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Sept. 12, 2024

E94: How to Invest $70 Billion

E94: How to Invest $70 Billion
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Tony Meadows, Partner at Sinefine sits down with David Weisburd to discuss what initial investment choice could make or break your portfolio, when to dive into early-stage investments, and how strategic timing can turn ordinary investments into extraordinary gains.

Tony Meadows, Partner at Sinefine sits down with David Weisburd to discuss what initial investment choice could make or break your portfolio, when to dive into early-stage investments, and how strategic timing can turn ordinary investments into extraordinary gains.

The 10X Capital Podcast is part of the Turpentine podcast network. Learn more: turpentine.co

X / Twitter: @dweisburd (David Weisburd)

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LinkedIn: Tony Meadows: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tonymeadows/ Sinefine: https://www.linkedin.com/company/sinefine/ David Weisburd: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dweisburd/

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LINKS: Sinefine: https://www.sinefine.co/

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Questions or topics you want us to discuss on The 10X Capital Podcast? Email us at david@10xcapital.com

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TIMESTAMPS:

(0:00) Episode Preview (2:44) Asset class selection and adverse selection in investments (3:25) Partnering strategies and execution in co-investments (4:35) Governance, decentralization, and GP relationships (6:54) Portfolio construction and strategy within private equity (8:34) Impact of check size on venture capital investments (11:20) Pension funds' role and challenges in venture capital (13:10) Benefits, returns, and market coverage for pension funds (14:06) Building a venture capital portfolio for pension funds (15:51) Multistage funds, emerging managers, and fund twos (18:17) Outsourcing strategies and manager performance data (23:52) Criteria and challenges of investing with Sinefine (26:37) Gender dynamics in sourcing and generating alpha (31:16) Portfolio construction and diversification at Sinefine (35:16) Working with pension funds and compensation structures (39:14) Closing Remarks
Transcript
1
00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:01,280
$70,000,000,000 plan.

2
00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:05,359
It wouldn't be out of the norm to put a
$1,000,000,000 of capital to work in private

3
00:00:05,359 --> 00:00:07,219
equity over a 1 year period.

4
00:00:07,279 --> 00:00:13,139
And so because VC was a part of private equity,
we would allocate, say, 15% to VC.

5
00:00:13,519 --> 00:00:16,585
You spent 13 and a half years at PCERS.

6
00:00:16,585 --> 00:00:19,244
What did you wish you knew when you started in
year 1?

7
00:00:19,545 --> 00:00:22,364
How challenging it could be working with
different constituents.

8
00:00:22,504 --> 00:00:27,785
You're dealing with not only staff and the
different levels there, but you're also dealing

9
00:00:27,785 --> 00:00:28,524
with consultants.

10
00:00:28,850 --> 00:00:30,370
You're dealing with the board.

11
00:00:30,370 --> 00:00:34,450
And a lot of times you're not dealing with them
directly, but you could be dealing with the

12
00:00:34,450 --> 00:00:36,929
public as well through press or something like
that.

13
00:00:36,929 --> 00:00:41,429
So there's a lot of potential things that can
get in your head over the long term.

14
00:00:41,570 --> 00:00:48,015
I'm not a big proponent of pension plans that
give bonuses to their staff as well because I

15
00:00:48,015 --> 00:00:52,255
think it's difficult to be able to incentivize
staff in the short term with a long term asset

16
00:00:52,255 --> 00:00:52,655
class.

17
00:00:52,655 --> 00:00:56,815
1 year return doesn't necessarily mean that
you're doing a great job just because the

18
00:00:56,815 --> 00:01:00,170
market has gone up or down in commercially a
bad job.

19
00:01:07,349 --> 00:01:10,950
Tony, I've been excited to chat since our
friend Arianna Thacker made the introduction.

20
00:01:10,950 --> 00:01:12,555
Welcome to 10X Capital podcast.

21
00:01:12,715 --> 00:01:12,954
Hey.

22
00:01:12,954 --> 00:01:13,674
Thanks for having me.

23
00:01:13,674 --> 00:01:18,234
You don't know how much of a benefit you've
been on, long drives where I get to listen to

24
00:01:18,234 --> 00:01:23,194
multiple podcasts and listen to a lot of
people's views and and certainly your insight.

25
00:01:23,194 --> 00:01:25,034
I always appreciate the questions you're
asking.

26
00:01:25,034 --> 00:01:26,310
Thank you for the kind words.

27
00:01:26,549 --> 00:01:30,969
So you worked at PCERS, which is a public
school retirement system, in Pennsylvania,

28
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which today has over $70,000,000,000 AUM.

29
00:01:34,549 --> 00:01:36,149
Tell me about your experience there.

30
00:01:36,149 --> 00:01:39,189
So I started in PCERS as an accountant in the
finance department.

31
00:01:39,430 --> 00:01:43,645
About halfway through my career there, I moved
over to investment, started off as an analyst,

32
00:01:43,885 --> 00:01:46,844
looking at, you know, working with
infrastructure, absolute return, private

33
00:01:46,844 --> 00:01:49,805
credit, and then obviously private equity in
VC.

34
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I then began working on co investments.

35
00:01:52,525 --> 00:01:57,564
So during my time there, I underwrote about 36
co investments worth $800,000,000 of

36
00:01:57,564 --> 00:01:58,064
commitment.

37
00:01:58,790 --> 00:02:03,990
And then I also sourced and wrote and
recommended primary fund commitments to the

38
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board.

39
00:02:04,469 --> 00:02:06,390
And you had 36 co investments.

40
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That's that's a prolific amount.

41
00:02:07,750 --> 00:02:09,770
How did you go choosing those co investments?

42
00:02:10,310 --> 00:02:14,844
The way that we were delegated authority from
the board is that we could do co investments

43
00:02:14,844 --> 00:02:16,465
with existing GPs.

44
00:02:16,925 --> 00:02:18,764
So you had that underwriting process.

45
00:02:18,764 --> 00:02:23,965
You understood the GP strategy, and and a lot
of the underwriting process was just making

46
00:02:23,965 --> 00:02:26,465
sure that the GP was staying within their
lanes.

47
00:02:26,710 --> 00:02:27,990
I executed on 36.

48
00:02:27,990 --> 00:02:29,290
We had a lot more opportunities.

49
00:02:29,349 --> 00:02:32,069
We did turn down some from the buyout
perspective.

50
00:02:32,069 --> 00:02:36,889
It was almost you know, we could get into our
own heads and overthink the co investments.

51
00:02:37,349 --> 00:02:41,590
And, honestly, if you have conviction in the
GP, you should almost do every co investment

52
00:02:41,590 --> 00:02:44,634
from a buyout opportunity perspective.

53
00:02:44,935 --> 00:02:49,495
Do you find that as an asset class, private
equity is less adversely selected when it comes

54
00:02:49,495 --> 00:02:52,474
to coinvestments versus something like a
venture capital coinvestment?

55
00:02:52,854 --> 00:02:58,729
I think adverse selection when it comes to
buyout is something that was pre GFC for sure.

56
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You know, there was there was a lot of talk
about that back then.

57
00:03:02,250 --> 00:03:08,754
I think in the present form, with most of the
high quality GPs that you're investing in, you

58
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don't have very much adverse selection.

59
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They're doing good investments.

60
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It's just a matter of whether you want more
exposure or not.

61
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BC is a different animal.

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You're talking about follow on rounds and
things of that nature where you could have a

63
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little bit more conflicts there.

64
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So that is a little bit different underwriting
process.

65
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As it related to co investment, how did you
position yourself as the partner of choice for

66
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whether buyout or venture capital firms?

67
00:03:32,659 --> 00:03:35,540
1, you have to be able to execute on the deals.

68
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And so we we certainly executed on deals.

69
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You have to be able to, you know, respond in a
in a short amount of time.

70
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So a lot of times, we were given a week, 2
weeks to be able to perform the underwriting,

71
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get a yes, no.

72
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Because we had delegation, still didn't mean
you know, it didn't mean that we didn't do an

73
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underwriting to the fullest extent.

74
00:03:53,270 --> 00:03:56,730
We still had a staff IC that we had to present
to.

75
00:03:56,870 --> 00:04:02,550
So myself and someone else are you know, would
likely underwrite a coinvestment, present that

76
00:04:02,550 --> 00:04:09,115
coinvestment as if it was a primary investment
to the IC, and, certainly get their questions

77
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from there.

78
00:04:09,514 --> 00:04:12,495
And it was nice to have that additional check.

