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June 14, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      108-76, 58.7%, up 11.8507 units

@KotaCapperKyle        47-48, 49.5%, down 6.58 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Friday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles (-120)

  • Ranger Suarez for the Phillies, 10-1 record, 1.81 ERA, 0.85 WHIP. He's allowed 0 runs in 5 starts this year, he's allowed 2 or fewer in 10 of 13 starts. Baltimore is 3rd best in OPS vs. lefties, I'll still take good pitching over good hitting. Kyle Bradish for the O's, 2.62 ERA, 1.11 WHIP. 7 starts, 0 runs allowed in the 1st inning. I like those numbers. Baltimore is #1 in homers. Philadelphia is #6 in homers. I will be sweating this one out until out #6 is in the books. 

NRFI - Kansas City Royals at LA Dodgers (-104)

  • I'm going to flirt with it again tonight with Cole Ragans on the bump for the Royals. The Dodgers are #1 in OPS vs. lefties, #2 in YRFI's behind only the Yankees. Ragans has a 3.08 ERA, 2.76 ERA over his last 7 starts, 4 of his last 5 starts have resulted in 0 or 1 run allowed. Gavin Stone for Dodger Blue, 2.93 ERA on the year, 1.90 ERA over his last 7 starts. Royals rank 24th in OPS on the road. Let's get 6 without a run tonight. 

NRFI - Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners (-138)

  • Andrew Heaney will toe the rubber for the Rangers, 4.06 ERA, 3.21 ERA on the road, 3.07 ERA over his last 7 starts. Seattle ranks 23rd in OPS vs. lefties. Luis Castillo was pushed back a day for the Mariners, he should be rested up to face the defending champs who rank 13rd in OPS vs. righties. Counting on the pitcher friendly park to help me out tonight. 

NRFI - San Diego Padres at New York Mets (-115)

  • Last 30 days, Matt Waldron ranks 9th in ERA for pitchers with 4 or more starts. He's been really good. 3.76 ERA on the year, 3.22 ERA on the road, 1.50 over the last 30 days. Mets rank 19th in OPS vs. righties. Padres rank 3rd in OPS vs. righties, 22nd vs. Lefties. Lefty Sean Manaea gets the call for the Mets, most splits are unfavorable for Manaea except for the one that might matter the most. 12 starts, 1 run allowed in the 1st inning this season. 

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