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July 2, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      136-98, 58.1%, up 12.2177 units

@KotaCapperKyle        52-53, 49.5%, down 7.28 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Tuesday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - LA Angels at Oakland Athletics (-125)

  • Jose Soriano for the Angels, 3.48 ERA, 2.33 ERA on the road, 1.92 ERA in June. Athletics rank 27th in OPS vs. righties so this should be a favorable matchup tonight. Not a fan of back-to-back starts against the same team typically, Mitch Spence gets the call for Oakland after allowing 6 runs over 5.1 innings last out at LA. He was really good for 3 innings before giving up a 5-spot in the 4th. Spence has a 4.35 ERA on the season, 3.99 at home. Both teams are Top 10 NRFI teams, let's get 6 outs without a run. 

NRFI - San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers (-128)

  • Padres rank 3rd in OPS vs. righties, Rangers rank 22nd. Dylan Cease has a 5.03 ERA over his last 7 starts, 3.84 ERA on the season for the Padres. Not great. Texas sticks are a career 16 for 72 against Cease, .222 BA. Nathan Eovaldi for the Texas, 3.45 ERA, 2.22 ERA at home, 2.08 ERA in the first inning. San Diego sticks are a career 7 for 39 against him, .179 BA. Let's hope for a repeat of the past, NRFI it is. 

NRFI - St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-140)

  • I can't seem to beat Kyle Gibson so I'm going to back him tonight for St. Louis. Gibby has a 3.70 ERA on the season, 2.68 ERA on the road, Pirates are a career .206 against him, and Pittsburgh ranks 29th in OPS vs. righties this season. Mitch Keller is on the bump for Pittsburgh looking to continue his strong season, 3.20 ERA, 2.36 ERA at home, 2.25 ERA in the 1st. Cardinals are a career .250 against Keller and rank 13th in OPS vs. righties this year. Both teams are Top 7 in NRFI %. Let's go for it. 

NRFI - San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves (-105)

  • Reynaldo Lopez on the bump for the Braves, 1.70 ERA, 1.11 ERA at home, and my favorite stat is 14 starts allowing ZERO runs in the 1st. Giants counter with 22-year-old rookie Hayden Birdsong making his second career start. He allowed 3 runs over 4.2 against the Cubs in his debut, 2.51 ERA in minors this year with opponents hitting just .196 against him. I don't trust a ton of rookies, but I will tonight. 

NRFI - Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins (-125)

  • Tarik Skubal for the Tigers, check. Simeon Woods Richardson for the Twins, 3.41 ERA, 2.77 ERA in the first inning. Tigers rank 26th in OPS vs. righties, rank 22nd in runs scored. That's enough for me. 

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