79
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All that had to happen within a 2 week time
period oftentimes.

80
00:04:15,675 --> 00:04:20,490
You know, sometimes we would get a little bit
longer, but executing, being open to co

81
00:04:20,490 --> 00:04:25,050
investments, one of the feedbacks that we got
when we were talking to new managers is, do you

82
00:04:25,050 --> 00:04:26,810
actually execute on co investments?

83
00:04:26,810 --> 00:04:32,425
Because LPs tend to say that they like co
investments, But when it comes down to actually

84
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executing them, that whittles down to a
possible universe.

85
00:04:35,545 --> 00:04:39,225
From a governance standpoint, what allowed you
to process co investments so quickly?

86
00:04:39,225 --> 00:04:40,345
Talk to me about that.

87
00:04:40,345 --> 00:04:42,365
It was really all hands on deck.

88
00:04:42,425 --> 00:04:48,220
So the way that private equity specifically was
structured was that there was a director, and

89
00:04:48,220 --> 00:04:52,720
there were 4 portfolio managers or analysts
that were reported to them.

90
00:04:53,099 --> 00:04:58,975
And so if I was underwriting a fund for a
primary investment, the you know, I may end up

91
00:04:58,975 --> 00:05:02,574
having to put that aside for a week or 2 in
order to work on the co investments.

92
00:05:02,574 --> 00:05:06,995
The way that it was structured, the co
investments, is that if it was my relationship,

93
00:05:07,535 --> 00:05:12,949
so I was overseeing xyz manager, I'm over I'm
underwriting the co investment opportunity for

94
00:05:12,949 --> 00:05:13,689
that GP.

95
00:05:14,149 --> 00:05:18,389
Whereas, a colleague of mine may have a
different relationship, he would only

96
00:05:18,389 --> 00:05:19,430
underwrite the relation no.

97
00:05:19,430 --> 00:05:21,930
He would underwrite the co investments to that
relationship.

98
00:05:22,264 --> 00:05:27,305
So you have that familiarity with the GP, and a
lot of times, it's not a surprise that, you

99
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know, the deal is coming forward.

100
00:05:28,985 --> 00:05:29,944
Depends on the timing.

101
00:05:29,944 --> 00:05:31,464
Sometimes they were done at close.

102
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Sometimes they were syndicated deals post
close.

103
00:05:34,024 --> 00:05:39,139
And so that certainly dictated, you know, the
the amount of time that you needed to spend on

104
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the deal as well.

105
00:05:40,580 --> 00:05:42,580
You were decentralized in that.

106
00:05:42,580 --> 00:05:46,360
You organized at PCERS around the the GP
relationship.

107
00:05:46,500 --> 00:05:50,180
When it comes to the economics of the co
invest, what was the median terms that you

108
00:05:50,180 --> 00:05:53,375
would get at a pension fund investing with your
GPs?

109
00:05:53,675 --> 00:05:57,534
For the most part on buyout deals, there were
no fee, no carry.

110
00:05:57,995 --> 00:06:00,555
And so that was the main avenue.

111
00:06:00,555 --> 00:06:05,435
We did have, some coinvestments that would
have, say, an admin fee, so you would have a

112
00:06:05,435 --> 00:06:07,670
onetime charge at the front end.

113
00:06:07,670 --> 00:06:13,189
It might be 1% of the deal or 2% of the deal,
and then you would incorporate that in the

114
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commitment.

115
00:06:14,069 --> 00:06:19,110
But for the most part, there was no fee, no
carry plus expenses, which is typically the the

116
00:06:19,110 --> 00:06:23,355
financial reporting and the auditing and things
of that nature for that co investment vehicle.

117
00:06:23,975 --> 00:06:26,214
Is that a function of your check size?

118
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You were writing $100,000,000 plus checks into
the GP, so you were able to dictate that.

119
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Were were all LPs getting the same economics?

120
00:06:33,254 --> 00:06:33,495
No.

121
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I mean, for the most part, the GPs that we were
investing in, that was the common structure was

122
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no fee, no carry.

123
00:06:39,479 --> 00:06:46,279
For other asset classes, real estate, for
instance, it was more on a GP by GB basis, and

124
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a lot of times that they would have, you know,
some sort of fee structure along with that.

125
00:06:50,495 --> 00:06:54,435
But for buyout, by and large, it was just
market that it was no fee, no carry.

126
00:06:54,495 --> 00:06:56,975
You were a portfolio manager in the private
equity group.

127
00:06:56,975 --> 00:06:59,235
You were at Piecers for over 13 years.

128
00:06:59,295 --> 00:07:03,074
Talk to me about the portfolio construction
within private equity at Piecers.

129
00:07:03,370 --> 00:07:06,410
It was something that was a little bit more of
an art form than science.

130
00:07:06,410 --> 00:07:12,410
It was something I was working on, in my latter
days as well to to try and refine that.

131
00:07:12,410 --> 00:07:16,569
But by and large, the the majority of our
investments from the buyout perspective were

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middle market.

133
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So you would you would go from, say, a
$300,000,000 fund at the very low end, and that

134
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was few and far between, and those were usually
legacy portfolios up to $10,000,000,000 funds.

135
00:07:29,404 --> 00:07:31,710
We would have exposure to larger funds.

136
00:07:31,710 --> 00:07:35,470
So kind of way that you looked at the universe
or I looked at the universe was sub

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00:07:35,470 --> 00:07:39,650
1,000,000,000,000 to 3, 3 to 7, 7 to 10, and 10
and up.

138
00:07:39,710 --> 00:07:42,910
And you kinda bifurcate that buyout universe in
that way.

139
00:07:42,910 --> 00:07:44,529
They all have different attributes.

140
00:07:44,670 --> 00:07:50,324
So a sub $1,000,000,000 fund is likely gonna be
investing in EBITDA multiples a little bit

141
00:07:50,324 --> 00:07:50,805
higher.

142
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But from a total EBITDA, it's likely gonna be
15,000,000 or less.

143
00:07:55,524 --> 00:08:00,779
And so when you take a look at those smaller
companies, it's just a different strategy.

144
00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:04,439
It's very similar to VC in that small buyout.

145
00:08:04,439 --> 00:08:06,360
There are a ton of small buyout GPs.

146
00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:08,779
You can have a lot of volatility in return.

147
00:08:08,920 --> 00:08:13,000
So manager selection becomes that much more
important for the small buyout than you do

148
00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,665
with, say, $20,000,000,000 plus funds.

149
00:08:15,665 --> 00:08:20,545
There's a very limited, universe of
$20,000,000,000 plus funds out there.

150
00:08:20,545 --> 00:08:24,064
That's the kind of way that we kinda look at
the universe was just from those size

151
00:08:24,064 --> 00:08:28,225
perspectives, and that was, information that
we're getting from consultants as well.

152
00:08:28,225 --> 00:08:32,049
That was kind of the way that they saw their
universe, and so we just adopted the way they

153
00:08:32,049 --> 00:08:34,450
saw that universe and and attacked it the same
way.

154
00:08:34,450 --> 00:08:38,850
Did your strategy around check size change by
the size of the fund?

155
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You mentioned you had a small as a $300,000,000
fund, and you had a $10,000,000,000 fund.

156
00:08:42,850 --> 00:08:44,774
How would you size your checks in those cases?

157
00:08:45,095 --> 00:08:45,254
Yeah.

158
00:08:45,254 --> 00:08:49,274
Those $300,000,000 funds again were were pretty
old.

159
00:08:49,654 --> 00:08:55,495
In in the present day, I would say that it was
likely not less than a $500,000,000 fund just

160
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because of the concentration limit.

161
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We couldn't be at LP that was greater than 30%
of a fund size.

162
00:09:01,240 --> 00:09:04,139
And most times, we're writing $100,000,000
checks.

163
00:09:04,519 --> 00:09:09,580
And so if you take a look at it from a
historical perspective, most of those

164
00:09:09,639 --> 00:09:12,705
commitments that we made were around a 100,
150,000,000.

165
00:09:13,085 --> 00:09:17,884
We had a couple that were a little bit less,
and we had commitments and this is our, you

166
00:09:17,884 --> 00:09:19,264
know, this is public information.

167
00:09:19,325 --> 00:09:24,925
You can see them out there, but there was one
GP, that we made a $300,000,000 commitment to.

168
00:09:24,925 --> 00:09:27,570
Again, it was kinda more art than science.

169
00:09:27,629 --> 00:09:33,070
And so, you know, certainly, the length of the
relationship, the familiarity with the GP all

170
00:09:33,070 --> 00:09:37,490
came into play when you're making a a
$300,000,000 commitment to a GP.

