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April 27, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      38-27, 58.5%, up 5.8685 units

@KotaCapperKyle        27-26, 50.9%, down 1.88 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Play for Saturday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI: Oakland @ Baltimore (-135)
I always like good pitching over good hitting. JP Sears for Oakland qualifies as good pitching these days thanks to his 1.96 ERA in April. Former Athletic, Cole Irvin goes for the O's. After a rocky start to the season, he settled in last out with 6.2 scoreless innings at Kansas City. Oakland ranks 23rd in OPS vs. lefties. NRFI it is. 
 
NRFI: St. Louis at New York Mets (-135)
Sonny Gray goes for the Cardinals, I'll back him and his 1.04 ERA without regret. Adrian Houser gets the call for the Mets, ugly 7.45 ERA this season, gave up 8 runs over 4 innings last out against the Dodgers. Career 4.12 ERA, Cardinals are a career .245 against him over 94 AB's. Cardinals are currently 26th in OPS vs. righties. I like Houser to have a bounce back start, I think I can get a scoreless 1st. 
 
NRFI: Philadelphia at San Diego (-130)
Ranger Suarez and Dylan Cease doing battle today. Combined 7-1 record, Suarez has a 1.36 ERA, Cease a 1.82. NRFI or nothing for me with numbers like that. 
 
@KotaCapperKyle Plays: 
 
YRFI: Oakland @ Baltimore (+100)
These are two pitchers that have an above 3 ERA. The Orioles have been very good in the first inning this year. Although the A's are not very good in the first innings, Cole Irvin is a good guy to get an early lead on. Irvin has a 4.64 ERA with 24 K's to 13 walks. He has struggled with his command, so this is a great time to combine the Orioles good hitting with the struggles of Irvin for a plus-money YRFI. 
 
NRFI: Dodgers/Blue Jays (-140)
Yes, this is a lot of juice to taking for a first innings bet, but the pitching matchup here screams NRFI to me. Both pitchers, Glasnow and Kikuchi, have a below 3 ERA and have had pretty decent seasons. This is worth the juice to take because I see this being a fairly low scoring game.