This is the debut episode of This Won’t Last. The show is a monthly conversation between Logan Bartlett of Redpoint, Keith Rabois at Khosla Ventures, Kevin Ryan at Alleycorp, and Zach Weinberg, biotech founder (Curie.Bio) and investor. This episode covers Founder Mode, the state of VC fundraising, the potential for an unrealized gains tax, and Russia’s influence in Telegram.
This Won't Last is part of the Turpentine podcast network.
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Check out the Logan Bartlett Show https://www.youtube.com/@UCugS0jD5IAdoqzjaNYzns7w
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Links:
Keith’s Recommendations:
- High Output Management by Andy Grove https://www.amazon.com/High-Output-Management-Andrew-Grove/dp/0679762884/
- Keith Rabois’ lecture notes from 2013: "How to Operate" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6fQHLK1aIBs
- Tesla versus Edison: The Last Days of Night: A Novel by Graham Moore https://www.amazon.com/Last-Days-Night-Novel/dp/0812988922
- Disruptive Innovation by Clayton M. Christensen https://hbr.org/2015/12/what-is-disruptive-innovation
- The Success Equation: Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing by Michael J. Mauboussin https://www.amazon.com/Success-Equation-Untangling-Business-Investing/dp/1422184234
Kevin’s Recommendation:
- Dark Wire by Joseph Cox https://www.amazon.com/Dark-Wire-Incredible-Largest-Operation/dp/1541702697
Logan’s Recommendations:
- On railroads: Engines That Move Markets by Alistair Nairn https://www.amazon.com/Engines-That-Markets-Alisdair-Nairn/dp/0857195999/
- Wired: “The Kremlin has entered your chat” https://www.wired.com/story/the-kremlin-has-entered-the-chat/
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TIMESTAMPS:
(00:00) Intro
(01:24) Show origins
(02:39) Kevin comes back from Burning Man
(04:20) Paul Graham’s Founder Mode
(05:45) Founder mode intuitive for Keith, Pierre Lamond anecdote
(07:00) Keith’s response to kernel of Founder Mode, Andy Grove High Output Management
(08:28) Zach asks what’s unique about Founder Mode and Keith clarifies
(09:13) Manager vs. Founder
(12:57) Founder moral authority
(15:00) Investing in founder driven CEOs
(18:47) State of venture markets
(21:15) Driverless car future
(26:25) Revenue quality in AI valuations
(33:00) New technology being disruptive or helpful for incumbents
(35:40) AI in Biotech
(38:44) AI impacting fund AUM
(42:30) AI as the transistor
(43:25) Hurdle to return AI CapEx
(44:30) Unrealized Capital Gains Tax
(47:27) Sweden’s tax vs Norway and corporation tax rates
(54:50) Medicare and Social Security, beneficial tax policies
(1:00:45) Misleading life expectancy stats
(1:02:15) Lina Khan, Antitrust effect on tech industry
(1:10:20) Perplexity shocking Google
(1:12:30) Pavel Durov and Russia’s Influence in Telegram
(1:16:45) Not using TikTok and Telegram, risk in capital in Chinese companies
(1:22:25) Closing
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