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July 24, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      165-113, 59.3%, up 21.5212 units

@KotaCapperKyle        54-55, 49.5%, down 7.53 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Play for Wednesday (dropped in the newsletter)

NRFI - Houston Astros at Oakland Athletics (-115 on FanDuel)
I can't deny, I'm a JP Sears guy. 4.49 ERA, 1.28 WHIP on the season. Excellent numbers in July, 3-0 record, 1.65 ERA, 1.10 WHIP. 2 starts against Houston this year, 11 innings allowing 2 runs. Hunter Brown for Houston, 4.14 ERA, 1.36 WHIP on the season. 2.09 ERA over his last 7 starts, he's actually given up ZERO runs in 5 of his last 8 starts. NRFI it is. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Wednesday (dropped in the newsletter and podcast)

Padres/Nationals NRFI (-105)

If you’ve been a smart NRFI bettor this season, you will likely have bet on the Washington Nationals in your NRFI bets. They are the best team in baseball at hitting a NRFI at an 84% clip. Also the good news for us is that the Nationals are starting a rookie pitcher in Mitchell Parker that only one batter has seen. Parker has had a respectable rookie season with a 5-5 record and a 3.90 ERA. Meanwhile the Padres are starting Matt Waldron, and he has struggled this season with a 5-9 record and a 3.59 ERA. However, Nationals batters are only batting .227 off of him lifetime.

Pick: Tigers/Guardians NRFI (-130 on FanDuel)
 
I really like the pitching matchup in this game. Jack Flaherty for the Tigers and Tanner Bibee for the Guardians both have a win-loss record above .500 and ERAs below 4.00. They are solid against their opposing teams lifetime. The full game over was tempting for me, but I liked the NRFI play just a little bit more since these pitchers both start games off strong. 

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