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July 5, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      140-99, 58.6%, up 14.4844 units

@KotaCapperKyle        54-54, 50.0%, down 6.53 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Friday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI: New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates (-125)
Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh, 2.06 ERA, he's given up a first inning run in 3 straight games after shutting going 6/6 in the first to start his career. Luis Severino gets the call for New York, 3.42 ERA, 1.69 ERA in the first inning. Pirates are the 7th best NRFI team and rank 29th in OPS vs. righties. NRFI it is. 
 
NRFI: St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals (-115)
Patrick Corbin on the hill for the Nationals, 5.49 ERA, 4.43 ERA over the last 7 starts, 2.12 ERA in the first inning. Cardinals rank 29th in OPS vs. lefties, 6th best NRFI team. Sonny Gray for St. Louis, 2.98 ERA on the season, Nationals rank 20th in OPS vs. righties. Road splits and recent trends concern me for Gray, still backing the NRFI since the Nationals have the highest NRFI % in baseball. 
 
NRFI: Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds (-105)
Here we go again. Reese Olson for the Tigers, 16 starts this year, 16 starts without allowing a run in the first. 3.33 ERA on the road this season, Reds rank 23rd in OPS vs. righties. Carson Spiers for the Reds, 3.13 ERA over 8 appearances this year, Tigers rank 24th in OPS vs. righties. Let's get 6 without a run. 
 
NRFI: Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (-120)
Aaron Nola for the Braves, 3.43 ERA, 2.12 ERA in the first. Braves sticks have 17 homers off Nola over 328 AB's, .265 BA. Max Fried for the Braves, 2.91 ERA, 1.94 ERA over his last 7 starts. Phillies lineup has had success off Fried, .313 BA over 115 AB's. I always like good pitching over good hitting. Let's get out of the first without a mark. 
 
NRFI: Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners (-140)
Luis Castillo for the Mariners, 3.87 ERA, 3.19 ERA at home, Toronto bats are 15 for 69 against him lifetime for a .217 BA.  Blue Jays are still the 3rd best NRFI team in baseball. Kevin Gausman is on the bump for the Blue Jays, 4.75 ERA, 2.22 ERA on the road continuing his tradition of being much better away from home. Seattle ranks 26th in OPS vs. righties. Pitcher friendly park. Let's do it. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Friday

  • TBD

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