171
00:09:37,950 --> 00:09:41,389
And your minimum investment being a
100,000,000, did that make it really difficult

172
00:09:41,389 --> 00:09:42,584
to invest in venture capital?

173
00:09:42,584 --> 00:09:45,865
Talk to me about the challenges of having too
much capital when it comes to investing into

174
00:09:45,865 --> 00:09:46,605
venture capital.

175
00:09:46,985 --> 00:09:51,704
When you look at portfolio construction and you
take a look at the budget here, so

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00:09:51,704 --> 00:09:56,429
$70,000,000,000 plan, it wouldn't be out of the
norm to put a $1,000,000,000 of capital to work

177
00:09:56,429 --> 00:09:58,850
in private equity over a 1 year period.

178
00:09:59,149 --> 00:10:05,970
And so because VC was a part of private equity,
we would allocate, say, 15% to VC.

179
00:10:06,429 --> 00:10:10,695
So now you're looking at a $150,000,000 a year,
$100,000,000 check size.

180
00:10:10,855 --> 00:10:13,335
Only looking at one commitment a year over a 3
year period.

181
00:10:13,335 --> 00:10:16,934
You might be able to do 3 or 4 if you're able
to straddle budget years.

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00:10:16,934 --> 00:10:21,735
Conversely, you take a look at buyout, and, you
know, we were a lot more diversified on the

183
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buyout side than we were on the VC side if
we're gonna be doing those VC investments.

184
00:10:26,079 --> 00:10:33,839
It also limits the universe because, again, you
would likely have to have a minimum, fund of 3,

185
00:10:33,839 --> 00:10:41,865
4, or $500,000,000 because even though you can
be a 30% LP of a fundraise, as you know, most

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00:10:41,865 --> 00:10:44,125
GPs don't want one LP being 30%.

187
00:10:44,345 --> 00:10:51,485
So it's usually GPs don't want more than 10,
15% of a fundraise, and so that also dictates

188
00:10:52,024 --> 00:10:53,879
the fund size when you back into that.

189
00:10:54,039 --> 00:10:58,840
From a pension plan perspective, if you can't
properly diversify VC, which, you know, you

190
00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:05,179
should be diversifying, and we can get into
early stage, late stage, multistage strategies,

191
00:11:05,240 --> 00:11:12,545
and things of that nature, Is your money better
deployed, you know, to VC direct deals?

192
00:11:12,605 --> 00:11:16,845
Is it to fund to funds, or do you just
eliminate VC in general saying, I can't get

193
00:11:16,845 --> 00:11:20,465
that diversification, so maybe my money is
better spent than to buy out spectrum?

194
00:11:20,690 --> 00:11:20,850
I had

195
00:11:20,850 --> 00:11:27,110
the former CIO of Calipers, and he mentioned
that funds like Sequoia, at least historically,

196
00:11:27,169 --> 00:11:29,110
have shied away from pension funds.

197
00:11:29,169 --> 00:11:33,809
Did you come across that where venture funds
did not want to take pension fund capital?

198
00:11:33,809 --> 00:11:35,829
Is that still something that goes on today?

199
00:11:36,024 --> 00:11:39,084
I've never personally had conversation with
Sequoia.

200
00:11:39,225 --> 00:11:45,705
It is funny how much sometimes just that kind
of sentiment dictates your investable universe.

201
00:11:45,705 --> 00:11:50,980
So because I constantly was told there's no way
Sequoia would take my money, it was like, okay.

202
00:11:50,980 --> 00:11:52,980
Well, why bother reaching out to Sequoia?

203
00:11:52,980 --> 00:11:55,700
Because everyone's telling me they're not gonna
take my money.

204
00:11:55,700 --> 00:11:56,679
It could be true.

205
00:11:56,740 --> 00:11:58,019
It could be incorrect.

206
00:11:58,019 --> 00:11:59,620
It could be an antiquated thought.

207
00:11:59,620 --> 00:12:04,504
There was a GP that, you know, from our
strategy here, our perspective was that there's

208
00:12:04,504 --> 00:12:07,085
no way that they even wanna have a conversation
with us.

209
00:12:07,304 --> 00:12:09,004
And we reached out to them.

210
00:12:09,065 --> 00:12:14,345
They were excited to have the conversation with
us, and it's just something that I've I've

211
00:12:14,345 --> 00:12:17,960
learned from the past is don't don't go by
market sentiment.

212
00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:21,259
Don't go by, you know, the rumor mill and
things of that nature.

213
00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:23,399
Always talk to everybody that you can.

214
00:12:23,399 --> 00:12:27,639
Reach out to everybody, and it it'll be you
know, it could surprise you, you know, where

215
00:12:27,639 --> 00:12:29,160
that conversation could lead you.

216
00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:35,315
So to to go back to, like, Sequoia or
Andreessen or, you know, some of the other

217
00:12:35,315 --> 00:12:40,274
names out there, I can't speak to that because
I never addressed them directly just because it

218
00:12:40,274 --> 00:12:43,975
was just kinda pounded in my brain that they
weren't gonna take our capital anyway.

219
00:12:44,059 --> 00:12:46,699
But it wouldn't surprise me if they are open to
it.

220
00:12:46,699 --> 00:12:48,699
You know, I think the world has changed a
little bit.

221
00:12:48,699 --> 00:12:52,059
FOIA laws being what they are, every state is
different.

222
00:12:52,059 --> 00:12:55,579
I don't know that there's still that concern
that that information would get out there.

223
00:12:55,579 --> 00:13:01,615
I would think that the larger, GPs would want
pension plans in there because it's larger

224
00:13:01,615 --> 00:13:01,855
checks.

225
00:13:01,855 --> 00:13:05,454
Do you have a, you know, fewer LPs in your LP
base?

226
00:13:05,454 --> 00:13:09,294
On the surface, it sounds like you would want
those larger checks, but maybe the headache's

227
00:13:09,294 --> 00:13:10,095
not worth it either.

228
00:13:10,095 --> 00:13:14,809
You just spoke about some of the cons, but what
are some of the pros, and what positions

229
00:13:14,870 --> 00:13:19,690
pension funds in a powerful position to invest
into either buyout or venture capital?

230
00:13:19,830 --> 00:13:21,690
Well, first and foremost are the returns.

231
00:13:21,830 --> 00:13:22,149
You know?

232
00:13:22,149 --> 00:13:28,845
I mean, if you can get a top quartile GP on
your roster, you're gonna be super happy with

233
00:13:28,845 --> 00:13:29,985
those those returns.

234
00:13:30,285 --> 00:13:34,205
The opposite side of that is, can you cover
enough of the market to be able to identify

235
00:13:34,205 --> 00:13:35,185
those top GPs?

236
00:13:35,644 --> 00:13:37,884
And so that's where that rub ends up being.

237
00:13:37,884 --> 00:13:43,170
For me, personally, I mean, I find BC exciting
because it's, you know, very forward thinking

238
00:13:43,230 --> 00:13:43,870
asset class.

239
00:13:43,870 --> 00:13:49,149
It's a lot more forward thinking than, you
know, obviously, buyout and, some of the other

240
00:13:49,149 --> 00:13:50,110
strategies out there.

241
00:13:50,110 --> 00:13:55,950
You can certainly help fund these change agents
that are constantly finding founders that are

242
00:13:55,950 --> 00:13:57,434
changing the world for the better.

243
00:13:57,595 --> 00:14:02,394
Again, whether it's environmental, whether it's
health, whether even software, things of that

244
00:14:02,394 --> 00:14:04,154
nature is just I don't know.

245
00:14:04,154 --> 00:14:05,934
I I find it super exciting.

246
00:14:06,154 --> 00:14:09,375
You were at a pension fund, and you built out a
great venture book.

247
00:14:09,450 --> 00:14:14,330
How would you advise pension funds in 2024 to
go about building out a great venture book?

248
00:14:14,330 --> 00:14:19,370
You certainly wanna be intentional with how
you're spending your time and building that

249
00:14:19,370 --> 00:14:19,870
portfolio.

250
00:14:20,889 --> 00:14:25,004
So if you take a look historically as to the
outperforming asset classes, you know, it's

251
00:14:25,085 --> 00:14:25,725
gonna be health care.

252
00:14:25,725 --> 00:14:26,684
It's gonna be IT.

253
00:14:26,684 --> 00:14:27,825
It's gonna be financials.

