No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      85-59, 59.0%, up 10.8839 units

@KotaCapperKyle        42-43, 49.4%, down 6.73 units

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Monday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers (-156)

• By first pitch, this might close as the most expensive NRFI of the year. Reminder, always double check the price on the first inning result. Some books will have the tie after 1 inning cheaper than the NRFI. Not only can you potentially get a cheaper price, but you can also win on a 1-1, 2-2 type first inning. Tarik Skubal for the Tigers, 2.01 ERA, 0.82 WHIP. He's an automatic play for me. Nathan Eovaldi will toe the rubber for the Rangers in his 2^nd start back from the injured list, 2.84 ERA, 1.20 WHIP. 2.08 ERA at home, 8 starts, 2 runs allowed in the first. That's good enough for me. 

NRFI - San Diego Padres at LA Angels (-110)

• Tyler Anderson is on the bump for the Angels, 2.47 ERA, 1.13 WHIP on the season. Good splits, solid 1^st inning numbers giving up just 3 runs in 11 starts. The Padres rank 25^th in OPS vs. lefties so that's an added bonus. Meanwhile the Angels will face knuckleballer Matt Waldron for the first time, Waldon is 3-5 on the year with a 4.26 ERA. Last 4 starts, 23 innings allowing just 5 runs. LA ranks 22^nd in OPS vs. righties. Let's get 6 without a run. 

NRFI - New York Mets at Washington Nationals (-125)

• Tylor Megill goes for the Mets, 1.69 ERA over 3 starts this year. 0.64 ERA in 4 rehab starts this year. Nationals rank 23^rd in OPS vs. righties. MacKenzie Gore is showing why he was the #3 pick in 2017, 2.91 ERA on the season and a 2.60 ERA in May. 11 starts allowing just 1 run in the opening frame. Mets rank 15^th in OPS vs. lefties. Mets rank 19^th in runs scored in the 1st, Washington ranks 30th. The Nationals have the highest NRFI % in baseball this season. Let's get another one home tonight. 

NRFI - St. Louis Cardinals at Houston Astros (-110)

• Kyle Gibson and Justin Verlander will do battle tonight in Houston. I can probably make a stronger case for the YRFI or over in the first 5. Astros rank 5^th in OPS vs. righties, Cardinals rank 12th. Verlander has a 4.63 ERA at home, Astros sticks have 7 homers off Gibson, .265 BA over 151 AB's. Gibson has a 7.36 ERA in the 1^st inning. That's the bad. Gibson also has 2.90 ERA on the road, Verlander has been really good in 3 of his last 4 starts, opponents are hitting just .209 against him in the first AB. The Cardinals have the 4^th highest NRFI % this year, I'm hoping for another one tonight.