No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

NRFI - Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays (-108 on FanDuel)

• Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays, 3.18 ERA at home, 3.00 ERA in the first. He's given up 3 or more in 7 of 8 starts, last 2 have lasted less than 5. He walked 6 last out, he's given up a league leading 22 dingers this season, but he expects to flush it and turn the page. I expect to see much better today. Jon Gray will toe the rubber for the Rangers, up and down season. Great starts, terrible starts. Last 7 ERA is not good with a 6.82, first inning ERA isn't good with a 5.82. Last out, 7.2 innings allowing 1 run. I just need 6 without a run, give me the NRFI. 

NRFI - Chicago Cubs at Kansas City Royals (-105 on DraftKings)

• Lugo & Imanaga failed me yesterday, back with Ragans & Assad today. Cole Ragans needs to get me the first 3, 3.23 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 2.57 ERA in the 1st, Cubs rank 23^rd in OPS vs. lefties. Javier Assad gets the assignment today for the Cubs, 3.15 ERA, 4.99 ERA over his last 7 starts, 2.50 ERA in the first inning, 1.98 ERA in day games. Royals rank 13^th in OPS vs. righties. I'll try it again, NRFI it is. 

NRFI - Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox (-130 on DraftKings)

• Garrett Crochet for the White Sox, 3.07 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 2.52 ERA over the last 7 games, 2.31 ERA at home, 2.14 ERA in the first inning. I'm good with those numbers. Bryce Miller for the Mariners, 3.41 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 2.68 ERA over his last 7 starts. Road and first inning splits concern me, but these are the 2024 Chicago White Sox. I'll never apologize for betting on them not to score.