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July 29, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      168-122, 57.9%, up 14.9308 units

@KotaCapperKyle        54-57, 48.6%, down 9.88 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Monday (dropped on the podcast)

 

NRFI - Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers (-145)

  • Jack Flaherty for the Tigers, 2.95 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 2.08 ERA over his last 7 starts including 6 shutout innings last out against the Guardians. Cleveland is hitting a career .210 against Flaherty over 81 AB's, Guardians rank 20th in OPS vs. righties this year. Tanner Bibee gets the call for the Guardians, 3.50 ERA, 2.68 ERA over his last 7 starts including a 5-inning effort last out allowing 1 run against Detroit. Tigers rank 23rd in OPS vs. righties.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros NRFI (-130 on DraftKings)

  • Jake Bloss makes his 4th start of the season for the Astros, 6.94 ERA, 1.63 WHIP after facing Oakland, Miami, and Baltimore. Paul Skenes goes for Pittsburgh. Skenes 0.94 WHIP in the minors, Bloss 0.94 WHIP in the minors. Skenes 1.85 ERA in the minors, Bloss had a 1.64 ERA this year over 66 innings. Pittsburgh ranks 29th in OPS vs. righties, Houston ranks 7th. I struggled with how to bet on this game. I wanted to bet the Pirates First 5 Team Total to the under, but 1.5 is reserved for elite pitchers and not pitchers with a 6.94 ERA. Betting the Astros under might be the play, not a fan of the price. Pirates appear overpriced, if I want to bet the Astros I might as well bet the under since I'm not going to base my handicap on Skenes getting hit hard. I'm going to break a rule and double up on this thing, NRFI and First 5 under. 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Monday

TBD

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