No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      105-75, 58.3%, up 10.5263 units

@KotaCapperKyle        47-48, 49.5%, down 6.58 units

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Thursday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles (-105)

• Reynaldo Lopez on the bump for the Braves, 1.85 ERA, 11 starts, 0 runs allowed in the 1^st inning, only 5 hits. Tough not to like his numbers. Cole Irvin for Baltimore, 2.87 ERA, 2.52 ERA at home, 2.36 ERA over his last 7 starts. 10 starts this year, 0 runs allowed in the 1^st inning. Combined 21 starts without a run in the first. I'm hoping for that amazing run to continue for at least another day. 

NRFI - Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners (-165)

• Garrett Crochet gets the call for Chicago, 3.33 ERA on the season, 1.10 ERA over his last 7 starts. 1.93 ERA in the opening frame this year, Mariners rank 23^rd in OPS vs. lefties. Luis Castillo goes for the Mariners, 3.35 ERA on the season, 2.95 ERA at home, 1.29 ERA in the opening inning. White Sox rank dead last in OPS vs. righties, rank dead last in runs per game, and have the 4^th highest NRFI % in baseball. Yep, I like the play. 

NRFI - Chicago Cubs at Tampa Bay Rays (-120)

• Taj Bradley will toe the rubber for the Rays, 5.17 ERA on the season, 1.118 WHIP. Numbers are misleading, he allowed 9 runs at Baltimore in 1 of his 6 starts. He held the Yankees to 1 run, pitched 5 shutout innings against Kansas City, and last out allowed just 1 run over 5 against Baltimore. Those teams rank 1st, 5th, and 6^th in runs scored. He has good stuff and the Cubs are mid pack in OPS vs. righties. Justin Steele is 0-3 for the Cubbies, 3.65 ERA, 1.15 WHIP. 8 starts, 2 runs allowed in the 1st. Let's get 6 without a mark. 

NRFI - Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox (-113)

• The Phillies rank #3 in YRFI's, Red Sox rank #8 in YRFI's. Phillies rank #2 in runs per game. I promised several of you that I wouldn't bet another Yankee NRFI until July, betting a Phillies NRFI is the next craziest thing that I can do. Add in the fact that Fenway Park is the 2^nd best hitter friendly park behind only Colorado and this is flirting with trouble. Tanner Houck for Boston, 1.91 ERA, 1.38 ERA in the 1^st inning. Aaron Nola for Philadelphia, 2.77 ERA, 1.82 ERA on the road, 2.77 ERA in the 1^st inning. The deck is stacked against me, but I'll still take good pitching over good hitting.