254
00:14:28,205 --> 00:14:32,924
Doesn't mean that you're not exposed to
consumer or industrials or some other asset

255
00:14:32,924 --> 00:14:34,705
class within VC.

256
00:14:34,924 --> 00:14:38,684
You're likely gonna be concentrated in those
asset classes, though, because those are the

257
00:14:38,684 --> 00:14:40,544
ones that have historically driven performance.

258
00:14:41,299 --> 00:14:43,720
Then you wanna take a look at from a stage
perspective.

259
00:14:44,179 --> 00:14:47,059
You know, how much do you wanna be exposed to
early, late?

260
00:14:47,059 --> 00:14:51,720
Do you wanna leave room for GPs that invest
across strategies or across stages?

261
00:14:52,339 --> 00:14:54,360
Do you wanna be exposed to growth equity?

262
00:14:54,500 --> 00:14:59,445
The the high upside is not there for growth
equity, but, you know, you certainly have a,

263
00:14:59,445 --> 00:15:03,684
you know, a little less volatility, a lot less
volatility from a growth equity standpoint.

264
00:15:03,684 --> 00:15:08,985
So being really intentional on that portfolio
construction the way that you wanna see that

265
00:15:10,220 --> 00:15:14,480
manifested, and then you have to put in the
time to be able to meet with GPs.

266
00:15:14,539 --> 00:15:19,679
You know, that's the the the one thing that I
found difficult from a pension plan perspective

267
00:15:19,740 --> 00:15:25,745
is that, you know, from a, you know, a very
established pension plan, You have monitoring.

268
00:15:25,884 --> 00:15:30,125
You're approving capital calls and
distributions, and and you're also doing, you

269
00:15:30,125 --> 00:15:31,824
know, monthly or quarterly reporting.

270
00:15:32,605 --> 00:15:35,324
You have all these other things that are coming
into play.

271
00:15:35,324 --> 00:15:40,690
Can you cover enough of the market to be able
to identify and select the top GPs?

272
00:15:40,830 --> 00:15:44,909
You have to be intentional with that, whether
it's, you know, a dedicated in house staff,

273
00:15:44,909 --> 00:15:46,129
whether it's using consultants.

274
00:15:46,589 --> 00:15:51,250
Whatever the avenue is, don't be satisfied with
meeting performance from a VC asset class.

275
00:15:51,394 --> 00:15:53,794
And where did you find the sweet spot in terms
of your entry point?

276
00:15:53,794 --> 00:15:54,855
I would say multistage.

277
00:15:55,154 --> 00:16:01,634
So take Insight Partners or, you know, Summit
or OHCFT that are you know, they're all

278
00:16:01,634 --> 00:16:04,274
investing in early through growth equity.

279
00:16:04,274 --> 00:16:06,799
And so that's where we would spend most of our
time.

280
00:16:06,799 --> 00:16:13,279
From a pension plan standpoint, yeah, it's
difficult to do a fund one, just because of the

281
00:16:13,279 --> 00:16:18,240
underwriting internally as well as, you know,
getting that buy in from consultants.

282
00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:23,264
Some consultants will have focus on emerging
managers, and therefore, the underwriting could

283
00:16:23,264 --> 00:16:24,225
be a little bit easier.

284
00:16:24,225 --> 00:16:29,105
Other ones won't recommend any fund 1, so that
could be a difficulty doing that.

285
00:16:29,105 --> 00:16:34,019
From a buyout perspective, I had just
recommended before I left, well, in a end up

286
00:16:34,019 --> 00:16:36,340
getting passed on to someone else, but it was a
fun 2.

287
00:16:36,340 --> 00:16:43,299
And so it was very different fun 2 because you
had, you know, a really long established track

288
00:16:43,299 --> 00:16:45,240
record from a previous GP.

289
00:16:46,144 --> 00:16:51,665
You had 3 people coming together that you know,
you already had that that buy in that the team

290
00:16:51,665 --> 00:16:55,024
dynamics were really good and strong, and you
had confidence in that.

291
00:16:55,024 --> 00:16:59,504
And so those are a lot of the underwriting that
you would have difficulty from a pension plan

292
00:16:59,504 --> 00:17:02,509
perspective is just surety of team.

293
00:17:02,509 --> 00:17:08,589
You always have to kind of you know, there is
this outperformance for fund 1 dynamic out

294
00:17:08,589 --> 00:17:08,990
there.

295
00:17:08,990 --> 00:17:12,930
But what I don't think a lot of people
appreciate is that fund twos can underperform

296
00:17:13,150 --> 00:17:18,765
because you have different dynamics happening
in fund 2, before the team kinda, you know,

297
00:17:18,765 --> 00:17:22,285
wrangles together and then starts outperforming
fund 3, 4, and 5.

298
00:17:22,285 --> 00:17:23,505
What's the reason there?

299
00:17:23,565 --> 00:17:29,404
I've had some conversations with some GPs on
fund 2 as to why their performance had lagged.

300
00:17:29,404 --> 00:17:32,690
Some of the sentiment was, you know, you had
team dynamics.

301
00:17:32,750 --> 00:17:37,329
From a Fund 1 perspective, you had everybody
coming together feeling really strong, very

302
00:17:37,630 --> 00:17:42,750
motivated, and, you know, all on the same page,
and they just want to be the best that they

303
00:17:42,750 --> 00:17:43,230
can.

304
00:17:43,230 --> 00:17:44,589
And so they do that.

305
00:17:44,589 --> 00:17:45,490
They come together.

306
00:17:45,704 --> 00:17:46,845
It's a great team dynamic.

307
00:17:47,384 --> 00:17:53,964
And then 3, 4, 5 years into a firm cycle, you
start getting egos that are coming into play.

308
00:17:54,265 --> 00:17:59,865
People tend to wanna do this deal versus that
deal, or you have different dynamics that are

309
00:17:59,865 --> 00:18:04,410
happening that can pull a team apart and then
actually hurt performance.

310
00:18:04,410 --> 00:18:10,110
So what you would actually see is that from a
fund 3, there may be a revamp of the GP.

311
00:18:10,170 --> 00:18:10,490
You know?

312
00:18:10,490 --> 00:18:12,730
So one one team member may leave.

313
00:18:12,730 --> 00:18:14,009
They may add someone else.

314
00:18:14,009 --> 00:18:16,590
Those are some of the things that happen at a
fund 2.

315
00:18:17,025 --> 00:18:17,525
Absolutely.

316
00:18:17,744 --> 00:18:23,184
I've seen a lot of pension funds access first,
second, vintages through programs, through fund

317
00:18:23,184 --> 00:18:23,845
of funds.

318
00:18:23,904 --> 00:18:29,119
Did you ever consider that at Piecers in terms
of instead of writing $100,000,000 checks, you

319
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:32,720
know, being part of these programs at
different, different fund of funds or

320
00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:33,220
consultants?

321
00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:33,680
Yeah.

322
00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:34,000
Definitely.

323
00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:39,200
It was something I was taking a look at, you
know, in in my last year there was, possibly

324
00:18:39,200 --> 00:18:42,535
outsourcing 2, 2 strategies.

325
00:18:42,535 --> 00:18:44,875
1, you know, I mentioned before, small buyout.

326
00:18:45,255 --> 00:18:50,215
So sub say, sub $500,000,000 funds, I can't
access directly.

327
00:18:50,215 --> 00:18:53,494
We're certainly looking for a solution there,
and there's some really good providers out

328
00:18:53,494 --> 00:18:54,375
there that do that.

329
00:18:54,375 --> 00:18:59,809
Some have been guests on your show, And then
certainly from a VC standpoint, now Piecers

330
00:18:59,809 --> 00:19:03,809
themselves didn't have a mandate for emerging
managers or diversity or anything like that.

331
00:19:03,809 --> 00:19:08,950
It was just part of the process is that, you
know, you may allocate to emerging or diverse,

332
00:19:09,144 --> 00:19:11,944
but it wasn't, you know, a dedicated amount of
capital.

333
00:19:11,944 --> 00:19:17,545
But from a VC standpoint, again, when we talk
about, like, early stage, there are so many

334
00:19:17,545 --> 00:19:18,684
early stage VCs.

335
00:19:18,825 --> 00:19:23,224
You have the ability to cover enough in the
market to be able to select those top tier

336
00:19:23,224 --> 00:19:23,724
managers.

337
00:19:24,070 --> 00:19:25,269
We spoke last time.

338
00:19:25,269 --> 00:19:31,109
Hamilton Lane put out a chart that bifurcated
emerging versus established manager returns.

