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July 26, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      166-114, 59.3%, up 21.2458 units

@KotaCapperKyle        54-57, 48.6%, down 9.88 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Friday (dropped on the podcast)

NRFI - Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies (-115)

  • This one will be stressful with the Phillies ranking #2 in YRFI and #1 in runs scored per game at home. Ben Lively goes for the Guardians, 17 starts allowing just 1 run in the 1st. Cristopher Sanchez for the Phillies, 2.97 ERA on the season, 1.50 ERA at home, 1.42 ERA in the 1st. Numbers support the risk, NRFI it is. 

NRFI - Cincinnati Reds at Tampa Bay Rays (-113)

  • Shane Baz for the Rays, 4th start of the season. 3 starts, 0 runs allowed in the first. Struggled with his control last out walking 5 Yankees over 3.1 innings, I'm going to ignore that for once since I like his upside. Nick Lodolo for the Reds, 3.51 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 2.84 ERA on the road. Let's get 6 without a run. 

NRFI - Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox (-140)

  • Teams rank 28th and 30th in scoring. White Sox rank #2 in NRFI %, Seattle is banged up. Add in the fact that I have a 3.20 ERA and a 3.03 ERA on the bump, I'm going NRFI all day. George Kirby for Seattle, he has a 0.98 WHIP on the season. Drew Thorpe for Chicago, he has a 1.01 WHIP on the season. Sign me up! 

NRFI - Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals (-113)

  • Sonny Gray for the Cardinals, 3.54 ERA, 1.06 WHIP, 2.14 ERA at home. Hasn't been the best of late with a 4.00 ERA over his last 7 starts, Nationals rank 20th in OPS vs. righties, have the highest NRFI %, and were no hit yesterday when I needed runs from them. MacKenzie Gore for the Nationals, 4.20 ERA, 3.86 ERA on the road, 2.25 ERA in the first inning. Ugly 5.79 ERA over his last 7 starts, but the Cardinals rank 29th in OPS vs. lefties. NRFI it is. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Friday

TBD

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