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Oct. 1, 2024

E99: How to Pick Top Decile Venture GP’s

E99: How to Pick Top Decile Venture GP’s
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Albert Azout, Managing Partner at Level Ventures sits down with David Weisburd to discuss how to spot unicorn founders early in Venture Capital, what separates great fund managers from the rest, and digging deep into the role of data in unpacking venture fund performance.

The 10X Capital Podcast is part of the Turpentine podcast network. Learn more: turpentine.co

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X / Twitter: @dweisburd (David Weisburd) @levelvc (Level Ventures)

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LinkedIn: Level Ventures: https://www.linkedin.com/company/level-ventures/ Albert Azout: https://www.linkedin.com/in/albertazout/ David Weisburd: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dweisburd/

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Links: Level Ventures: https://levelvc.com/

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Questions or topics you want us to discuss on The 10X Capital Podcast? Email us at david@10xcapital.com

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(0:00) Episode Preview (1:39) Data-driven approach to investing and predicting top-performing managers (3:20) Building social capital and early investment indicators (4:38) Follow-on investments, market timing, and macro factors (6:33) Ownership strategies and discipline in seed investments (8:13) Offensive strategy and value-add for GPs (10:18) Evolution of Level VC's value-add approach (13:16) Flywheel effect in investment networks (14:31) Learnings from Coda Capital and systematic sourcing (16:03) Recognizing great founders and contextual quality of GPs (17:07) Fund size control, co-investing, and portfolio construction (20:28) Collaboration, differentiation, and venture capital insights (22:11) Closing remarks
Transcript
1
00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,319
We really look for at the end of the day is is
a flywheel.

2
00:00:02,319 --> 00:00:07,120
You know, what is it about the investing
behavior of the manager such that as they have

3
00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:08,820
more success, they're likely to get more
success?

4
00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:10,800
And I think that comes in a variety of
different forms.

5
00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:12,580
You know, one form is just specialization.

6
00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:16,765
If you have access to a particular network, you
know, like SpaceX founders or aerospace

7
00:00:16,765 --> 00:00:20,285
founders, etcetera, you're gonna develop an
expertise and a network that's very beneficial

8
00:00:20,285 --> 00:00:21,164
to the next founder.

9
00:00:21,164 --> 00:00:24,765
There's definitely a huge bifurcation in the
market in terms of, like, super high quality

10
00:00:24,765 --> 00:00:25,404
and the rest.

11
00:00:25,404 --> 00:00:26,605
It really starts with access.

12
00:00:26,605 --> 00:00:30,269
Because if you're able to detect and really
understand what does a great founder look like,

13
00:00:30,269 --> 00:00:32,609
that's a repetitive motion that will compound.

14
00:00:32,989 --> 00:00:37,549
I use a baseball analogy where you have single
a, which is the lowest league, double a, triple

15
00:00:37,549 --> 00:00:38,929
a, and then you have major leagues.

16
00:00:39,309 --> 00:00:43,949
And a player could be very good at single a or
double a and can be completely crushed at the

17
00:00:43,949 --> 00:00:46,364
major league in terms of fund size and round.

18
00:00:46,364 --> 00:00:52,204
And writing at 25 or a 100 or 250 k pre seed
check is very different than trying to lead a

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00:00:52,204 --> 00:00:54,784
series a where you're competing against the
multistage firms.

20
00:00:54,924 --> 00:00:58,684
I think the most interesting for a fund to
funds investor that's focused also on co

21
00:00:58,684 --> 00:00:59,905
investing is

22
00:01:06,799 --> 00:01:08,239
Albert, I've been excited to chat.

23
00:01:08,239 --> 00:01:09,780
Welcome to the Tonnex Capital podcast.

24
00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:11,140
Thank you for having me.

25
00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:12,079
Thanks for jumping on.

26
00:01:12,079 --> 00:01:14,079
So you are cofounder of Level VC.

27
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What is Level VC?

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Level VC is a next generation fund to funds.

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We focus on building a platform for emerging
VCs, which, for us, means funds in our early

30
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iterations focused on funds 1, 2, 3 mostly.

31
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Funds are all pre seed and seed, typically
under a 100,000,000 fund target sizes.

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00:01:31,270 --> 00:01:34,310
So we have a strategy of fund the funds that
invests and backs those managers.

33
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Then we also have a co invest strategy that
invests with managers in breakout companies as

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they get to Series B and beyond.

35
00:01:39,989 --> 00:01:42,469
You guys have a pretty substantive data set.

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What does your data set say in regards to
investing in GPs?

37
00:01:45,625 --> 00:01:45,784
Yeah.

38
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So we have a you know, we collect data from a
lot of different sources.

39
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We look at private market data.

40
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We have our own data sources that we get as
well.

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We have millions of profiles of people, you
know, business filings.

42
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We have scientific journals, a few other
different sources.

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And we try to really understand are the
networks that are forming and evolving within

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Venture.

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We believe a lot of the quality and centrality
of GPs in their relative networks is a strong

46
00:02:06,599 --> 00:02:07,899
indicator of future performance.

47
00:02:07,959 --> 00:02:11,719
And given that, you know, these networks are so
dynamic, really trying to understand where

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managers are positioned enables us to to have a
view on whether the manager will be, in a place

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where they'll, you know, sort of outperform.

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And since the part of the market that we're
operating in, you know, typically, fund manager

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is a sort of high dispersion of performance,
you know, and and sort of smaller funds are

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riskier in a way, but there's the potential for
outlier performance.

53
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And so what we try to really, you know, predict
and understand is who being the top decile or

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top, you know, ventile or performance, you
know, leveraging data, but also a lot of

55
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qualitative work that we do on top of that.

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When you look at these networks, are you
focused on depth?

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Are you focused on breadth?

