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July 2, 2024

No Runs or More Runs - NRFI/YRFI Best Bets

@KotaCapperKyle (new school, fun) vs. @MrActionJunkie1 (old school, boring)

Note: Kyle bets to win a unit, Action bets to risk a unit. 

 

YTD Standings:

@MrActionJunkie1      140-99, 58.6%, up 14.4844 units

@KotaCapperKyle        52-53, 49.5%, down 7.28 units

 

@MrActionJunkie1 Plays for Wednesday 

No plays today, on vacation. 

 

@KotaCapperKyle Plays for Wednesday (dropped on the podcast)

New York Mets/Washington Nationals NRFI (-115)

  • Both of these teams are starting rookies on the mound. The Mets are bringing out Christian Scott, who has an 0-2 record, a 3.90 ERA and has 25 Ks to 6 walks. Not too shabby numbers. Meanwhile, the Nationals are bringing out Mitchell Parker with a 5-4 record, a 3.32 ERA, and 63 Ks to 18 BBs. Also not bad numbers. Add on the fact that these are some of the best NRFI teams in baseball with the Nationals hitting a NRFI at a 85.7% clip (best in MLB) and the Mets hitting a NRFI at a 71.9% clip, this has the making of a NRFI to me.

Boston Red Sox/Miami Marlins NRFI (-125)

  • This is a NRFI that caught my eye after looking at the pitching matchup. The Red Sox are starting Brayan Bello with a 7-5 record and a 5.55 ERA. However, Bello has had success against the Marlins lifetime, as Marlins hitters are batting a combined .205 against him lifetime with only one run allowed. I like that matchup. Meanwhile the Marlins are starting Trevor Rodgers on the mound. He has greatly struggled this season with a 1-8 record and a 4.87 ERA. Rodgers has only faced off against three Red Sox batters lifetime, and the only one that bats towards the top of the lineup that has had success is Rafael Devers. I am willing to make the risk with one batter not to score a run, especially at a -125 price.

Baltimore Orioles/Seattle Mariners NRFI (-145)

  • Originally Corbin Burnes was supposed to be on the mound for the Orioles, but they changed it up and now it sounds like they are starting Dean Kramer. The 28 year old has a 3-4 record with a 4.42 ERA. No Mariners batter has faced off against Kramer lifetime, so this will be a new pitcher for the Mariners. Meanwhile, the Mariners are starting Logan Gilbert on the mound with a 5-4 record, a 2.72 ERA, and a 0.88 WHIP (best in the AL). Lifetime, Orioles batters are batting .205 against Gilbert with only one run scored. This all sounds like a NRFI to me, so let’s do it!

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