339
00:19:31,109 --> 00:19:32,070
Tell me about that.

340
00:19:32,070 --> 00:19:32,309
Yeah.

341
00:19:32,309 --> 00:19:37,690
Did you, I'm curious on on your thoughts before
I before I get too carried away.

342
00:19:37,984 --> 00:19:43,445
There's somewhat of a paradox that I found in
venture capital where there is high persistence

343
00:19:43,825 --> 00:19:44,484
on return.

344
00:19:44,785 --> 00:19:48,625
I believe there's a University of Chicago study
that showed that the persistence of top

345
00:19:48,625 --> 00:19:53,769
quartile performances roughly 5th in the
fifties percentage, statistically significant.

346
00:19:54,710 --> 00:20:00,869
The paradox there being that emerging managers
tend to be the ones that return in the top desk

347
00:20:00,869 --> 00:20:01,929
on the top 10%.

348
00:20:02,549 --> 00:20:08,255
So if you want to get top quartile, you try to
get into the very difficult to access VCs.

349
00:20:08,714 --> 00:20:11,755
But if you wanna get top decile, you do have to
take some risks.

350
00:20:11,755 --> 00:20:13,214
What have you found in your data?

351
00:20:13,275 --> 00:20:16,815
I love the data myself because it it actually
speaks to our strategy.

352
00:20:16,875 --> 00:20:20,830
So when I found that and came in my feed and
then you asked the question, I was like, shit.

353
00:20:20,830 --> 00:20:22,110
We're all on the same page here.

354
00:20:22,110 --> 00:20:23,809
So I'm I'm happy you brought it up.

355
00:20:24,110 --> 00:20:26,529
But, yeah, I mean, it's done on a IRR basis.

356
00:20:26,830 --> 00:20:28,610
I was not surprised by the volatility.

357
00:20:28,750 --> 00:20:33,710
You know, I would think that established GPs
would have less volatile returns, and so that's

358
00:20:33,710 --> 00:20:35,330
what that's that's showing there.

359
00:20:35,975 --> 00:20:40,535
But what I was surprised is is that they had
higher median and higher quartile for

360
00:20:40,535 --> 00:20:46,934
established EPs, because to your point, it's
kind of contra what what people have always

361
00:20:46,934 --> 00:20:47,434
thought.

362
00:20:47,494 --> 00:20:54,230
And I I do think that if you look at returns
from a Fund Size perspective, and and

363
00:20:54,230 --> 00:20:58,470
oftentimes, people use Fund Size as a proxy for
established or emerging because this is the

364
00:20:58,470 --> 00:21:03,990
first time I've ever seen established versus
emerging, and certainly am familiar with the

365
00:21:03,990 --> 00:21:06,250
the persistence discussions as well.

366
00:21:06,765 --> 00:21:12,525
So I I found it interesting, and it was a bit
of, you know, confirmation bias on on our end

367
00:21:12,525 --> 00:21:16,785
because, we're we're gonna be allocating to
establish as well as emerging managers.

368
00:21:17,164 --> 00:21:22,220
And so my thesis was that, you know, I would
have less volatility.

369
00:21:22,759 --> 00:21:28,919
I think selecting the best emerging managers is
tougher, and and you should be compensated for

370
00:21:28,919 --> 00:21:29,159
that.

371
00:21:29,159 --> 00:21:33,899
But if it's not necessary to your investment
thesis, why not allocate some to established

372
00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:34,460
GPs?

373
00:21:34,875 --> 00:21:39,515
After working at Piecers for 13 and a half
years, you joined as a partner for fund to fund

374
00:21:39,515 --> 00:21:40,335
called Cinefina.

375
00:21:40,714 --> 00:21:42,894
Tell me about the impetus for joining Cinefina.

376
00:21:43,674 --> 00:21:47,515
My partner and founder, Yasmin, started a firm
a couple years ago.

377
00:21:47,515 --> 00:21:53,029
And she when she left Drive Capital, what she
wanted to do was was start something that was

378
00:21:53,029 --> 00:21:54,970
focused on women in VC.

379
00:21:55,190 --> 00:22:00,789
And so what that looks like today is, you know,
having a fund to fund where we're gonna be

380
00:22:00,789 --> 00:22:04,329
dedicating capital to women led and co led VC
firms.

381
00:22:04,444 --> 00:22:08,785
We wanna make sure that the GP, proportion is
equal.

382
00:22:09,164 --> 00:22:14,704
And so if there's one woman on a 4 person GP,
that she's 25%, she's not 5%.

383
00:22:15,404 --> 00:22:20,509
And so it really started for me, if I were to
take it to to why I joined, it started for me

384
00:22:20,509 --> 00:22:21,650
when I was at Piecers.

385
00:22:21,869 --> 00:22:23,570
I had a couple different investments.

386
00:22:23,630 --> 00:22:31,410
1 was a top performing GP, and it was the first
commitment that Piecers had made to a women led

387
00:22:31,470 --> 00:22:34,205
or or co led private equity firm.

388
00:22:34,205 --> 00:22:36,144
And so I found that interesting.

389
00:22:36,205 --> 00:22:38,465
It wasn't part of the investment thesis.

390
00:22:38,525 --> 00:22:39,725
It was, hey.

391
00:22:39,725 --> 00:22:45,105
This is an awesome multistage VC growth equity
firm who happened to be led by women.

392
00:22:45,725 --> 00:22:51,240
And so that was that was the first investment
that I had made there, you know, regarding

393
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:51,559
women.

394
00:22:51,559 --> 00:22:54,539
And then a couple years later, I did an
investment with Insight.

395
00:22:54,839 --> 00:22:57,079
You had a couple of guests a couple weeks ago.

396
00:22:57,079 --> 00:23:00,375
So Insight Vision, I led our investment there.

397
00:23:00,454 --> 00:23:04,315
The thesis there was to invest in diverse and
women led GPs.

398
00:23:04,535 --> 00:23:09,414
And, again, part of that fund to fund was that
it was gonna be accessing GPs that we can't

399
00:23:09,414 --> 00:23:11,095
access because they're typically smaller.

400
00:23:11,095 --> 00:23:12,615
They're typically early stage.

401
00:23:12,615 --> 00:23:15,329
They're typically, emerging managers.

402
00:23:15,869 --> 00:23:22,349
And as I worked with underwriting that fund
level commitment, I had GP conversations, and

403
00:23:22,349 --> 00:23:24,990
then I really became enamored with the asset
class.

404
00:23:24,990 --> 00:23:30,825
From that perspective, the opportunity set, the
diversity that's embedded within the GPs, just

405
00:23:30,825 --> 00:23:32,825
the different lens that they were investing
with.

406
00:23:32,825 --> 00:23:36,845
It was something that I thought was
underutilized from an investment standpoint.

407
00:23:37,225 --> 00:23:39,404
And I was like, why not lean into diversity?

408
00:23:39,545 --> 00:23:41,404
Why not promote diversity?

409
00:23:41,865 --> 00:23:43,245
This does drive returns.

410
00:23:43,669 --> 00:23:46,009
And so it was something that I had been taking
a look into.

411
00:23:46,069 --> 00:23:51,109
And so, you know, I had a, you know,
conversations with Diaz, and it just made sense

412
00:23:51,109 --> 00:23:52,329
for us to team up.

413
00:23:52,630 --> 00:23:57,289
For somebody to qualify as as investment to
Cinefine, tell me about the criteria there.

414
00:23:57,429 --> 00:23:59,210
So it's really only one qualifier.

415
00:23:59,724 --> 00:24:02,065
The qualifier is at the GP level.

416
00:24:03,004 --> 00:24:05,644
There's proportional ownership at the GP level.

417
00:24:05,644 --> 00:24:08,924
Other than that, we'll be intentional with our
portfolio construction.

418
00:24:08,924 --> 00:24:14,309
We're gonna have, you know, a portion that's
gonna be too early, late, multistage, possibly

419
00:24:14,309 --> 00:24:16,569
growth equity if the opportunity set is there.

420
00:24:16,789 --> 00:24:21,109
We certainly wanna be investing mostly in the
US, but there are some good European

421
00:24:21,109 --> 00:24:24,009
opportunities that we find, possibly LATAM.

422
00:24:25,509 --> 00:24:26,890
But those are the only qualifications.

423
00:24:27,190 --> 00:24:33,654
We expect that half of our capital will be to
establish GPs, and the other half would be

424
00:24:34,115 --> 00:24:35,955
funds 1 through, call it, 4.