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What we do is we reconstruct the networks based
on the data that we're getting, whether it's

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deal streams, essentially transactions between
investors, or whether it's talent investments

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into founders' talent joining the company.

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And really, there's a lot of ways to succeed
with networks.

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What we do find is that having social capital
and having long, durable relationships within

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the right circles is is actually a strong
indicator of performance.

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And what we try to understand is, like, how
that behavior takes place given the deal

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streams that we're seeing.

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In our networks, you know, there's not only
just the relationship between people, but

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there's also the notion of direction and the
notion of strength.

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And it's continuously changing based on the
data that comes in when we see, you know,

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terabytes of data.

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Say social capital, how does a manager go about
building social capital?

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You know, it's what we find, interestingly
enough, especially as a young manager, that you

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can you can tell a lot by the first few
investments that they make.

73
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And, of course, like, a priority, we don't know
if we don't have data.

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But, you know, as we start to see the investing
behavior unfold, we can quickly get a sense

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for, where they're situated in the network.

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It's not to say that's the only thing that
matters, but it's it's a really strong

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indicator retroactively in terms of what
they're what they're doing and where they're

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sort of placed in the network.

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And so we use that information to then, you
know, essentially get a sense for where they're

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gonna be in the future performance.

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As you go on venture, things are very path
dependent.

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And so where you start on the network, whether,
let's say, you're an operator that spun out to

83
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build a business and you have a network there,
or whether you're an angel turned sort of fund

84
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manager, or whether you're a GP at a large
firm.

85
00:03:58,729 --> 00:04:02,009
And so a lot is already embedded in in what
you've been doing and the networks you have.

86
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And so we just try to understand what's
actually happening under underneath the

87
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surface.

88
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You could tell a lot from the first couple of
investments.

89
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What are what are you looking for in the first
couple of investments?

90
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Even with the first couple of investments, we
we'll have a strong indicator as to the access

91
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to both, you know, the co investor pools.

92
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Are they creating signal for other co
investors?

93
00:04:17,654 --> 00:04:20,555
Or what are the co investors either before them
or sort of in the same syndicate?

94
00:04:20,939 --> 00:04:23,980
But, also, what is the access to to talent
networks that they have?

95
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It's a signal for us.

96
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You know, of course, like, as we have more
data, we have more certainty.

97
00:04:27,340 --> 00:04:31,259
But if you're trying to, essentially, find
managers, discover things before others or

98
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maybe things that others have not seen, it's
important for us to get an early signal as soon

99
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as possible in the dataset.

100
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And we can do that with a few investments.

101
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How do you look at follow on?

102
00:04:39,384 --> 00:04:42,204
How should emerging managers look at follow on
their portfolio?

103
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Yeah.

104
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So we we get that question a lot.

105
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And I think, most people have an answer, like,
oh, we should do this much follow on or this

106
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many reserves.

107
00:04:47,785 --> 00:04:50,939
I actually believe it's dependent on time and
where we are in the market.

108
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And there are markets where, you know, the time
between financing is slow and you need to allow

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your companies to mature a bit.

110
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And there's the ability to take more ownership
in companies preemptively before there's a

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financing or before they hit sort of a
milestone that that's sort of you got proper

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price discovery.

113
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So I actually think it depends on the market
and then sort of what's happening.

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These days, given that the time between
financings is increasing and sort of the

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graduation rates have declined so much, I think
it's important for, you know, for managers to

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have a good amount of reserves.

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Because a lot of times, companies just need
more time to to hit milestones.

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And since managers have such an asymmetry of
information, they can kinda get a sense for,

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you know, for who can break out relative to the
progress that they have.

120
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So I think it really depends on the
environment, the market environment, and

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whether you wanna be sort of more offensive or
defensive.

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But in this environment, I think it's important
to have a good amount of reserves.

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So there's a macro factor in terms of follow
on.

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Is there a macro factor as it relates to
portfolio construction?

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I think so.

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I mean, we we like, sort of our preference for
portfolio construction is we don't want a

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portfolio that's too concentrated, and we don't
want one that's, sort of, too market beta.

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So we think there's an optimal size between
somewhere between 20 40 companies depending on

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the strategy.

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I think what really matters though is, just
given the outlier nature of outcomes in

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venture, you want to make sure that the
relative ownership that you have in the

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companies is such that, you know, obviously,
should 1 b break out, you get multiples of

133
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performance on the fund, multiple turns of the
fund.

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And so there is, like, an optimal ratio between
ownership and, sort of, fund size that needs to

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be maintained.

136
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And of course, in environments where there's,
you know, better valuations, you can spread out

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a little bit wider and have more bets.

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But what we've seen in seed and pre seed is,
like, valuations have maintained they're pretty

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healthy, and they stay pretty healthy even
though deal counts have gone down sufficiently.

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And so I I I think you just need to have a
portfolio that's sort of wide enough that you

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have enough, you know, shots at bat and not too
concentrated that you're, sort of, you know,

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overexposed to just uncertainty.

143
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In terms of the relationship of ownership
versus fund size, give me specifics on what

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you're looking for.

145
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It's more of a rule rule of thumb.

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We wanna make sure that should a company in the
portfolio, a single company, become a breakout,

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you know, let's say over a 1,000,000,000 or so
in valuation, you know, also given what we

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00:06:47,870 --> 00:06:50,750
expect to have, you know, in terms of dilution,
either a pre seed receipt, we have some

149
00:06:50,750 --> 00:06:55,089
dilution expectations, etcetera, that it should
return at least, you know, 1 and a half x 1 to

150
00:06:55,089 --> 00:06:59,884
1 and a half x of the fund, you know, with some
notion of recycling, which actually is a is a

151
00:06:59,884 --> 00:07:00,524
very high bar.

