No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

NRFI - Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays (-125)

• Rays rank 26^th in OPS vs. righties, Mariners rank 23rd. Bryan Woo is on the bump for the Mariners, 1.67 ERA, 0.61 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched. 7 starts, 1 run allowed in the 1st. Taj Bradley will toe the rubber for the Rays, 4.06 ERA, 1.15 WHIP. 2.10 ERA at home, last 3 starts have been encouraging allowing 2 or fewer runs against the Orioles, Cubs, and Twins. Let's try for 6 without a run. 

NRFI - Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers (-122)

• Freddy Peralta might be next to JP Sears on my Mount Rushmore of pitchers that I tend to overvalue. I've seen the dominate Peralta far too many times not to get excited when he takes the hill. Opponents hit just .165 against him in 2021, .190 in 2022. This year he has a 4.06 ERA, highest since 2019. This year he has a 1.17 WHIP, highest since 2019. This year opponents are hitting .222 against him, the highest since 2019. He's only 28, he had a 2.81 ERA post-All Star last year. I'm hoping that he starts to turn the corner a bit early this year. Michael Lorenzen goes for Texas, 3.00 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 2.55 ERA on the road. The Brewers are tough against righties, but both teams are Bottom 10 in scoring this month. Let's go NRFI. 

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres (-113)

• NRFI with Patrick Corbin on the bump? Corbin is 1-7, 5.60 ERA, 1.60 WHIP. The last 2 starts have been solid, 1 run allowed over 5.1 at Detroit, 1 run allowed over 5 against Arizona. The Padres rank 22^nd in OPS vs. lefties giving me hope plus Corbin has a 2.40 ERA in 1^st this year. Matt Waldron gets the call for the Padres, 3.46 ERA, 1.16 WHIP. His last 7 starts have been really good, 1.64 ERA, 0.91 WHIP. Nationals rank 18^th in OPS vs. righties. Let's hope for a clean first.