425
00:24:35,955 --> 00:24:41,140
And it the way that we take a look at that
universe is really by experience.

426
00:24:41,519 --> 00:24:46,259
And so what you're doing from an underwriting
perspective is, you know, trading qualitative

427
00:24:46,399 --> 00:24:48,259
information with quantitative data.

428
00:24:48,319 --> 00:24:52,480
And the more quantitative data you have, the
better you can get an understanding of their

429
00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:56,315
strategy, the way that they have discipline,
their investing style.

430
00:24:57,015 --> 00:25:01,414
So the more commitment you have there, and that
goes to, you know, what we're talking about

431
00:25:01,414 --> 00:25:06,694
with Hamilton Lane, I do see that there is a
different return spectrum that from that

432
00:25:06,694 --> 00:25:09,349
allocation established versus emerging, but we
definitely wanna be able to support both.

433
00:25:09,349 --> 00:25:10,710
Which vintage is the hardest?

434
00:25:10,710 --> 00:25:11,349
Fund 1,

435
00:25:11,349 --> 00:25:12,950
fund 2, fund 3?

436
00:25:12,950 --> 00:25:14,809
You know, I've been talking to people,

437
00:25:15,109 --> 00:25:18,630
and and they seem to think that fund 3 seems to
be the hardest vintage because in the current

438
00:25:18,630 --> 00:25:27,485
environment so I I would say, I would I would
lean back to that, that it's probably more fund

439
00:25:27,485 --> 00:25:34,045
3 if you don't have fund 1 DPI, because from a
fund 2 perspective, it's still just making

440
00:25:34,045 --> 00:25:34,924
sure, hey.

441
00:25:34,924 --> 00:25:36,445
You know, we'd like to fund 1.

442
00:25:36,445 --> 00:25:39,744
Let's re up in fund 2 as long as things haven't
changed.

443
00:25:40,019 --> 00:25:43,700
And they've shown that that they're gonna be
disciplined with their investing style, and

444
00:25:43,700 --> 00:25:46,420
they're doing everything that did that they
said they were gonna do.

445
00:25:46,420 --> 00:25:49,779
So from a fund 1 fundraise, you know, you're
telling LPs, hey.

446
00:25:49,779 --> 00:25:51,460
We're going to do x, y, z.

447
00:25:51,460 --> 00:25:55,785
And the reporting from them should just be, a,
we told you we're gonna do x, y, z, and this is

448
00:25:55,785 --> 00:25:56,525
what we did.

449
00:25:56,825 --> 00:25:59,805
And then if you have deviations, that's where
you end up running into trouble.

450
00:25:59,865 --> 00:26:05,545
But if you did everything that you told, you
know, your LPs, in fund 1, fund 2 raise should

451
00:26:05,545 --> 00:26:06,265
be fairly easy.

452
00:26:06,265 --> 00:26:11,279
Fund 3 is just I think in the current
environment, fund threes are tougher to raise

453
00:26:11,279 --> 00:26:12,740
just from a DPI perspective.

454
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:13,599
Absolutely.

455
00:26:13,599 --> 00:26:16,399
Similarly, could be said about, raising
venture.

456
00:26:16,399 --> 00:26:20,285
Sometimes series b could be more difficult
because series a, you could still still sell

457
00:26:20,285 --> 00:26:20,944
the story.

458
00:26:21,565 --> 00:26:28,204
You invested at at Piecers, presumably mostly
in male GPs, just statistically speaking, and

459
00:26:28,204 --> 00:26:30,144
now you focus on female GPs.

460
00:26:30,444 --> 00:26:35,460
What are the main difference between male GPs
and female GPs in terms of how they source, how

461
00:26:35,460 --> 00:26:37,380
they provide, how they generate alpha?

462
00:26:37,380 --> 00:26:41,799
Tell me a little bit about the stylistic or
qualitative differences in female GPs.

463
00:26:42,180 --> 00:26:44,980
I don't see that there's too much of a
stylistic standpoint.

464
00:26:44,980 --> 00:26:47,275
They're still going to be alpha people.

465
00:26:47,275 --> 00:26:47,595
Right?

466
00:26:47,595 --> 00:26:52,315
They're the ones that are going out there, and
they're just driven from an internal

467
00:26:52,315 --> 00:26:52,795
perspective.

468
00:26:52,795 --> 00:26:56,875
They're not at least when they they start
they're not in it for the money.

469
00:26:56,875 --> 00:26:59,595
They're not in it for, you know, the glory and
things of that nature.

470
00:26:59,595 --> 00:27:03,650
They're in it because they think that they can
outperform everyone else.

471
00:27:03,650 --> 00:27:05,269
It's a very competitive nature.

472
00:27:05,329 --> 00:27:11,009
And so they're just, you know, people out there
that have that competitive edge, and those are

473
00:27:11,009 --> 00:27:12,769
the ones that you really wanna focus on.

474
00:27:12,769 --> 00:27:14,595
They, you know, they don't give a shit what I
think.

475
00:27:14,674 --> 00:27:16,434
They're they have an investing style.

476
00:27:16,434 --> 00:27:17,474
They're moving forward.

477
00:27:17,474 --> 00:27:19,474
They're doing everything they can.

478
00:27:19,474 --> 00:27:24,595
Now when you take a look back, and, you know,
perhaps we'll we'll get into it, is from a

479
00:27:24,595 --> 00:27:30,930
different perspective, is that because that
universe of women, and this can can go into

480
00:27:31,309 --> 00:27:35,970
other diverse GPs as well because there are so
few women that when they're being promoted,

481
00:27:36,589 --> 00:27:39,710
you're almost always selecting the very best.

482
00:27:39,710 --> 00:27:45,375
And so from a counterpart standpoint, from a
typical white man, they're usually

483
00:27:45,434 --> 00:27:49,695
outperforming that typical white man because
they've had to overcome a lot of possible

484
00:27:49,755 --> 00:27:51,934
stigmas, you know, in their process.

485
00:27:52,394 --> 00:27:56,519
And so they have, for lack of a better term, a
lot of them will have a chip on their shoulder

486
00:27:56,519 --> 00:27:58,759
because they're like, I'm gonna show you.

487
00:27:58,759 --> 00:27:59,240
You know?

488
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:03,179
And so, you know, that's that's just what I'm
seeing.

489
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:09,194
But any outstanding person, you know, whether
it's sports, whether it's, you know, from a

490
00:28:09,194 --> 00:28:11,694
founder perspective, they always have that chip
on their shoulder.

491
00:28:11,755 --> 00:28:12,234
Absolutely.

492
00:28:12,234 --> 00:28:18,174
They've had to overcome more obstacles, whether
it's a person of color, immigrant, or female.

493
00:28:18,315 --> 00:28:21,755
For them to even get to the point where they
could be promoted, they have to be so

494
00:28:21,755 --> 00:28:23,934
exceptional just to just to get in the room.

495
00:28:24,230 --> 00:28:28,630
You mentioned something interesting around the
daughter effect for male GPs and LPs.

496
00:28:28,630 --> 00:28:29,609
Tell me about that.

497
00:28:29,670 --> 00:28:36,789
It was a lot of research that I'd done on bias
and, you know, researching, sent me down this

498
00:28:36,789 --> 00:28:38,295
rabbit hole, the daughter effect.

499
00:28:38,375 --> 00:28:43,335
And so I started reading articles by Siri
Chilazi from the Harvard Kennedy School.

500
00:28:43,335 --> 00:28:46,394
In her research, she often cited research from
others.

501
00:28:46,695 --> 00:28:51,255
And the daughter effect was a discussion from
Paul Kompers and Sophie Wang in a working paper

502
00:28:51,255 --> 00:28:52,075
in 2017.

503
00:28:53,410 --> 00:28:56,369
But more broadly, the daughter effect is as it
sound.

504
00:28:56,369 --> 00:29:01,890
It relates to when a man has children and what
Gompers and Wang found or what they were trying

505
00:29:01,890 --> 00:29:08,085
to study there was the impact of VC firms and
how, you know, it had a potential cascading

506
00:29:08,144 --> 00:29:08,644
effect.

507
00:29:08,865 --> 00:29:12,644
So, again, historically, VC firms have been run
by men.

508
00:29:13,025 --> 00:29:18,065
When these men have daughters, they tend to
reduce their bias towards women, leading to

509
00:29:18,065 --> 00:29:19,205
more female hires.

510
00:29:20,039 --> 00:29:25,240
Since the pool of female investors are, you
know, relatively untapped and it's a lot more

511
00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:28,380
finite, those hires tend to be of higher
quality than their male counterparts.