152
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And so you you wanna make sure that that the
ownership is is there in the companies.

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00:07:03,964 --> 00:07:07,084
And I think in order to have really good
ownership, you either need to be, you know, be

154
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there first and lock in price and sort of not
get out for selection, or you have to be very

155
00:07:11,459 --> 00:07:13,220
disciplined just generally in the market.

156
00:07:13,220 --> 00:07:16,740
And there's a lot to say about you know, when
we look at the fund managers, whether they've

157
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had pricing power over time.

158
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It's one of the metrics that we track.

159
00:07:19,219 --> 00:07:21,939
You know, whether, like, over time, there's
been sort of a notion of pricing power or

160
00:07:21,939 --> 00:07:23,985
whether it's just been sort of market beta.

161
00:07:24,144 --> 00:07:29,104
Do you fall into the camp that one should be
very disciplined at seed, or are you more like

162
00:07:29,104 --> 00:07:30,004
a hot company?

163
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If it's a good company, you should pay up.

164
00:07:31,985 --> 00:07:35,425
There's a brand value to being part of really
great company stories, and I think that that

165
00:07:35,425 --> 00:07:38,279
sort of translates into recurring social in
that space.

166
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There's a lot of benefits that are not
necessarily returns benefits to being into

167
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really great companies.

168
00:07:42,199 --> 00:07:44,279
And I think that has to be considered,
especially in a fund one.

169
00:07:44,279 --> 00:07:47,079
And we've seen that many, many times, and I
think it's it's very useful.

170
00:07:47,079 --> 00:07:50,919
I do think there's a point at which valuations
are no longer feasible, and there's prospective

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00:07:50,919 --> 00:07:53,535
returns that are just gonna damage your ability
to raise capital downstream.

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And we have a $151 pre money valuation or a
$100,000,000 pre money valuation.

173
00:07:57,455 --> 00:07:58,975
You know, the story is no longer accessed.

174
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It's more about, you know, you got into a deal
at a very high price.

175
00:08:01,134 --> 00:08:02,435
It doesn't really tell the story.

176
00:08:02,495 --> 00:08:03,855
But I think there's there's benefit.

177
00:08:03,855 --> 00:08:07,935
There's social capital benefit to getting into
really great companies early that may be a

178
00:08:07,935 --> 00:08:09,149
little bit more high priced.

179
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But generally speaking, the returns come from,
you know, sort of good discipline in investing.

180
00:08:13,069 --> 00:08:16,589
You want your fund managers to be offensive
when it comes to seed extension, a bit of a

181
00:08:16,589 --> 00:08:17,709
contrarian view.

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Why is that?

183
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Most of what we do here in in the firm is is
focused around technical risk versus go to

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00:08:22,669 --> 00:08:23,444
market risk.

185
00:08:23,524 --> 00:08:27,365
So they sent out a lot of the dollars go to r
and d and sort of executing, against sort of r

186
00:08:27,365 --> 00:08:28,185
and d milestones.

187
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And typically, we're in markets that are
really, really, really large.

188
00:08:30,964 --> 00:08:34,644
And so it it happens, you know, generally
speaking with, you know, more complex

189
00:08:34,644 --> 00:08:38,644
businesses that it takes you know, it's hard to
predict when certain technical milestones will

190
00:08:38,644 --> 00:08:39,090
be hit.

191
00:08:39,250 --> 00:08:42,850
But there's an asymmetry of information that
the manager has as to what it'll take, you

192
00:08:42,850 --> 00:08:45,410
know, as the company progresses to hit those
milestones.

193
00:08:45,410 --> 00:08:49,090
And so, you know, if if you believe that, you
know, it's it's a 6 month or or 1 year time

194
00:08:49,090 --> 00:08:53,490
frame that they need, then there's a benefit to
taking more ownership at at typically a similar

195
00:08:53,490 --> 00:08:55,544
price before, sort of, a big inflection.

196
00:08:56,084 --> 00:08:58,084
And that's what I mean by by being more
offensive.

197
00:08:58,084 --> 00:09:00,964
And, of course, there's situations where
companies break out and, you know, there's

198
00:09:00,964 --> 00:09:01,705
price discovery.

199
00:09:01,924 --> 00:09:04,565
And there, you just wanna, kind of, like,
maintain your your ownership.

200
00:09:04,565 --> 00:09:08,024
But the offensive situations are ones in which
you can really have asymmetric returns.

201
00:09:08,220 --> 00:09:09,740
How do you add value to your GPs?

202
00:09:09,740 --> 00:09:12,159
We're focused on technology as as the value
add.

203
00:09:12,379 --> 00:09:16,620
We've, you know, collected a very, very large
scale dataset, which, you know, is is complex

204
00:09:16,620 --> 00:09:21,695
to do because, you know, you have to take in
very noisy datasets that are very heterogeneous

205
00:09:21,754 --> 00:09:23,995
and be able to map them, map entities and
things like that.

206
00:09:23,995 --> 00:09:26,815
And these are very hard problems that I guess
few people have solved.

207
00:09:27,195 --> 00:09:31,034
And so with that, we do a lot of analytics on
top of it and just try to understand talent,

208
00:09:31,195 --> 00:09:32,894
you know, trying to understand investors.

209
00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:37,639
And so what we've been doing with, with GPs is,
you know, either they'll send us like an ad hoc

210
00:09:37,639 --> 00:09:40,600
data request, like we want to track this
company, what are the best engineers that are

211
00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:41,100
leaving?

212
00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:42,620
We get those all the time.

213
00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,240
Or we can enrich existing workflows that they
have.

214
00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:49,125
So if, for example, they're getting a lot of
inbound and, you know, in in their pipeline and

215
00:09:49,125 --> 00:09:52,804
they wanna be able to, you know, understand
what's high quality in that sort of inbound,

216
00:09:52,804 --> 00:09:54,424
then we can do, like, that kind of enrichment.

