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July 20, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      157-110, 58.8%, up 17.7806 units

@KotaCapperKyle        54-55, 49.5%, down 7.53 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Saturday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays (-122)

  • Tough for me not to continue with the trend that has worked all season. Reese Olson goes for Detroit, 18 starts, ZERO runs allowed in the 1st. All the splits even line up, road ERA is better than his home ERA. Day ERA is better than his night ERA. Yusei Kikuchi goes for Toronto, 4.42 ERA, 6.42 ERA over his last 7 starts. Not great numbers, but Detroit ranks 24th in OPS vs. lefties so that might help. Let's get 6 without a run. 

NRFI - Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals (-118)

  • Pair of good young lefties on the bump today, Nick Lodolo for the Reds vs. MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals. Gore has a 4.01 ERA on the season, had an excellent April and May, but has struggled since. First inning numbers are excellent with a 1.42 ERA and the Reds rank 19th in OPS vs. lefties and are mid-pack in NRFI % this season. Nick Lodolo has a 3.33 ERA for the Reds, 2.27 ERA on the road. Not the best numbers on the opening frame with a 6.43 ERA this year, but the Nationals rank 28th in OPS vs. lefties and have the highest NRFI % in baseball. Let's go for it, NRFI it is. 

NRFI - Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners (-150)

  • George Kirby for Seattle, 3.29 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 2.03 ERA over his last 7 starts. Astros sticks are a lifetime 18 for 95 against him, .189 BA. Framber Valdez for the Astros, 3.66 ERA on the year, 3.30 ERA over his last 7 starts. Seattle ranks 23rd in OPS vs. lefties. I'll give it a chance. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Saturday

TBD

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