512
00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:34,815
That higher quality of hires leads to higher
returns because introducing people with diverse

513
00:29:34,815 --> 00:29:37,875
backgrounds reduces probability of correlated
errors.

514
00:29:38,815 --> 00:29:44,575
You have diverse backgrounds that lead to wider
deal flow, increasing the deal quality.

515
00:29:44,575 --> 00:29:50,220
I will say that they do caveat the paper by
stating that implementing, you know, blunt

516
00:29:50,220 --> 00:29:53,099
gender quotas may not have the same positive
outcomes.

517
00:29:53,099 --> 00:29:58,140
These are things that just happen through
genuine removal of bias.

518
00:29:58,140 --> 00:30:00,880
You're saying, oh, you know, I have a daughter.

519
00:30:00,940 --> 00:30:07,625
Therefore, you know, I see this whole other
avenue that is is possibly open to me, and it

520
00:30:07,625 --> 00:30:09,704
has that cascading effect that I mentioned.

521
00:30:09,704 --> 00:30:14,045
You know, some of the other bias behaviors I
was I was, you know, looking at was homophily

522
00:30:14,265 --> 00:30:17,759
or the halo effect or the, you know, the
opposite, which is the horn effect,

523
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:19,859
confirmation bias, peak, and rule.

524
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:25,920
These are all different biases that we have as
allocators when we're, speaking to, potential

525
00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:26,420
GPs.

526
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:29,299
Horn effect being the opposite of a halo
effect?

527
00:30:29,599 --> 00:30:29,839
Yeah.

528
00:30:29,839 --> 00:30:33,460
So the halo effect is you have this initial
positive impression.

529
00:30:33,519 --> 00:30:37,255
This person is just awesome whether, you know,
for whatever reason.

530
00:30:37,255 --> 00:30:41,654
The opposite is true, is that no matter you
know, certainly on a political spectrum, you

531
00:30:41,654 --> 00:30:45,255
could you could say, no matter what, this
candidate says, there's no way I'm gonna like

532
00:30:45,255 --> 00:30:45,494
them.

533
00:30:45,494 --> 00:30:46,394
It doesn't matter.

534
00:30:46,609 --> 00:30:51,410
The opposite is also true whereas you have this
wonderful effect that you know, wonderful

535
00:30:51,410 --> 00:30:51,910
impression.

536
00:30:52,130 --> 00:30:55,509
No matter what anybody says, they're not gonna
be able to sway you.

537
00:30:55,890 --> 00:30:58,450
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538
00:30:58,450 --> 00:31:01,990
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539
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541
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543
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Thank you for your support.

544
00:31:16,670 --> 00:31:18,589
Talk to me about your portfolio construction.

545
00:31:18,589 --> 00:31:22,130
You mentioned that you invest in both emerging
as well as established managers.

546
00:31:22,429 --> 00:31:24,929
How are you constructing your portfolio at
Cinefina?

547
00:31:25,390 --> 00:31:31,545
I I'm I'm pretty focused on, you know, cash
flow profiles and return profiles.

548
00:31:31,545 --> 00:31:37,224
So as you go through the modeling exercise, you
know, there are certain benefits and, to to

549
00:31:37,224 --> 00:31:38,285
each of the stages.

550
00:31:38,664 --> 00:31:44,089
And so when you're looking at that portfolio
construction, you can certainly say from a

551
00:31:44,089 --> 00:31:50,109
return perspective, I only wanna do early stage
because early stage, I had the potential to,

552
00:31:51,049 --> 00:31:52,669
you know, high upside.

553
00:31:53,049 --> 00:31:57,069
The problem with early stage is that there are
so many early stage VCs out there.

554
00:31:57,355 --> 00:31:58,734
So how can you cover that market?

555
00:31:59,034 --> 00:32:03,434
And how are you understanding, you know, what
is good, what is bad?

556
00:32:03,434 --> 00:32:11,054
And do you have the wherewithal of making
genuine, great selection from a GP perspective?

557
00:32:11,514 --> 00:32:14,679
And so when you take that into consideration,
okay.

558
00:32:14,679 --> 00:32:16,619
How can I mitigate some of those factors?

559
00:32:16,839 --> 00:32:22,440
Well, 1, you can, you know, dedicate capital to
established GPs with a longer track record.

560
00:32:22,440 --> 00:32:27,835
So that helps mitigate still allocating to
early stage, but also mitigating that with not

561
00:32:27,835 --> 00:32:32,555
doing all emerging managers because, again,
manager selection can be so tough, funds 1

562
00:32:32,555 --> 00:32:36,575
through 3, that you wanna help mitigate that
exposure as well.

563
00:32:36,795 --> 00:32:41,650
From a early or late stage, I mean, certainly,
you know, we've seen during COVID, the

564
00:32:41,650 --> 00:32:43,170
valuations have gone crazy.

565
00:32:43,170 --> 00:32:48,450
So you wanna be cognizant of your exposure to
early or late stages as well.

566
00:32:48,450 --> 00:32:51,329
Late stages GPs, you know, there's fewer a
number.

567
00:32:51,329 --> 00:32:54,390
So, again, I think you can cover the universe a
little bit easier.

568
00:32:54,769 --> 00:33:01,075
You can have a better understanding of that
investable universe and have better manager

569
00:33:01,075 --> 00:33:01,575
selection.

570
00:33:02,034 --> 00:33:07,714
And so that's the way that we kinda see the
world is we think that 40, 45% is gonna be

571
00:33:07,714 --> 00:33:09,154
dedicated to early stage.

572
00:33:09,154 --> 00:33:15,529
25 to, say, 35% is gonna be to late stage,
possibly growth equity if it's really

573
00:33:15,529 --> 00:33:18,750
compelling, and then another 25% to multistage.

574
00:33:19,289 --> 00:33:22,110
How do you think about time diversification and
vintage diversification?

575
00:33:22,674 --> 00:33:27,875
And another thing I I love talking about so
what what we would wanna do is we wanna take a

576
00:33:27,875 --> 00:33:29,654
look at a 3 year investing period.

577
00:33:29,954 --> 00:33:32,115
We don't wanna take a look at a 1 year
investing period.

578
00:33:32,115 --> 00:33:35,555
I wanna select the best GPs that are coming to
market over a 3 year period.

579
00:33:35,555 --> 00:33:44,570
So, say, 25 through 27, if in my funnel, I
wanna look at all the early stage GPs and say,

580
00:33:44,570 --> 00:33:45,049
okay.

581
00:33:45,049 --> 00:33:47,610
Who's coming to market over the next 3 years?

582
00:33:47,610 --> 00:33:54,964
And then we'll take a look at industry exposure
and have those GPs in each of those funnels.

583
00:33:54,964 --> 00:34:00,184
So we're making the best health care
investment, best IT investment, best financials

584
00:34:00,724 --> 00:34:04,505
over that 3 year period from a stage and
industry's perspective.

585
00:34:04,565 --> 00:34:10,010
So while I want vintage year diversification
and to the point that, you know, I would like

586
00:34:10,010 --> 00:34:14,570
it to be equal because I'm a very, we didn't
talk about it earlier.

587
00:34:14,570 --> 00:34:20,089
But from a VC allocation perspective, I'm very
much in belief that it needs to be an evergreen

588
00:34:20,089 --> 00:34:20,804
asset class.

589
00:34:20,885 --> 00:34:26,005
You have to dedicate a certain amount of
capital consistently to be exposed to those

590
00:34:26,005 --> 00:34:29,364
outstanding vintages because you are gonna be
exposed to bad vintages.

591
00:34:29,364 --> 00:34:34,804
And don't compound the the the issue by being
under allocated to outstanding vintages when

592
00:34:34,804 --> 00:34:36,664
you've been exposed to a bad vintage.

593
00:34:37,409 --> 00:34:42,469
So we'll try to equal weight over a 3 year
investing period to the best that we can.

594
00:34:42,609 --> 00:34:47,730
But if it means that we're overweight 1 vintage
year because we're selecting the best GP and

595
00:34:47,730 --> 00:34:50,710
that vintage, then we'll we'll make that
decision.

596
00:34:50,994 --> 00:34:55,554
Presumably, if your investment period is 3
years and then VC's investment period is, let's

597
00:34:55,554 --> 00:34:58,614
say, 3 years, then you're really getting
exposure to 5 vintages.

598
00:34:59,155 --> 00:35:02,355
Because year 3, you're getting exposure to year
4 year 5.