217
00:09:54,884 --> 00:09:58,245
And then there's a slew of other things that we
can provide for them including, like, tracking,

218
00:09:58,245 --> 00:10:02,690
like, open source, GitHub repositories for
interesting projects that are taking off or

219
00:10:02,690 --> 00:10:06,149
maybe research labs that are that are sort of
developing interesting highly cited research.

220
00:10:06,289 --> 00:10:07,649
So it depends on what they need.

221
00:10:07,809 --> 00:10:11,730
But what we try to do at the onset is
understand the infrastructure they have, where

222
00:10:11,730 --> 00:10:13,990
they are in their journey of, like, it's sort
of being data driven.

223
00:10:14,054 --> 00:10:18,394
And then we have a process by which we, we sort
of unpack that and see where we can add value.

224
00:10:18,455 --> 00:10:22,554
How has your value add evolved since you
started in Jan 2021?

225
00:10:23,414 --> 00:10:23,495
Yeah.

226
00:10:23,495 --> 00:10:25,654
I just think, you know, when we first started,
we were new to the business.

227
00:10:25,654 --> 00:10:30,039
We had to learn a lot as well ourselves, and
sort of understand the nuances of what, you

228
00:10:30,039 --> 00:10:32,700
know, GPs need and and where we can
differentiate.

229
00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:36,539
You know, at the end of the day, like, we wanna
be able to get access to constrained

230
00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:40,700
opportunities in the best GPs, you know, in the
top quintile of of ECs.

231
00:10:40,924 --> 00:10:42,524
And so we've evolved over time as to that.

232
00:10:42,524 --> 00:10:46,845
But what we found was, like, the we wanna align
our own investing process instead of what we

233
00:10:46,845 --> 00:10:50,524
build in terms of the capabilities and value
that we have for ourselves with what we can

234
00:10:50,524 --> 00:10:51,745
offer others.

235
00:10:51,964 --> 00:10:57,889
And so a lot of that has been just ex
exploring, things around data and ways in which

236
00:10:57,889 --> 00:11:03,889
we can give, managers, an opportunity to
augment and to have a sense for things that

237
00:11:03,889 --> 00:11:04,850
they may not see.

238
00:11:04,850 --> 00:11:07,250
If they needed our help sourcing, that's
obviously adverse selection.

239
00:11:07,250 --> 00:11:11,684
But what we can do is given a particular
sourcing motion, you know, how do we unlock or

240
00:11:11,684 --> 00:11:14,825
or give them enough coverage such that they can
see they can see everything?

241
00:11:14,884 --> 00:11:19,365
The best LPs have a sandbox that they like to
play and know exactly what kind of fund they're

242
00:11:19,365 --> 00:11:19,845
looking for.

243
00:11:19,845 --> 00:11:21,285
What are you exactly looking for?

244
00:11:21,285 --> 00:11:23,684
Everything we do is typically under a
100,000,000 in fund target sizes.

245
00:11:23,684 --> 00:11:26,466
So I think the the small fund itself is a big
thing.

246
00:11:26,466 --> 00:11:27,789
You know, like, your fund size is your strategy
sort of mantra.

247
00:11:27,789 --> 00:11:29,070
I think that's important to us.

248
00:11:29,070 --> 00:11:30,929
We do believe in small funds generally.

249
00:11:30,990 --> 00:11:35,309
We we like early VCs, young ones, in terms of,
like, their where they're on their life cycle.

250
00:11:35,309 --> 00:11:40,225
So funds 1, 2, 3 versus sort of, you know, sort
of more established firms Within that bucket,

251
00:11:40,225 --> 00:11:42,544
what we really look for at the end of the day
is is a flywheel.

252
00:11:42,544 --> 00:11:47,584
You know, what is it about the, investing
behavior of the managers such that as they make

253
00:11:47,584 --> 00:11:50,164
more investments, they're more likely to, you
know, to make better investments?

254
00:11:50,225 --> 00:11:53,129
Meaning that, you know, as as they have more
success, they're likely to get more success.

255
00:11:53,289 --> 00:11:55,230
And I think that comes in a variety of
different forms.

256
00:11:55,769 --> 00:11:57,470
You know, one form is just specialization.

257
00:11:58,250 --> 00:12:02,649
If you have access to a particular network, you
know, like SpaceX founders or, you know,

258
00:12:02,649 --> 00:12:06,250
aerospace founders, etcetera, you're gonna
develop an expertise that's in a network that's

259
00:12:06,250 --> 00:12:07,754
very beneficial to the next founder.

260
00:12:07,754 --> 00:12:08,235
There's others.

261
00:12:08,235 --> 00:12:10,174
You know, there's sometimes it's just community
centric.

262
00:12:10,475 --> 00:12:15,595
You know, you have, a community of individuals
that are maybe, like, top engineers or you have

263
00:12:15,595 --> 00:12:20,154
sort of next you know, sort of a way of
accessing, a set of people that's unique, that

264
00:12:20,154 --> 00:12:21,195
sort of scales over time.

265
00:12:21,195 --> 00:12:22,720
And We have that with some of our funds.

266
00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,919
But we look for that flywheel because what we
don't want is just, you know, you've done these

267
00:12:25,919 --> 00:12:29,279
deals, but then you can't replicate the same
activity in the next, you know, cohort of

268
00:12:29,279 --> 00:12:29,759
deals.

269
00:12:29,759 --> 00:12:32,240
And so that's something that we look for sort
of intuitively in the firms.

270
00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:35,360
And then on top of that, you know, we do a lot
of work on studying the portfolios that they've

271
00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:38,404
been investing in, studying the the founder
set, studying the philosophy.

