@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)
Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit.
YTD Standings:
@MrActionJunkie1 96-71, 57.5%, up 7.7885 units
@KotaCapperKyle 43-43, 50.0%, down 5.73 units
@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Monday (dropped on the podcast)
NRFI - Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays (-130)
- Let's take the easy part of this equation. The Rays rank 28th in OPS vs. righties, Corbin Burnes has a 2.26 ERA for Baltimore. He's given up 1 run in 4 of his last 5 starts. If the Rays score in the 1st, I'll tip my cap. Baltimore sticks will always scare me, 5th best in OPS vs. righties, highest scoring team in baseball with 5.17 runs per game. Ryan Pepiot gets the call for Tampa Bay, 3.96 ERA, 0.96 WHIP. Home and 1st inning splits are not the best, still I like the WHIP, I like the .185 BA against. I'm going to risk it.
NRFI - Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners (-158)
- Both teams are Top 10 in NRFI % this season, the ballpark is a pitcher friendly park. Logan Gilbert goes for Seattle, 3.12 ERA, 0.98 WHIP. Erick Fedde gets the call for the White Sox, 3.27 ERA, 13 starts allowing just 2 runs in the first. Not a fan of his 5.70 ERA on the road, I'll look past that to bet this NRFI.
NRFI - Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers (-122)
- Let's talk about what scares me. Brewers rank 2nd in OPS vs. righties. The Blue Jays recently ended a 29-game streak of not scoring in the first inning, things tend to even out over a long season. Jose Berrios has a 3.76 ERA on the road, 4.15 ERA in the 1st inning for the Blue Jays. Colin Rea has an 8.10 ERA in the first inning this season. On the positive side, three straight good starts from Rea lowering his ERA from 4.07 to 3.53. Berrios has a 2.80 ERA on the season, he's given up 2 or fewer runs in 11 of 13 starts.
NRFI - New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals (-125)
- Let's talk about what scares me. The Yankees are the #1 YRFI team, Royals are #4 plus both teams are in the Top 6 for runs scored per game this year. The Yankees are #1 in OPS vs. righties, Royals are #8 vs. lefties. Still, I have Seth Lugo with a 2.13 ERA for the Royals looking to bounce back from his worst start of the season. Carlos Rodon will toe the rubber for the Yankees, 3.08 ERA, 2.77 ERA in the first inning. I always lean good pitching; I have good pitching today. NRFI it is.
@KotaCapperKyle Play for Monday:
NRFI - Orioles at Rays (-155)
Yes, this is a ton of juice to drink, but it's well worth it. Corbin Burnes is on the mount for the Orioles with a 6-2 record and a 2.26 ERA. Only four Rays batters have faced Burnes, and they are only batting .200 against him lifetime. The Rays are starting Ryan Pepiot, who is 4-2 with a 3.96 ERA. No Orioles batters have ever faced off against him, and I've always said that facing a pitcher for the first time is a learning experience. A really solid pitcher and a brand new pitcher sounds like a NRFI to me.