599
00:35:02,355 --> 00:35:03,315
You're absolutely right.

600
00:35:03,315 --> 00:35:08,769
I mean, we're gonna be exposed for, you know,
25 through, you know, what, 29, 30.

601
00:35:09,070 --> 00:35:14,289
And so from a deal level perspective, we're
we're gonna have a good chunk of allocation

602
00:35:14,430 --> 00:35:16,449
diversification from a vintage year standpoint.

603
00:35:16,910 --> 00:35:19,875
You spent 13 and a half years at PCERS.

604
00:35:19,875 --> 00:35:22,855
What did you wish you knew beef when you've
started in year 1?

605
00:35:23,155 --> 00:35:23,954
That's a good question.

606
00:35:23,954 --> 00:35:27,735
You know, I think how challenging it could be
working with different constituents.

607
00:35:28,114 --> 00:35:31,099
So we didn't get to talk to it too much.

608
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:37,160
But, you know, you're dealing with not only
staff and the different levels there, but

609
00:35:37,160 --> 00:35:38,539
you're also dealing with consultants.

610
00:35:38,840 --> 00:35:40,360
You're dealing with the board.

611
00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:43,944
And a lot of times, you know, you're not
dealing with them directly, but you could be

612
00:35:43,944 --> 00:35:47,704
dealing with, you know, the public as well
through press or something like that.

613
00:35:47,704 --> 00:35:52,424
So there's a lot of potential, things that can
get in your head over the long term.

614
00:35:52,424 --> 00:35:56,744
It's typically not any one issue that isn't is
is a big problem.

615
00:35:56,744 --> 00:36:02,380
But over the long term, those micro issues
could just say, you know, my quality of life

616
00:36:02,380 --> 00:36:04,559
may be better off spent somewhere else.

617
00:36:04,940 --> 00:36:10,539
If you had to remove one friction as working
out of pension funds and constituents check

618
00:36:10,539 --> 00:36:14,664
sizes, what what friction would lead to higher
returns for the asset class?

619
00:36:15,204 --> 00:36:21,605
From a sourcing perspective, the way that most
pension plans source their investments are

620
00:36:21,605 --> 00:36:26,940
through, like, what we had, which was if we had
the relationship, we would manage to re up.

621
00:36:27,099 --> 00:36:32,059
If we had, you know, recommendation, we were
the ones that end up monitoring that

622
00:36:32,059 --> 00:36:32,559
recommendation.

623
00:36:32,619 --> 00:36:36,319
I think, actually and I I've talked to some
pension plans that do this.

624
00:36:36,380 --> 00:36:41,015
They will have a separate sourcing and
recommendation team than they do have for a

625
00:36:41,015 --> 00:36:46,215
monitoring team because you do have a lot of
from a monitoring perspective, you could be too

626
00:36:46,215 --> 00:36:47,434
in love with the GP.

627
00:36:47,494 --> 00:36:48,954
You have that close relationship.

628
00:36:50,135 --> 00:36:52,199
You can have conflicts of interest there.

629
00:36:52,280 --> 00:36:57,159
I think having a different sourcing team that
is you know, you would have to take a look at

630
00:36:57,159 --> 00:37:03,179
that structure, because I'm not a big proponent
of pension plans that give bonuses to their

631
00:37:03,320 --> 00:37:07,525
staff as well, because I think it's difficult
to be able to incentivize staff in the short

632
00:37:07,525 --> 00:37:09,204
term with a long term asset class.

633
00:37:09,204 --> 00:37:13,525
You know, 1 year return doesn't necessarily
mean that you're doing a great job just because

634
00:37:13,525 --> 00:37:16,744
the market has gone up or down and,
commercially, a bad job.

635
00:37:16,965 --> 00:37:21,859
But, you know, separating out the sourcing and
recommendation team from monitoring team, I

636
00:37:21,859 --> 00:37:23,320
think, would add a lot of value.

637
00:37:23,699 --> 00:37:28,500
Just to double click on that, is that there's a
bias to advocate for your own fund even if it

638
00:37:28,500 --> 00:37:30,434
may or may not still be a great fund?

639
00:37:31,074 --> 00:37:31,574
Absolutely.

640
00:37:31,954 --> 00:37:32,275
No.

641
00:37:32,275 --> 00:37:33,974
There absolutely is that possibility.

642
00:37:34,114 --> 00:37:34,515
You know?

643
00:37:34,515 --> 00:37:35,494
We're all humans.

644
00:37:35,795 --> 00:37:43,635
And while I'm doing the best I can right now to
eliminate or at least be aware of my bias, not

645
00:37:43,635 --> 00:37:45,655
all people out there do the same.

646
00:37:45,929 --> 00:37:49,789
How were you evaluated as a portfolio manager
for private equity?

647
00:37:49,929 --> 00:37:54,190
Talk to me about how PCERS would go about
evaluating how well of a job you were doing.

648
00:37:54,250 --> 00:37:55,550
Well, it was done internally.

649
00:37:55,769 --> 00:38:01,914
It just like any, any other structure, you have
an annual evaluation by your immediate

650
00:38:02,055 --> 00:38:02,555
supervisor.

651
00:38:03,015 --> 00:38:04,555
So it was done from that perspective.

652
00:38:04,855 --> 00:38:10,055
The annual increase was actually done based on
the fund total fund performance.

653
00:38:10,055 --> 00:38:14,750
So it was kind of, again, market driven than,
you know, more than anything else.

654
00:38:14,750 --> 00:38:16,449
TVPI, earmarks.

655
00:38:18,510 --> 00:38:18,829
No.

656
00:38:18,829 --> 00:38:23,150
I mean, I I think that would be probably a
better way, but you would have to do it over

657
00:38:23,150 --> 00:38:23,630
the long term.

658
00:38:23,630 --> 00:38:28,144
But, no, the annual was just done on, you know,
what was the total fund return from a

659
00:38:28,144 --> 00:38:30,724
performance perspective that was done by the
general consultant.

660
00:38:31,184 --> 00:38:35,505
Is it similar to how GPs have their own
attributable track record where you had your

661
00:38:35,505 --> 00:38:40,300
attributable track record in the funds that you
sourced, or was there more of a pooled return?

662
00:38:40,300 --> 00:38:44,780
Well, again, yeah, the the private equity team
didn't have a separate compensation structure.

663
00:38:44,780 --> 00:38:48,380
It was the entire investment team, so it was
based on the entire fund.

664
00:38:48,380 --> 00:38:52,480
So, you know, you would certainly make your
case to your supervisor.

665
00:38:52,940 --> 00:38:57,224
I've done x y z over the past 12 months, and,
you know, that would turn into, you know,

666
00:38:57,224 --> 00:39:02,445
whether you were on par with everybody else or
if you exceeded expectations or whatever the

667
00:39:03,864 --> 00:39:05,864
the, the structure was there.

668
00:39:05,864 --> 00:39:11,150
But, yeah, I mean, the the compensation was
just completely differentiated from, you know,

669
00:39:11,150 --> 00:39:14,210
your actual performance, which I I found
difficult.

670
00:39:14,510 --> 00:39:18,829
What would you like our listeners to know about
you, about, or anything else you'd like to

671
00:39:18,829 --> 00:39:19,755
shine a light on?

672
00:39:19,835 --> 00:39:23,355
You know, we're here to to be value accretive
to the VC Universe.

673
00:39:23,355 --> 00:39:27,134
So, hopefully, you know, if you're a GP or an
LP, we're certainly welcome to conversation.

674
00:39:27,194 --> 00:39:28,414
Take a look at our website.

675
00:39:29,194 --> 00:39:33,275
What we're trying to do is cover the entire
women led and co led universe.

676
00:39:33,275 --> 00:39:37,819
So we have a page now that is listing every GP
that we've spoken to.

677
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:41,880
So now that's over 200 GPs so far this year,
and it will continue to grow.

678
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:47,099
So if you have a focus on women led or co led
VC firms, you're not sure where to even

679
00:39:47,494 --> 00:39:50,074
identify who they are, certainly welcome a
conversation.

680
00:39:50,454 --> 00:39:53,675
Always love diversity of thought and and
everybody's perspective.

681
00:39:53,894 --> 00:39:55,255
Thanks for taking the time to chat.

682
00:39:55,255 --> 00:39:56,775
Look forward to sitting down very soon.

683
00:39:56,775 --> 00:39:57,515
Thanks, David.

684
00:39:57,815 --> 00:39:59,115
Appreciate you having me.

685
00:40:00,376 --> 00:40:04,475
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