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June 5, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      90-63, 58.8%, up 11.0657 units

@KotaCapperKyle        42-43, 49.4%, down 6.73 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Wednesday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians (-111)

  • Brady Singer goes for the Royals, 2.63 ERA, 1.12 WHIP. Excellent 1st inning numbers allowing just 1 run and 4 hits over 11 starts. Cleveland is expected to use an opener, likely Nick Sandlin. 29 games, 26 innings, 2.77 ERA, 0.77 WHIP. That's good enough for me. 

NRFI - Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates (-113)

  • 1-0 pitcher's duel last night between Glasnow and Jones, tonight we got 5-0 James Paxton vs. 2-0 rookie Paul Skenes. Paxton has a 3.29 ERA for the Dodgers, 3.08 ERA in May. Pirates rank 22nd in 1st inning runs scored this season. Skenes will make his 5th MLB start, 2.45 ERA, 0.91 WHIP so far. The Dodgers have the 2nd best YRFI % this year, but Skenes has been nasty in the 1st striking out 8 of his 12 outs. 

NRFI - Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins (-106)

  • My lone NRFI loser on Tuesday, I'm back for more. Zach Elfin will toe the rubber for the Rays, he's been on the shelf since May 18th. 4.12 ERA on the season with a 1.17 WHIP. Marlins rank 22nd in OPS vs. righties so I'll risk it. Braxton Garrett is on the bump for Miami, 2 bad starts to start his season followed by 2 good starts. Last 2 against Arizona and San Diego, 14 innings allowing 1 run. Let's get 6 without a run tonight. 

NRFI - Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (-125)

  • Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays, 2.78 ERA, 1.60 ERA at home. Gave up 3 hits over 7 innings in his first start this season against Baltimore. Albert Suarez gets the call for Baltimore, 1.57 ERA, 0.99 WHIP over 34.1 innings. 5 starts, 5 starts without allowing a run in the 1st. Let's try for 6 tonight. 

NRFI - Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs (-110)

  • Jameson Taillon for the Cubbies, 2.84 ERA. The White Sox are still B5 in most every offensive stat. I'm good with the top half. Erick Fedde for the South Siders, 3.12 ERA, good 1st inning numbers allowing 2 runs in 12 starts. Let's hope the wind blows my way again tonight at Wrigley. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Wednesday:

NRFI: Dodgers/Pirates (-110)

Paul Skenes has been sensational in the first inning in his games that he has played recording 8 K's in 9 outs. I expect him to have that same sort of production again. Meanwhile the Dodgers have James Paxton on the mound who has been solid this season with a 5-0 record and a 2.45 ERA. Both of these pitchers have been solid, and a -110 line is a ton of value here. Let's capitalize on that. 

NRFI: Royals/Guardians (-115)

We got two pitchers battling it out with a 2.66 ERA and a 2.77 ERA. These two teams are solid in the first inning, without a doubt. However, we've said numerous times when it comes to first inning plays, good pitching usually is more trustworthy than good hitting. Both Brady Singer and Nick Samson have had great seasons, so let's root for them to be solid in the first inning. Three up and three down.