272
00:12:39,024 --> 00:12:42,644
You know, we do want to make sure that the GPs
have an investment philosophy.

273
00:12:42,785 --> 00:12:46,144
You know, because a lot of them do deals, but
not all of them have sort of an overarching

274
00:12:46,144 --> 00:12:46,644
philosophy.

275
00:12:46,785 --> 00:12:49,764
Because you can't always determine success by
outcomes.

276
00:12:49,825 --> 00:12:50,909
It's really by process.

277
00:12:51,149 --> 00:12:54,029
And so we do a lot of work on understanding,
like, you know, the philosophy and how they

278
00:12:54,029 --> 00:12:58,209
think about underwriting and markets and
thematic areas if they have original thought.

279
00:12:58,829 --> 00:13:01,549
You mentioned the flywheel in funds.

280
00:13:01,549 --> 00:13:05,684
Just to unpack that, you're essentially saying
that to use your example, you have a former

281
00:13:05,684 --> 00:13:07,225
SpaceX engineer.

282
00:13:07,605 --> 00:13:09,865
He or she spends all of his time in space
technology.

283
00:13:10,164 --> 00:13:14,644
He or she gets deal flow from space technology,
which makes them better investors and

284
00:13:14,644 --> 00:13:15,125
continues.

285
00:13:15,125 --> 00:13:16,644
That's the flywheel that you're talking about.

286
00:13:16,644 --> 00:13:17,945
It goes back to to networks.

287
00:13:18,049 --> 00:13:21,970
You know, typically, in networks, generally
speaking, and in economies, there's this

288
00:13:22,049 --> 00:13:23,990
there's notion of increasing return.

289
00:13:24,049 --> 00:13:27,569
And there's these positive feedback loops that
occur in the economy, which is why you have

290
00:13:27,569 --> 00:13:30,945
these sort of extreme behaviors in terms of
market prices and things like that.

291
00:13:31,184 --> 00:13:32,865
And networks form in a similar fashion.

292
00:13:32,865 --> 00:13:36,705
So you you have this this notion of sort of the
rich get richer over time.

293
00:13:36,705 --> 00:13:41,105
And what we look for in that flywheel is if if
you're able to access a network that as you

294
00:13:41,105 --> 00:13:44,245
access that network, you're more likely to
access that network even deeper.

295
00:13:44,470 --> 00:13:45,990
That's what we're looking for is that sort of
behavior.

296
00:13:45,990 --> 00:13:47,529
It's it's somewhat nuanced.

297
00:13:47,750 --> 00:13:51,429
But at the end of the day, we're looking for
this sort of increasing returns as they start

298
00:13:51,429 --> 00:13:54,629
investing versus just having, you know, a bunch
of deals that don't they don't look like

299
00:13:54,629 --> 00:13:55,669
there's an order to them.

300
00:13:55,669 --> 00:13:55,909
Yeah.

301
00:13:55,909 --> 00:13:59,184
Something that I see over and over, the most
successful, the top 0.01%.

302
00:13:59,324 --> 00:14:01,644
They just continue to compound their benefits.

303
00:14:01,644 --> 00:14:01,884
Exactly.

304
00:14:01,884 --> 00:14:02,284
And it's Yeah.

305
00:14:02,284 --> 00:14:03,084
It's a company benefits.

306
00:14:03,084 --> 00:14:08,044
And it's one of those things that sounds easy,
but is a difficult in practice, and you have to

307
00:14:08,044 --> 00:14:09,664
say no to a lot of things as well.

308
00:14:10,044 --> 00:14:12,684
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309
00:14:12,684 --> 00:14:16,476
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310
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311
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312
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313
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314
00:14:29,134 --> 00:14:30,735
Thank you for your support.

315
00:14:30,735 --> 00:14:32,735
You spent four and a half years at Coda
Capital.

316
00:14:32,735 --> 00:14:35,075
What learnings do you bring to your position at
Levels?

317
00:14:35,134 --> 00:14:36,654
Coda was was an amazing experience for me.

318
00:14:36,654 --> 00:14:40,914
It was actually my first experience investing
institutionally as a as a VC.

319
00:14:40,975 --> 00:14:44,820
We had a methodology for investing, a
philosophy for investing that I, you know, I

320
00:14:44,820 --> 00:14:49,059
sort of hold in my head, in terms of being able
to really understand, you know, a product, a

321
00:14:49,059 --> 00:14:49,860
team, a market.

322
00:14:49,860 --> 00:14:53,860
But I think just from an ecosystem perspective,
you know, one of the things that that was

323
00:14:53,860 --> 00:14:58,394
challenging was really just keeping a tab on on
the ecosystem and really understanding when,

324
00:14:58,394 --> 00:15:02,075
you know, where should we build relationships
and how should we source, and what's what's

325
00:15:02,075 --> 00:15:02,575
happening.

326
00:15:02,955 --> 00:15:04,315
And what are the trends that are happening?

327
00:15:04,315 --> 00:15:06,014
What are the niches that are forming?

328
00:15:06,315 --> 00:15:07,595
And that takes a lot of work.

329
00:15:07,595 --> 00:15:10,254
And also, it's very difficult to do because
it's a very opaque industry.

330
00:15:10,569 --> 00:15:13,209
And so that was something that I that I
realized was, you know, how do you build a

331
00:15:13,209 --> 00:15:17,690
systematic way to source the best opportunities
and understand where the best opportunities are

332
00:15:17,690 --> 00:15:21,610
and develop thematic focus areas that make
sense within some period some time frame.

333
00:15:21,610 --> 00:15:23,690
And that challenge was it resonated with me.

