. NRFI it is. 
 
@KotaCapperKyle's Plays: TBD