Subscribe to our daily newsletter
July 10, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      149-102, 59.4%, up 19.2201 units

@KotaCapperKyle        54-54, 50.0%, down 6.53 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Wednesday (dropped in the newsletter)

NRFI - Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles (-128 on FanDuel)

  • Shota Imanaga has a 6.51 ERA over his last 7 starts and will be facing the 3rd best OPS team vs. lefties, I'm nervous. YTD the Cubs lefty has a 3.16 ERA, 2.88 ERA on the road, and a 2.81 ERA in the first. Corbin Burnes for the O's, 2.32 ERA on the season, 1.91 ERA over the last 7 starts, 1.78 ERA at home. Cubs rank 20th in OPS vs. righties. The top of the Cubs order has had limited success against Burnes provided they don't move Dansby Swanson up. For whatever reason Swanson is 10 for 17 against Burnes with 2 HR's. Let's get 6 without a run tonight. 

NRFI - Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers (-130)

  • How many times can I go to the well? 17 starts for Reese Olson, 0 runs allowed in the opening frame. Crazy stat for a 3-8 pitcher with a 3.22 ERA. Guardians are 1 for 16 against him in his career. On the flip side, I love good pitchers off a bad start. Tanner Bibee goes for the Guardians, 3.67 ERA, 3.20 ERA over his last 7 starts, 2.70 ERA on the road. Last out he was sent to the showers after 4.2 innings allowing 4 against San Francisco. I expect much better tonight against a Tiger lineup that ranks 23rd in OPS vs. righties. NRFI it is.  

NRFI - Toronto Blue Jays at San Francisco Giants (-154)

  • Logan Webb at home, check. Blue Jays have the 2nd highest NRFI % in baseball, check. Chris Bassitt for the Blue Jays, 2.47 ERA over his last 7 starts, 2.93 ERA on the road, 2.00 ERA in the first inning. Giants rank 21st in OPS vs. righties plus the top of the order has had minimal success lifetime vs. Bassitt. NRFI time in San Fran. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Wednesday (dropped in the newsletter)

  • Giants/Blue Jays NRFI (-150 on Draft Kings)
     
    We got two of the best teams at hitting a NRFI going at it in this game. The Blue Jays are hitting a NRFI at a 81.1% clip, and the Giants are hitting at a 80.22% clip. Both of the pitchers in this matchup have been solid lifetime against these teams, and when I see two top five teams in terms of hitting NRFIs competing, it's worth the juice that you have to drink for it!

If you would like to receive our full email content, please subscribe below to support the show:

https://www.buymeacoffee.com/playmeorfademe/membership