334
00:15:23,690 --> 00:15:28,095
And so when we started Level, we we wanted to
be in a situation where it was more about

335
00:15:28,095 --> 00:15:29,075
picking than sourcing.

336
00:15:29,294 --> 00:15:33,294
And really, if you have a good understanding,
of what's going on and you can sort of focus

337
00:15:33,294 --> 00:15:37,455
your your efforts and your network your
networking, in areas where you think they'll be

338
00:15:37,455 --> 00:15:39,269
the most value, it's a much easier problem.

339
00:15:39,269 --> 00:15:41,450
Not that it's easy at all, but it's a much
easier problem.

340
00:15:41,669 --> 00:15:43,269
We do believe that that starts with data.

341
00:15:43,269 --> 00:15:47,110
And, you know, the availability of data, has
increased even since my time at Coda and

342
00:15:47,110 --> 00:15:47,429
before.

343
00:15:47,429 --> 00:15:51,110
Like, there's really just been an exponential
increase in the amount of data, both private

344
00:15:51,110 --> 00:15:54,975
markets, but just around sort of technical
contribution communities and things like that.

345
00:15:55,034 --> 00:15:59,034
And we just feel like there's an opportunity to
potentially get edge from that and to see

346
00:15:59,034 --> 00:16:00,575
things that maybe others don't see.

347
00:16:00,634 --> 00:16:03,294
That's, like, sort of the thing we believe and
the ethos of the whole organization.

348
00:16:03,674 --> 00:16:08,174
How much of being a good picker comes down to
seeing what great is, meeting those first

349
00:16:08,500 --> 00:16:12,180
unicorn founders at the seed stage and having
that standard of excellence early on?

350
00:16:12,180 --> 00:16:14,500
I I think it's the most it's the most critical
thing.

351
00:16:14,500 --> 00:16:18,019
There's definitely a a a huge bifurcation in
the market in terms of, like, super high

352
00:16:18,019 --> 00:16:19,080
quality and the rest.

353
00:16:19,139 --> 00:16:20,420
It really starts with access.

354
00:16:20,420 --> 00:16:24,514
Because if you're able to detect and really
understand what does a great founder look like,

355
00:16:24,514 --> 00:16:26,934
you know, that's a repetitive motion that will
compound.

356
00:16:27,154 --> 00:16:28,294
It doesn't compound forever.

357
00:16:28,674 --> 00:16:28,914
Right?

358
00:16:28,914 --> 00:16:30,995
And so but it compounds for quite a while.

359
00:16:30,995 --> 00:16:32,995
And so that's what we look for.

360
00:16:32,995 --> 00:16:38,529
And we believe that that's you can get a sense
for that very quickly in investing behavior.

361
00:16:38,589 --> 00:16:42,909
But you couldn't do that unless you had a
complete ecosystem view of where of what

362
00:16:42,909 --> 00:16:47,149
quality is and where where is it located, you
know, and how to benchmark one quality firm

363
00:16:47,149 --> 00:16:49,205
against another around similar metrics.

364
00:16:49,205 --> 00:16:52,565
Quality is contextual, not only on the
entrepreneur level, but on the GP level.

365
00:16:52,565 --> 00:16:58,024
Probably every GP that you come across is
certainly top 10, probably top 5% in society.

366
00:16:58,245 --> 00:17:02,024
But maybe if they're only in the top 5%,
they're not investable.

367
00:17:02,245 --> 00:17:04,220
There's a context to that to that quality.

368
00:17:04,519 --> 00:17:06,940
What do you wish you knew before you started at
level?

369
00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:11,640
You know, I think when we first started, one
thing is just is having more control or at

370
00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:14,619
least understanding where a fund manager's fund
size will end up.

371
00:17:14,679 --> 00:17:17,684
You know, because sometimes what ends up
happening is that it balloons, Especially, in

372
00:17:17,684 --> 00:17:20,404
the period of time when we started investing,
there was a lot of ballooning of fund sizes,

373
00:17:20,404 --> 00:17:23,065
and we didn't have much control over that
activity.

374
00:17:23,605 --> 00:17:25,044
And so I think that was that's one thing.

375
00:17:25,044 --> 00:17:28,644
It's really just to have a GP that is very
thoughtful about portfolio construction and

376
00:17:28,644 --> 00:17:29,144
sizing.

377
00:17:29,284 --> 00:17:33,589
Because the the really smart GPs understand
that it's really it's really it should be all

378
00:17:33,589 --> 00:17:37,190
about carry and that there's an optimal
construction relative to the strategy that

379
00:17:37,190 --> 00:17:38,890
they're pursuing and relative to their
capabilities.

380
00:17:39,349 --> 00:17:42,470
But sometimes, you know, obviously, it's
appealing when you get a lot of capital coming

381
00:17:42,470 --> 00:17:45,525
your way to balloon the size with the
expectation that you can maintain the same

382
00:17:45,525 --> 00:17:48,565
quality for the for a size that's much larger,
which is very difficult to do.

383
00:17:48,565 --> 00:17:50,325
So I think that that was a big lesson for us.

384
00:17:50,325 --> 00:17:53,924
And we had a few funds that sort of balloon
larger than we would have liked in that period

385
00:17:53,924 --> 00:17:54,325
of time.

386
00:17:54,325 --> 00:17:57,210
And, you know, in retrospect, we wouldn't, you
know, we wouldn't have done that.

387
00:17:57,289 --> 00:17:59,549
That's sort of one big one big learning as
well.

388
00:17:59,609 --> 00:18:02,890
I mean, the other thing is just, you know, our
our models have gotten better over time.

389
00:18:02,890 --> 00:18:04,009
We're very happy with our portfolio.

390
00:18:04,009 --> 00:18:05,049
We're happy with all the managers.

391
00:18:05,049 --> 00:18:06,490
You know, our models have gotten better over
time.

392
00:18:06,490 --> 00:18:08,109
We have new ways of looking at things.

393
00:18:08,569 --> 00:18:10,589
I think we've we've refined our approach.

394
00:18:10,649 --> 00:18:13,705
We have much more of a brand presence, and, we
get a lot of inbounds.

395
00:18:13,924 --> 00:18:16,404
Our just quality over time is just getting
better and better.

396
00:18:16,404 --> 00:18:19,445
And then at the end of the day, we want to be
the first call for new GPs.

397
00:18:19,445 --> 00:18:23,305
You need to really be, associated with the best
and and being that first call.

398
00:18:23,365 --> 00:18:26,725
And that's something we, of course, want to
keep working on so that we're seeing things

399
00:18:26,725 --> 00:18:27,839
before they go to market.

400
00:18:27,919 --> 00:18:30,019
The last thing is is really around the co
investing.

401
00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:34,640
I think the most interesting for, you know, a
fund to funds investor that's focused also on

402
00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:36,579
co investing is adverse selection.

403
00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:40,394
You know, typically, you're you're gonna get
opportunities in a very reactive way.

404
00:18:40,634 --> 00:18:43,515
And and if you're seeing it, the first question
you asked is not what the company does, but,

405
00:18:43,515 --> 00:18:44,714
like, literally, why am I seeing it?

406
00:18:44,714 --> 00:18:47,775
What we believe is that you need to have a
really good understanding of the portfolios

407
00:18:47,835 --> 00:18:52,555
preemptively, have value that you bring to the
GP, and value, you know, essentially, it's also

408
00:18:52,555 --> 00:18:56,049
to the entrepreneurs over time such that you
have a really good sense of what qualities

409
00:18:56,049 --> 00:18:58,630
before they go out to market, and you can
preempt some of those situations.

410
00:18:58,849 --> 00:19:01,829
You know, that's something that we're we've
been working on for for quite a while.

411
00:19:01,890 --> 00:19:05,269
How do you suss out whether a manager is gonna
scale their AUM?

412
00:19:05,730 --> 00:19:07,250
Most managers aren't gonna tell you.

413
00:19:07,250 --> 00:19:09,765
So what have you found best practices to
predict this?

414
00:19:10,005 --> 00:19:11,445
We we literally just ask them.

415
00:19:11,445 --> 00:19:13,445
You know, one way we do it is just sort of ask
them.

416
00:19:13,445 --> 00:19:15,224
You know, what what's your vision for the firm?

417
00:19:15,365 --> 00:19:16,964
What what will be the size of your next fund?

418
00:19:16,964 --> 00:19:18,345
How are you thinking about team composition?

419
00:19:18,644 --> 00:19:20,644
You know, how are you thinking about strategy
moving forward?

420
00:19:20,724 --> 00:19:22,085
You can get a sense really quickly.

421
00:19:22,085 --> 00:19:25,839
And most of them are are very honest on what
their, you know, what their agenda is in terms

422
00:19:25,839 --> 00:19:27,279
of, like, growing and scaling the firm.

423
00:19:27,279 --> 00:19:28,880
There's many that we speak to, and they say,
look.

424
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:32,240
We really just wanna stay, you know, at a range
that we think is is doable and feasible.

425
00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:35,679
And that's actually a very big criteria for us
that they're very introspective and

426
00:19:35,679 --> 00:19:39,599
intellectually honest about whether they could
compete, you know, as as the fund size gets

427
00:19:39,599 --> 00:19:40,095
larger.

428
00:19:40,335 --> 00:19:41,855
Because there is this quantum leap.

429
00:19:41,855 --> 00:19:43,054
I don't know exactly what size it is.

430
00:19:43,054 --> 00:19:47,234
It's probably around maybe 40 or 50 where, you
know, you have to start leading.

431
00:19:47,615 --> 00:19:50,494
And the game theory, of course, changes in the
market in terms of your ability to actually

432
00:19:50,494 --> 00:19:54,599
compete and win allocation and not be adversely
elected, especially when you're competing not

433
00:19:54,599 --> 00:19:58,519
only with peers, but also with large, you know,
multistage firms that have big platforms.

434
00:19:58,519 --> 00:20:01,580
So, like, there has to be that intellectual
honesty there.

435
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:06,039
The knowledge I use a baseball analogy where
you have single a, which is the lowest league,

436
00:20:06,039 --> 00:20:08,220
double a, triple a, and then you have major
leagues.

437
00:20:08,554 --> 00:20:13,275
And a player could be very good at single a or
double a and could be completely crushed at the

438
00:20:13,275 --> 00:20:15,595
major league in terms of fund size and round.

439
00:20:15,595 --> 00:20:22,154
And, you know, having writing a 25 or a 100 or
250 k pre seed check is very different than

440
00:20:22,154 --> 00:20:25,429
trying to lead a series a where you're
competing against the multistage firms.

441
00:20:25,649 --> 00:20:28,470
What do you believe that other fund of funds do
not believe?

442
00:20:28,609 --> 00:20:32,210
The biggest difference I think we've seen and
we we collaborate it's it's it's sort of an

443
00:20:32,210 --> 00:20:34,769
interesting world is that you have a lot of
people you collaborate with.

444
00:20:34,769 --> 00:20:37,889
You're not you're not often competing for, you
know, for allocation against them.

445
00:20:37,889 --> 00:20:41,424
And so we we spend a lot of time talking to
other LPs, whether they're fund the funds or

446
00:20:41,424 --> 00:20:44,384
whether they're, you know, sort of
institutional investors or even a lot of family

447
00:20:44,384 --> 00:20:46,244
offices that are investing in in this area.

448
00:20:46,305 --> 00:20:49,125
And we try to collaborate a lot, and help our
funds raise as well.

449
00:20:49,345 --> 00:20:53,630
I think what makes us very different and why we
get a lot of questions coming our way is really

450
00:20:53,630 --> 00:20:54,609
the data angle.

451
00:20:54,670 --> 00:20:57,789
Typically, like, when you when you meet a
manager for the first time, even if you look at

452
00:20:57,789 --> 00:21:01,710
their presentation and their traffic or, you
know, which either is either not applicable or

453
00:21:01,710 --> 00:21:06,109
or not existent, is you have a very difficult
time unpacking and understanding whether this

454
00:21:06,109 --> 00:21:07,154
is a good investment or not.

455
00:21:07,315 --> 00:21:09,875
And especially as you go earlier in this sort
of fund life cycle, it's just almost

456
00:21:09,875 --> 00:21:10,375
impossible.

457
00:21:10,914 --> 00:21:14,035
And there's a lot of studies that show there's
just not even a correlation between the early

458
00:21:14,035 --> 00:21:16,775
IRR and sort of the, you know, asymptotic IRR
firm.

459
00:21:17,075 --> 00:21:22,009
And so since we have an angle which helps us
unpack the manager in a lot of different ways

460
00:21:22,009 --> 00:21:26,410
using sort of market based data, a lot of
people come our way and ask us what do we think

461
00:21:26,410 --> 00:21:28,830
about this manager and what what does your data
show.

462
00:21:29,210 --> 00:21:31,869
And that's sort of one piece of it, which I
think is is critical.

463
00:21:32,075 --> 00:21:34,875
And over time, we should also have our own
flywheel in terms of getting more and more

464
00:21:34,875 --> 00:21:36,015
data, more network data.

465
00:21:36,234 --> 00:21:39,835
The other piece of it is the whole ethos that
we have with GPs is quite different.

466
00:21:39,835 --> 00:21:43,515
We're not just treated, you know, only as an
allocator, you know, because we're also

467
00:21:43,515 --> 00:21:44,009
builders.

468
00:21:44,170 --> 00:21:48,250
It's a small nuance, but when they talk to us,
we can, you know, go very deep into, you know,

469
00:21:48,250 --> 00:21:51,930
the nature of LLMs or or what we think about,
you know, the market or the technology

470
00:21:51,930 --> 00:21:54,509
infrastructure with regards to, like,
generative AI or other areas.

471
00:21:54,890 --> 00:21:57,130
And they really appreciate that lens and that
angle.

472
00:21:57,130 --> 00:22:00,375
And when they look at our demo and our
infrastructure, they they feel like there's a

473
00:22:00,375 --> 00:22:02,154
good, you know, synergy between us.

474
00:22:02,455 --> 00:22:06,555
And I think this new generation of GPs, you
know, they're it's a younger generation.

475
00:22:06,934 --> 00:22:08,134
You know, they're very switched on.

476
00:22:08,134 --> 00:22:11,430
They wanna see sort of a often another kind of
LP around the table.

477
00:22:11,509 --> 00:22:15,029
Who are the most thoughtful institutional
investors that invest in the venture asset

478
00:22:15,029 --> 00:22:15,529
class?

479
00:22:15,830 --> 00:22:17,670
I I think some of the endowments are are really
good.

480
00:22:17,670 --> 00:22:20,549
I think they have a good sense for not not not
all of them, but some of them are really,

481
00:22:20,549 --> 00:22:22,070
really good in terms of their investing
behaviors.

482
00:22:22,070 --> 00:22:25,029
Not not all of them go down to this level in
terms of, like, the sizing of funds and all

483
00:22:25,029 --> 00:22:25,305
that.

484
00:22:25,465 --> 00:22:26,664
But we've seen some really good ones.

485
00:22:26,664 --> 00:22:30,825
There's actually a lot of very smart family
offices, family office investors that we've

486
00:22:30,825 --> 00:22:31,625
seen as well.

487
00:22:31,625 --> 00:22:36,025
Whether it's family offices for some of the
well known sort of large GPs that are very just

488
00:22:36,025 --> 00:22:38,765
in the know and have a good sense for talent
and quality.

489
00:22:38,825 --> 00:22:40,765
I think those are really, really smart
investors.

490
00:22:41,109 --> 00:22:45,190
And then, you know, there's a slew of other
groups that we've interacted with as well.

491
00:22:45,190 --> 00:22:47,769
And also on the fund to fund side that are are
super sharp.

492
00:22:47,829 --> 00:22:50,549
And, you know, they have a good sense for what
what's a quality manager.

493
00:22:50,630 --> 00:22:53,750
But we have a set of people that we just, like,
interact with on a regular basis that we think

494
00:22:53,750 --> 00:22:54,494
are are really good.

495
00:22:54,654 --> 00:22:56,494
Albert, this has been a fascinating interview.

496
00:22:56,494 --> 00:22:59,934
What would you like our listeners to know about
you, about Level Ventures, or anything else

497
00:22:59,934 --> 00:23:01,315
you'd like to shine a light on?

498
00:23:01,615 --> 00:23:01,775
Yeah.

499
00:23:01,775 --> 00:23:05,855
We want well, we want to be the first call for
emerging VCs, and we want to be the best at at

500
00:23:05,855 --> 00:23:10,630
what we do and really build an infrastructure
that we think will be durable and and deliver

501
00:23:10,630 --> 00:23:13,029
returns for LPs and for and really just deliver
value for GPs.

502
00:23:13,029 --> 00:23:14,630
So that's that's what we're trying to build
here.

503
00:23:14,630 --> 00:23:16,150
We have no other agenda besides that.

504
00:23:16,470 --> 00:23:19,130
So we're hoping that that that we can do that
over the next few years.

505
00:23:20,490 --> 00:23:24,590
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